Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, November 26, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Bulls | 58% | 123 | 127 | |
30 | Wizards | 42% | 120 | 108 |
Updated: Nov 26, 2024 11:47 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Rockets | 49% | 109 | 117 | |
9 | Timberwolves | 51% | 110 | 111 |
Updated: Nov 27, 2024 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Lakers | 43% | 113 | 100 | |
13 | Suns | 57% | 116 | 127 |
Updated: Nov 27, 2024 02:42 AM
game detailMonday, November 25, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pelicans | 30% | 110 | 110 | |
19 | Pacers | 70% | 117 | 114 |
Updated: Nov 25, 2024 11:47 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Clippers | 21% | 105 | 94 | |
1 | Celtics | 79% | 117 | 126 |
Updated: Nov 26, 2024 12:17 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Knicks | 47% | 117 | 145 | |
6 | Nuggets | 53% | 118 | 118 |
Updated: Nov 26, 2024 01:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Thunder | 62% | 115 | 130 | |
16 | Kings | 38% | 110 | 109 |
Updated: Nov 26, 2024 02:47 AM
game detailSunday, November 24, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Timberwolves | 26% | 107 | 105 | |
1 | Celtics | 74% | 117 | 107 |
Updated: Nov 24, 2024 08:20 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Mavericks | 48% | 109 | 118 | |
17 | Heat | 52% | 110 | 123 |
Updated: Nov 24, 2024 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Raptors | 28% | 110 | 108 | |
7 | Cavaliers | 72% | 119 | 122 |
Updated: Nov 25, 2024 12:12 AM
game detailSaturday, November 23, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Knicks | 106 | |||
28 | Jazz | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Pistons | 29% | 99 | 100 | |
9 | Magic | 71% | 107 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Grizzlies | 142 | |||
24 | Bulls | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 104 | 104 | |
8 | Rockets | 80% | 117 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hornets | 119 | |||
11 | Bucks | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Warriors | 54% | 114 | 94 | |
20 | Spurs | 46% | 113 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nuggets | 127 | |||
18 | Lakers | 102 |
Friday, November 22, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Nets | 44% | 109 | 98 | |
12 | 76ers | 56% | 112 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 108 | |||
30 | Wizards | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pacers | 37% | 113 | 117 | |
11 | Bucks | 63% | 118 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hawks | 122 | |||
24 | Bulls | 136 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 105 | 88 | |
9 | Rockets | 76% | 115 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Warriors | 112 | |||
22 | Pelicans | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Mavericks | 43% | 113 | 123 | |
7 | Nuggets | 57% | 116 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Kings | 88 | |||
13 | Clippers | 104 |
Thursday, November 21, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Pistons | 121 | |||
27 | Hornets | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Timberwolves | 65% | 115 | 105 | |
24 | Raptors | 35% | 109 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Jazz | 118 | |||
20 | Spurs | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Magic | 43% | 107 | 119 | |
18 | Lakers | 57% | 109 | 118 |
Wednesday, November 20, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pelicans | 100 | |||
4 | Cavaliers | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Bulls | 31% | 116 | 106 | |
12 | Bucks | 69% | 123 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pacers | 113 | |||
10 | Rockets | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 76ers | 55% | 116 | 111 | |
16 | Grizzlies | 45% | 114 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Trail Blazers | 99 | |||
2 | Thunder | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Knicks | 54% | 114 | 138 | |
14 | Suns | 46% | 113 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hawks | 97 | |||
3 | Warriors | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Magic | 53% | 105 | 93 | |
15 | Clippers | 47% | 104 | 104 |
Tuesday, November 19, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Cavaliers | 34% | 114 | 117 | |
1 | Celtics | 66% | 120 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hornets | 115 | |||
23 | Nets | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Nuggets | 36% | 111 | 122 | |
15 | Grizzlies | 64% | 117 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pelicans | 91 | |||
4 | Mavericks | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Thunder | 74% | 115 | 104 | |
21 | Spurs | 26% | 105 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Jazz | 118 | |||
18 | Lakers | 124 |
Monday, November 18, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Bulls | 122 | |||
24 | Pistons | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 76ers | 45% | 106 | 89 | |
18 | Heat | 55% | 108 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 106 | |||
6 | Knicks | 134 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pacers | 56% | 118 | 119 | |
25 | Raptors | 44% | 116 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Rockets | 100 | |||
14 | Bucks | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Magic | 57% | 108 | 109 | |
15 | Suns | 43% | 105 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Hawks | 109 | |||
9 | Kings | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Warriors | 62% | 116 | 99 | |
16 | Clippers | 38% | 111 | 102 |
Sunday, November 17, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Suns | 117 | |||
8 | Timberwolves | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Heat | 46% | 112 | 110 | |
19 | Pacers | 54% | 113 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Hornets | 114 | |||
4 | Cavaliers | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Pistons | 56% | 115 | 124 | |
28 | Wizards | 44% | 112 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Nuggets | 90 | |||
16 | Grizzlies | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Hawks | 64% | 117 | 110 | |
29 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 112 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Nets | 104 | |||
5 | Knicks | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Rockets | 63% | 119 | 143 | |
23 | Bulls | 37% | 115 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Mavericks | 121 | |||
2 | Thunder | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Jazz | 26% | 111 | 105 | |
15 | Clippers | 74% | 121 | 116 |
Saturday, November 16, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Bucks | 59% | 113 | 114 | |
27 | Hornets | 41% | 109 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Raptors | 123 | |||
1 | Celtics | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Lakers | 72% | 117 | 104 | |
21 | Pelicans | 28% | 108 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Spurs | 93 | |||
4 | Mavericks | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Jazz | 28% | 112 | 117 | |
11 | Kings | 72% | 121 | 121 |
Friday, November 15, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Heat | 40% | 111 | 124 | |
16 | Pacers | 60% | 115 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | 76ers | 86 | |||
10 | Magic | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Pistons | 55% | 113 | 99 | |
26 | Raptors | 45% | 111 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Wizards | 117 | |||
20 | Hawks | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Bulls | 25% | 114 | 126 | |
6 | Cavaliers | 75% | 124 | 144 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Nets | 122 | |||
5 | Knicks | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Lakers | 55% | 114 | 120 | |
22 | Spurs | 45% | 112 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Clippers | 104 | |||
11 | Rockets | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nuggets | 59% | 112 | 94 | |
21 | Pelicans | 41% | 109 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Suns | 83 | |||
2 | Thunder | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Grizzlies | 30% | 112 | 118 | |
3 | Warriors | 70% | 120 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Timberwolves | 130 | |||
9 | Kings | 126 |
Thursday, November 14, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Mavericks | 113 | |||
30 | Jazz | 115 |
Wednesday, November 13, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Pacers | 48% | 111 | 90 | |
14 | Magic | 52% | 112 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 139 | |||
23 | Nets | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | 23% | 112 | 124 | |
4 | Knicks | 77% | 123 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Cavaliers | 114 | |||
13 | 76ers | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pelicans | 14% | 104 | 88 | |
2 | Thunder | 86% | 120 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Clippers | 103 | |||
15 | Rockets | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Pistons | 37% | 105 | 120 | |
12 | Bucks | 63% | 110 | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Wizards | 130 | |||
22 | Spurs | 139 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Grizzlies | 42% | 112 | 123 | |
17 | Lakers | 58% | 115 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Timberwolves | 98 | |||
30 | Trail Blazers | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Suns | 32% | 111 | 104 | |
8 | Kings | 68% | 117 | 127 |