Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, December 7, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Grizzlies	30%	113	127	117.6	108	115.4
	1	Celtics	70%	121	121	111.0	109	102.4

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+12

-13

107

BOS

+23

-13

119

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.19 59.3%

BOS

1.02 50.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	34.1	32	70%	9	9	2	0	3	3	1	8	6-7	86%	7-14	50%	4-6	67%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	34.0	27	64%	9	1	3	4	0	4	1	8	2-4	50%	8-15	53%	3-4	75%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	32.8	14	54%	2	4	3	0	4	2	0	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Brandon Clarke #15 · C · 6'8" 215 · 28	26.4	18	82%	8	4	2	1	0	5	4	4	0-0	-	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	18.3	7	58%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%

Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	23.6	5	50%	4	0	2	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	19.2	3	14%	2	2	1	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-5	0%	1-6	17%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	18.3	10	100%	9	2	0	1	1	4	1	8	4-4	100%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	16.7	2	33%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	16.7	9	64%	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	5	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #8 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fifth Metatarsal; Repair
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	59%	52	25	13	7	13	25	11	41	18-23	78%	32-61	52%	15-33	45%

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11 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	34.1	32	70%	9	9	2	0	3	3	1	8	6-7	86%	7-14	50%	4-6	67%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	34.0	27	64%	9	1	3	4	0	4	1	8	2-4	50%	8-15	53%	3-4	75%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	32.8	14	54%	2	4	3	0	4	2	0	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	2-5	40%
Brandon Clarke #15 · C · 6'8" 215 · 28	26.4	18	82%	8	4	2	1	0	5	4	4	0-0	-	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	18.3	7	58%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%

Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	23.6	5	50%	4	0	2	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	19.2	3	14%	2	2	1	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-5	0%	1-6	17%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	18.3	10	100%	9	2	0	1	1	4	1	8	4-4	100%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	16.7	2	33%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	16.7	9	64%	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	5	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #8 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fifth Metatarsal; Repair
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	59%	52	25	13	7	13	25	11	41	18-23	78%	32-61	52%	15-33	45%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30	37.9	10	50%	6	3	3	2	3	0	1	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-7	29%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 27	37.7	17	37%	13	9	0	0	1	2	1	12	4-5	80%	5-11	45%	1-10	10%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 28	35.3	22	79%	3	6	1	0	5	3	1	2	0-1	0%	8-11	73%	2-3	67%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 29	33.3	19	48%	8	2	1	3	1	5	4	4	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	3-10	30%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 34	30.1	23	43%	4	3	0	1	0	1	3	1	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	4-17	24%

Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 27	30.0	22	79%	6	2	1	0	1	1	2	4	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	6-11	55%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	17.4	5	63%	7	1	0	1	1	3	1	6	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29	9.2	3	50%	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 27	9.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman #26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaden Springer #44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anton Watson #28 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	51%	51	26	6	7	13	16	15	36	19-28	68%	24-45	53%	18-60	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	BOS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.19 59.3%

BOS

1.02 50.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

58%

BOS

63%

Midrange

MEM

44%

BOS

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

22.5

45%

68%

BOS

27.0

30%

45%

Free Throws

MEM

78%

BOS

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Morant	32	70%	16.0 / 23
J. Jackson	27	64%	13.5 / 21
B. Clarke	18	82%	9.0 / 11
D. Bane	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Huff	10	100%	5.0 / 5
S. Aldama	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Wells	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. LaRavia	5	50%	2.5 / 5
M. Smart	3	14%	1.5 / 11
S. Pippen	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Holiday	23	43%	11.5 / 27
J. Brown	22	79%	11.0 / 14
P. Pritchard	22	79%	11.0 / 14
K. Porziņģis	19	48%	9.5 / 20
J. Tatum	17	37%	8.5 / 23
D. White	10	50%	5.0 / 10
N. Queta	5	63%	2.5 / 4
L. Kornet	3	50%	1.5 / 3
S. Hauser	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.2 2 119.5	MEM 117.6 +6.6 BOS 111.0
Pace	1 103.7 29 96.6	MEM 115.4 +13.0 BOS 102.4
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 2 15.5	MEM 12.5 −1.6 BOS 14.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.4% 5 56.1%	MEM 58.0% +9.4% BOS 48.6%
TO %	25 14.4% 2 11.7%	MEM 11.1% BOS 10.0% −1.1%
ORB %	3 28.7% 15 25.6%	MEM 23.4% BOS 26.8% +3.4%
FTrt	10 24.9 30 21.2	MEM 24.5 BOS 26.7 +2.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.5% 20 62.8%	MEM 53.2% BOS 61.9% +8.7%
STL %	7 8.5% 26 7.4%	MEM 12.0% +6.5% BOS 5.5%
BLK %	3 10.8% 4 10.5%	MEM 15.6% +4.1% BOS 11.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.4% 6 57.8%	MEM 59.3% +8.5% BOS 50.8%
Rim FG%	11 65.3% 4 67.3%	MEM 58.3% BOS 63.3% +5.0%
Mid FG%	9 45.4% 14 43.9%	MEM 44.0% +10.7% BOS 33.3%
3P %	12 36.7% 10 36.8%	MEM 45.5% +15.5% BOS 30.0%
FT %	12 78.6% 6 79.9%	MEM 78.3% +10.4% BOS 67.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.5% 29 26.2%	MEM 38.3% +9.7% BOS 28.6%
Mid Att. %	26 29.0% 1 20.2%	MEM 26.6% BOS 14.3% −12.3%
3P Att. %	20 40.6% 1 53.6%	MEM 35.1% BOS 57.1% +22.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.

Game Totals	MEM	BOS
Possessions	108	109
Possession Minutes	22.5	25.6
Points	127	121
Rebounds	52	51
Assists	25	26
Steals	13	6
Blocks	7	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	25	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (1)	15 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (4)	36 (1)
Field Goals	47-94	42-105
At-the-Rim FG	21-36	19-30
Midrange FG	11-25	5-15
2-Point FG	32-61	24-45
3-Point FG	15-33	18-60
Free Throws	18-23	19-28
Fast Break Pts	22	4
2nd Chance Pts	6	15
Points in Paint	64	40
Pts off Turnovers	19	25
Bench Points	29	30
Biggest Lead	14	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg