Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, November 25, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Thunder	62%	115	130	132.7	98	94.1
	11	Kings	38%	110	109	111.2	98	103.4

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+14

-15

SAC

+13

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.34 67.0%

SAC

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

2 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	39.5	0	0%	10	2	2	1	0	2	2	8	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	34.6	37	77%	4	11	0	0	6	2	0	4	7-11	64%	9-13	69%	4-7	57%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	32.1	28	78%	4	5	2	1	5	3	0	4	5-5	100%	7-9	78%	3-7	43%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	31.5	19	63%	10	4	0	0	1	5	3	7	1-1	100%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	21.5	8	57%	4	0	1	0	2	2	1	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	21.3	9	45%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-8	38%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	17.8	13	81%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	15.0	10	125%	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	4	4-4	100%	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	14.6	4	50%	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	6.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 25	2.7	2	100%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Small fracture
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Iliac Wing; Fracture
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	67%	44	28	6	3	15	18	11	33	20-25	80%	34-55	62%	14-31	45%

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2 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	39.5	0	0%	10	2	2	1	0	2	2	8	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	34.6	37	77%	4	11	0	0	6	2	0	4	7-11	64%	9-13	69%	4-7	57%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	32.1	28	78%	4	5	2	1	5	3	0	4	5-5	100%	7-9	78%	3-7	43%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	31.5	19	63%	10	4	0	0	1	5	3	7	1-1	100%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	21.5	8	57%	4	0	1	0	2	2	1	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	21.3	9	45%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-8	38%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	17.8	13	81%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	15.0	10	125%	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	4	4-4	100%	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	14.6	4	50%	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	6.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 25	2.7	2	100%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Small fracture
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Iliac Wing; Fracture
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	67%	44	28	6	3	15	18	11	33	20-25	80%	34-55	62%	14-31	45%

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11 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	39.7	14	41%	3	5	1	0	4	4	0	3	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	1-6	17%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	38.4	14	47%	10	2	2	1	2	1	6	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-8	25%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	35.5	30	68%	2	6	1	0	0	1	0	2	4-4	100%	13-19	68%	0-2	0%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	35.0	21	70%	10	3	3	1	4	5	2	8	6-8	75%	6-9	67%	1-2	50%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	27.7	8	100%	1	3	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	26.0	14	47%	1	3	1	1	1	5	0	1	4-6	67%	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	10.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 24	9.4	6	100%	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	5.6	2	100%	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Orlando Robinson #77 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	55%	31	24	10	4	12	22	9	22	17-23	74%	34-55	62%	8-32	25%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.34 67.0%

SAC

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

70%

SAC

86%

Midrange

OKC

60%

SAC

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

21.0

45%

68%

SAC

12.0

25%

38%

Free Throws

OKC

80%

SAC

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	37	77%	18.5 / 24
J. Williams	28	78%	14.0 / 18
I. Hartenstein	19	63%	9.5 / 15
A. Mitchell	13	81%	6.5 / 8
K. Williams	10	125%	5.0 / 4
I. Joe	9	45%	4.5 / 10
A. Wiggins	8	57%	4.0 / 7
C. Wallace	4	50%	2.0 / 4
B. Carlson	2	100%	1.0 / 1
L. Dort	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1
A. Flagler	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	30	68%	15.0 / 22
D. Sabonis	21	70%	10.5 / 15
D. Fox	14	41%	7.0 / 17
K. Murray	14	47%	7.0 / 15
M. Monk	14	47%	7.0 / 15
K. Ellis	8	100%	4.0 / 4
I. Jones	6	100%	3.0 / 3
T. Lyles	2	100%	1.0 / 1
K. Huerter	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. McDermott	0	-	0.0 / 2
A. Len	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 119.2 7 115.9	OKC 132.7 +21.4 SAC 111.2
Pace	5 100.9 19 98.9	OKC 94.1 SAC 103.4 +9.4
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 15 14.4	OKC 15.3 SAC 13.9 −1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.0% 15 54.8%	OKC 64.0% +11.1% SAC 52.9%
TO %	1 10.9% 6 12.6%	OKC 13.4% SAC 11.0% −2.4%
ORB %	21 24.2% 16 25.4%	OKC 33.3% +11.9% SAC 21.4%
FTrt	28 22.0 21 23.5	OKC 29.1 +2.7 SAC 26.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 60.2% 22 61.5%	OKC 58.3% +1.2% SAC 57.1%
STL %	1 10.2% 23 7.6%	OKC 6.1% SAC 10.2% +4.1%
BLK %	2 11.9% 23 8.8%	OKC 5.5% SAC 7.3% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 57.9% 15 56.8%	OKC 67.0% +12.5% SAC 54.5%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 2 67.6%	OKC 70.0% SAC 85.7% +15.7%
Mid FG%	7 45.7% 4 46.0%	OKC 60.0% +6.3% SAC 53.7%
3P %	6 37.4% 19 35.7%	OKC 45.2% +20.2% SAC 25.0%
FT %	1 81.9% 4 80.6%	OKC 80.0% +6.1% SAC 73.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 29.5% 28 26.8%	OKC 11.6% SAC 16.1% +4.5%
Mid Att. %	25 28.6% 29 34.1%	OKC 52.3% SAC 47.1% −5.2%
3P Att. %	16 41.9% 23 39.1%	OKC 36.0% SAC 36.8% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	OKC	SAC
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	25.0	22.7
Points	130	109
Rebounds	44	31
Assists	28	24
Steals	6	10
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	18	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	22 (5)
Field Goals	48-86	42-87
At-the-Rim FG	7-10	12-14
Midrange FG	27-45	22-41
2-Point FG	34-55	34-55
3-Point FG	14-31	8-32
Free Throws	20-25	17-23
Fast Break Pts	8	7
2nd Chance Pts	16	13
Points in Paint	56	42
Pts off Turnovers	21	14
Bench Points	38	22
Biggest Lead	21	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg