Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, December 7, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Hornets | 23% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Thunder | 76% | 115 | 119 |
 | 21 | Pelicans | 24% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Pistons | 27% | 109 | 120 |
 | 8 | Knicks | 73% | 118 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Mavericks | 75% | 120 | 125 |
 | 24 | Raptors | 25% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Celtics | 70% | 121 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Heat | 56% | 114 | 121 |
Friday, December 6, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Magic | 60% | 108 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Lakers | 38% | 114 | 132 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Bucks | 29% | 111 | 105 |
| 2 | Celtics | 71% | 119 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Bulls | 45% | 122 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Timberwolves | 47% | 110 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, December 5, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 44% | 115 | 114 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 56% | 117 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 84% | 124 | 137 |
| 29 | Wizards | 16% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 19% | 105 | 101 |
| 4 | Knicks | 81% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 77% | 117 | 129 |
| 24 | Raptors | 23% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 39% | 115 | 110 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 61% | 119 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 60% | 115 | 124 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 40% | 111 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 40% | 117 | 139 |
| 19 | Spurs | 60% | 120 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | Warriors | 46% | 110 | 99 |
Wednesday, December 4, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 16% | 104 | 120 |
| 3 | Celtics | 84% | 119 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 49% | 114 | 90 |
 | 25 | Nets | 51% | 115 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 41% | 108 | 93 |
| 14 | Heat | 59% | 112 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 64% | 108 | 106 |
| 21 | 76ers | 36% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 43% | 116 | 119 |
| 13 | Bucks | 57% | 119 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 51% | 107 | 108 |
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Tuesday, December 3, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 59% | 110 | 110 |
| 29 | Hornets | 41% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 14% | 110 | 87 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 86% | 126 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 63% | 114 | 128 |
| 25 | Pistons | 37% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 46% | 108 | 106 |
| 8 | Knicks | 54% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 48% | 116 | 111 |
| 22 | Raptors | 52% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 13% | 107 | 106 |
| 1 | Thunder | 87% | 123 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 40% | 116 | 116 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 60% | 119 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spurs | 40% | 114 | 93 |
| 14 | Suns | 60% | 118 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 43% | 116 | 115 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 57% | 119 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 53% | 112 | 111 |
| 13 | Kings | 47% | 111 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 107 | 105 |
| 12 | Clippers | 71% | 115 | 127 |
Monday, December 2, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pelicans | 24% | 109 | 112 |
| 18 | Hawks | 76% | 120 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 20% | 108 | 89 |
| 1 | Celtics | 80% | 120 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 35% | 112 | 102 |
| 23 | Bulls | 65% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 32% | 107 | 80 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 68% | 114 | 109 |
Sunday, December 1, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 69% | 108 | 100 |
| 25 | Nets | 31% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 33% | 116 | 121 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 67% | 123 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 54% | 116 | 111 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 46% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pelicans | 17% | 108 | 85 |
| 3 | Knicks | 83% | 121 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 60% | 113 | 116 |
| 22 | Raptors | 40% | 110 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 54% | 110 | 116 |
| 5 | Rockets | 46% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Lakers | 70% | 121 | 105 |
| 27 | Jazz | 30% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 57% | 112 | 137 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 110 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Spurs | 40% | 111 | 127 |
| 12 | Kings | 60% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 49% | 113 | 122 |
| 17 | Clippers | 51% | 114 | 126 |
Saturday, November 30, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 62% | 114 | 107 |
| 29 | Hornets | 38% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 57% | 112 | 111 |
| 23 | Pistons | 43% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 20% | 109 | 114 |
| 17 | Bucks | 80% | 122 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 47% | 117 | 105 |
| 10 | Suns | 53% | 118 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 71% | 120 | 106 |
| 27 | Jazz | 29% | 111 | 94 |
Friday, November 29, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Knicks | 79% | 117 | 99 |
| 29 | Hornets | 21% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 60% | 121 | 101 |
| 20 | Hawks | 40% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pelicans | 22% | 109 | 109 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 78% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | 65% | 106 | 123 |
| 22 | Nets | 35% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 40% | 106 | 92 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 60% | 110 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 35% | 112 | 130 |
| 18 | Pacers | 65% | 117 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 34% | 108 | 111 |
| 15 | Heat | 66% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 125 | 138 |
| 25 | Bulls | 21% | 114 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 62% | 115 | 101 |
| 14 | Lakers | 38% | 111 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 63% | 114 | 106 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 109 | 115 |
Wednesday, November 27, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 53% | 112 | 98 |
| 23 | Hornets | 47% | 110 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 29% | 115 | 135 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 71% | 123 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 112 | 114 |
| 19 | Pacers | 68% | 119 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 23% | 107 | 119 |
| 6 | Magic | 77% | 118 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 61% | 112 | 122 |
| 24 | 76ers | 39% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 77% | 118 | 121 |
| 29 | Wizards | 23% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Knicks | 55% | 115 | 114 |
| 12 | Mavericks | 45% | 113 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 28% | 108 | 111 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 72% | 117 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kings | 46% | 110 | 115 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 54% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 53% | 111 | 119 |
| 28 | Pelicans | 47% | 110 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 44% | 112 | 119 |
| 14 | Spurs | 56% | 114 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 32% | 107 | 127 |
| 7 | Suns | 68% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 80% | 123 | 122 |
| 30 | Jazz | 20% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 60% | 114 | 105 |
| 13 | Warriors | 40% | 110 | 101 |
Tuesday, November 26, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 58% | 123 | 127 |
| 30 | Wizards | 42% | 120 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 39% | 109 | 106 |
| 11 | Heat | 61% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 49% | 109 | 117 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 51% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 61% | 117 | 128 |
| 26 | Jazz | 39% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lakers | 43% | 113 | 100 |
| 13 | Suns | 57% | 116 | 127 |
Monday, November 25, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 60% | 109 | 95 |
| 22 | Hornets | 40% | 106 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 46% | 109 | 100 |
| 28 | Pistons | 54% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pelicans | 30% | 110 | 110 |
| 18 | Pacers | 70% | 117 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 54% | 117 | 129 |
| 19 | Hawks | 46% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 21% | 105 | 94 |
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 117 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 111 | 98 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 74% | 121 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 47% | 117 | 145 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 53% | 118 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 20% | 108 | 128 |
| 3 | Warriors | 80% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 62% | 115 | 130 |
| 11 | Kings | 38% | 110 | 109 |
Sunday, November 24, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 26% | 107 | 105 |
| 1 | Celtics | 74% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 25% | 113 | 103 |
| 18 | Pacers | 75% | 123 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 48% | 109 | 118 |
| 11 | Heat | 52% | 110 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 55% | 110 | 125 |
| 21 | 76ers | 45% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 28% | 110 | 108 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 72% | 119 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 29% | 107 | 108 |
| 7 | Kings | 71% | 116 | 103 |