Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, December 19, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Nuggets	73%	122	124	125.3	99	104.0
	29	Blazers	27%	113	126	126.0	100	95.4

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+10

-11

POR

+19

-10

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.24 62.0%

POR

1.16 57.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	38.3	24	57%	3	10	3	0	1	3	0	3	3-4	75%	6-13	46%	3-6	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	36.6	34	85%	6	8	1	0	3	4	0	6	4-4	100%	9-12	75%	4-6	67%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	32.4	16	67%	6	3	1	0	1	1	1	5	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	31.0	2	14%	6	3	0	0	2	2	1	5	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	24.5	13	59%	4	1	1	0	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	33.2	19	73%	4	7	1	2	3	3	2	2	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	2-4	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	17.0	8	80%	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	4-5	80%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	11.4	2	50%	7	0	0	1	0	2	2	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	9.8	6	75%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	5.8	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	62%	40	35	7	3	11	20	8	32	15-21	71%	32-53	60%	15-34	44%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	38.3	24	57%	3	10	3	0	1	3	0	3	3-4	75%	6-13	46%	3-6	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	36.6	34	85%	6	8	1	0	3	4	0	6	4-4	100%	9-12	75%	4-6	67%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	32.4	16	67%	6	3	1	0	1	1	1	5	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	31.0	2	14%	6	3	0	0	2	2	1	5	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	24.5	13	59%	4	1	1	0	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	33.2	19	73%	4	7	1	2	3	3	2	2	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	2-4	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	17.0	8	80%	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	4-5	80%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	11.4	2	50%	7	0	0	1	0	2	2	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	9.8	6	75%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	5.8	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	62%	40	35	7	3	11	20	8	32	15-21	71%	32-53	60%	15-34	44%

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29 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	36.1	14	70%	8	1	3	0	1	4	4	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 31	36.1	13	43%	5	4	1	1	2	2	2	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	3-10	30%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	35.0	28	67%	1	10	0	0	3	2	0	1	2-3	67%	7-9	78%	4-11	36%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	34.5	15	50%	13	4	1	4	1	4	4	9	1-2	50%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	28.7	27	61%	6	4	0	0	0	1	2	4	7-8	88%	7-10	70%	2-8	25%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	26.6	7	29%	4	4	1	1	2	2	2	2	2-3	67%	1-6	17%	1-5	20%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	21.1	19	86%	2	1	0	1	1	3	0	2	4-4	100%	3-3	100%	3-6	50%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	11.7	3	75%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	10.3	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dalano Banton #5 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taze Moore #76 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	58%	45	29	7	7	10	18	15	30	20-24	83%	29-51	57%	16-46	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	POR
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	POR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.24 62.0%

POR

1.16 57.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

73%

POR

57%

Midrange

DEN

43%

POR

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

22.5

44%

66%

POR

24.0

35%

52%

Free Throws

DEN

71%

POR

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	34	85%	17.0 / 20
J. Murray	24	57%	12.0 / 21
R. Westbrook	19	73%	9.5 / 13
M. Porter	16	67%	8.0 / 12
C. Braun	13	59%	6.5 / 11
P. Watson	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Strawther	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Gordon	2	14%	1.0 / 7
D. Jordan	2	50%	1.0 / 2
H. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Simons	28	67%	14.0 / 21
S. Sharpe	27	61%	13.5 / 22
D. Avdija	19	86%	9.5 / 11
D. Ayton	15	50%	7.5 / 15
T. Camara	14	70%	7.0 / 10
J. Grant	13	43%	6.5 / 15
S. Henderson	7	29%	3.5 / 12
D. Clingan	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 118.9 23 110.9	DEN 125.3 POR 126.0 +0.7
Pace	8 100.6 16 99.5	DEN 104.0 +8.6 POR 95.4
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 19 14.3	DEN 13.8 −1.2 POR 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 25 52.1%	DEN 62.6% +8.0% POR 54.6%
TO %	15 13.3% 29 15.1%	DEN 10.3% POR 8.5% −1.8%
ORB %	7 26.7% 2 29.2%	DEN 21.1% POR 31.9% +10.8%
FTrt	5 25.9 13 24.6	DEN 24.1 POR 24.7 +0.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 68.3% 28 58.7%	DEN 74.5% +10.1% POR 64.4%
STL %	19 7.9% 13 8.2%	DEN 7.1% +0.1% POR 7.0%
BLK %	21 9.0% 9 10.0%	DEN 5.9% POR 13.2% +7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.8% 23 54.1%	DEN 62.0% +4.2% POR 57.8%
Rim FG%	7 66.2% 27 60.7%	DEN 73.3% +16.6% POR 56.7%
Mid FG%	8 45.5% 28 39.1%	DEN 43.5% POR 57.1% +13.6%
3P %	5 37.6% 26 34.2%	DEN 44.1% +9.3% POR 34.8%
FT %	23 77.0% 26 76.2%	DEN 71.4% POR 83.3% +11.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.3% 2 36.6%	DEN 34.5% +3.6% POR 30.9%
Mid Att. %	13 26.1% 3 21.6%	DEN 26.4% POR 21.6% −4.8%
3P Att. %	30 35.6% 17 41.8%	DEN 39.1% POR 47.4% +8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	DEN	POR
Possessions	99	100
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	124	126
Rebounds	40	45
Assists	35	29
Steals	7	7
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls	20	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (4)	30 (2)
Field Goals	47-87	45-97
At-the-Rim FG	22-30	17-30
Midrange FG	10-23	12-21
2-Point FG	32-53	29-51
3-Point FG	15-34	16-46
Free Throws	15-21	20-24
Fast Break Pts	30	17
2nd Chance Pts	8	21
Points in Paint	50	42
Pts off Turnovers	19	11
Bench Points	35	29
Biggest Lead	9	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg