Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 7, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Nuggets	83%	125	113	107.6	105	116.7
	30	Wizards	17%	110	122	117.3	104	95.1

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+20

-15

110

WAS

+16

-17

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.03 51.4%

WAS

1.18 59.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	38.6	56	64%	16	8	1	0	5	5	7	9	9-13	69%	19-33	58%	3-6	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	37.7	14	50%	2	0	1	1	2	3	2	0	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-3	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 26	36.4	11	37%	5	6	1	1	2	2	1	4	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	0-5	0%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	32.1	7	44%	10	12	4	1	2	5	1	9	1-4	25%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	25.8	4	40%	2	2	1	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	32.8	18	64%	3	2	3	2	1	3	1	2	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	2-5	40%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	15.8	0	0%	3	2	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	11.6	2	33%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	9.3	1	17%	3	2	0	0	2	0	1	2	1-4	25%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	51%	48	34	11	6	15	23	16	32	16-27	59%	41-70	59%	5-25	20%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	38.6	56	64%	16	8	1	0	5	5	7	9	9-13	69%	19-33	58%	3-6	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	37.7	14	50%	2	0	1	1	2	3	2	0	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-3	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 26	36.4	11	37%	5	6	1	1	2	2	1	4	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	0-5	0%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	32.1	7	44%	10	12	4	1	2	5	1	9	1-4	25%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	25.8	4	40%	2	2	1	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	32.8	18	64%	3	2	3	2	1	3	1	2	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	2-5	40%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	15.8	0	0%	3	2	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	11.6	2	33%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	9.3	1	17%	3	2	0	0	2	0	1	2	1-4	25%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	51%	48	34	11	6	15	23	16	32	16-27	59%	41-70	59%	5-25	20%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	40.3	6	30%	6	5	4	3	0	1	4	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	40.2	39	67%	5	8	0	0	6	2	0	5	6-7	86%	3-6	50%	9-20	45%
Justin Champagnie #9 · PF · 6'6" 206 · 23	36.8	23	82%	8	1	2	2	2	3	5	3	3-5	60%	7-9	78%	2-4	50%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 19	34.1	10	38%	4	6	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-8	25%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	31.8	20	59%	12	5	0	5	5	3	3	9	4-4	100%	8-14	57%	0-1	0%

Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	17.0	12	67%	2	4	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	15.8	0	0%	2	1	1	1	0	4	1	1	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	13.2	7	88%	3	1	2	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	10.6	5	63%	4	0	0	0	1	2	1	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Inflammation
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Rib; Sprain
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Soreness
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Alex Sarr #20 · PF · 7'0" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	59%	46	31	9	12	17	21	15	31	16-22	73%	29-52	56%	16-41	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.03 51.4%

WAS

1.18 59.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

67%

WAS

73%

Midrange

DEN

50%

WAS

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

7.5

20%

30%

WAS

24.0

39%

59%

Free Throws

DEN

59%

WAS

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	56	64%	28.0 / 44
J. Strawther	18	64%	9.0 / 14
C. Braun	14	50%	7.0 / 14
M. Porter	11	37%	5.5 / 15
R. Westbrook	7	44%	3.5 / 8
P. Watson	4	40%	2.0 / 5
H. Tyson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Jordan	1	17%	0.5 / 3
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	39	67%	19.5 / 29
J. Champagnie	23	82%	11.5 / 14
J. Valančiūnas	20	59%	10.0 / 17
J. Butler	12	67%	6.0 / 9
B. Carrington	10	38%	5.0 / 13
J. Davis	7	88%	3.5 / 4
B. Coulibaly	6	30%	3.0 / 10
A. Gill	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Bagley	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 118.9 30 105.8	DEN 107.6 WAS 117.3 +9.7
Pace	8 100.6 4 101.8	DEN 116.7 +21.6 WAS 95.1
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 23 14.0	DEN 12.3 −2.8 WAS 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 28 51.2%	DEN 51.1% WAS 57.0% +5.9%
TO %	15 13.3% 27 14.6%	DEN 12.3% −1.9% WAS 14.2%
ORB %	7 26.7% 25 22.7%	DEN 34.0% +2.1% WAS 31.9%
FTrt	5 25.9 26 22.9	DEN 28.4 +4.7 WAS 23.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 68.3% 12 63.7%	DEN 73.9% +5.0% WAS 68.9%
STL %	19 7.9% 25 7.4%	DEN 10.5% +1.8% WAS 8.7%
BLK %	21 9.0% 12 9.6%	DEN 11.5% WAS 17.1% +5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.8% 29 53.2%	DEN 51.4% WAS 59.2% +7.8%
Rim FG%	7 66.2% 17 63.7%	DEN 66.7% WAS 73.1% +6.4%
Mid FG%	8 45.5% 30 38.0%	DEN 50.0% +11.5% WAS 38.5%
3P %	5 37.6% 29 33.5%	DEN 20.0% WAS 39.0% +19.0%
FT %	23 77.0% 16 77.8%	DEN 59.3% WAS 72.7% +13.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.3% 21 30.5%	DEN 37.9% +9.9% WAS 28.0%
Mid Att. %	13 26.1% 11 25.9%	DEN 35.8% WAS 28.0% −7.8%
3P Att. %	30 35.6% 10 43.6%	DEN 26.3% WAS 44.1% +17.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	DEN	WAS
Possessions	105	104
Possession Minutes	21.6	26.2
Points	113	122
Rebounds	48	46
Assists	34	31
Steals	11	9
Blocks	6	12
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls	23	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (4)	15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	31 (1)
Field Goals	46-95	45-93
At-the-Rim FG	24-36	19-26
Midrange FG	17-34	10-26
2-Point FG	41-70	29-52
3-Point FG	5-25	16-41
Free Throws	16-27	16-22
Fast Break Pts	12	17
2nd Chance Pts	11	16
Points in Paint	74	52
Pts off Turnovers	17	16
Bench Points	21	24
Biggest Lead	2	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg