Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 6, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Bucks	64%	118	128	124.3	103	97.2
	24	Raptors	36%	112	104	101.0	103	109.4

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

-21

TOR

+14

-15

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.41 70.3%

TOR

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

8 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	31.6	16	80%	4	4	1	2	4	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-8	50%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	31.1	8	57%	2	4	3	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	28.8	11	61%	12	13	0	0	7	1	1	11	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	25.7	25	83%	5	3	0	0	1	0	0	5	6-7	86%	2-4	50%	5-8	63%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	15.9	5	83%	4	3	0	3	2	1	3	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	23.9	17	85%	3	1	3	0	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	22.8	20	83%	7	3	0	0	1	2	1	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	4-6	67%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	18.4	10	56%	4	3	0	0	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	13.1	5	83%	0	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	6.6	2	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	6.6	2	33%	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25	6.3	1	17%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	5.3	3	150%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	3.9	3	75%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	70%	46	37	7	8	21	19	7	39	12-15	80%	25-38	66%	22-44	50%

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8 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	31.6	16	80%	4	4	1	2	4	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-8	50%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	31.1	8	57%	2	4	3	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	28.8	11	61%	12	13	0	0	7	1	1	11	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	25.7	25	83%	5	3	0	0	1	0	0	5	6-7	86%	2-4	50%	5-8	63%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	15.9	5	83%	4	3	0	3	2	1	3	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	23.9	17	85%	3	1	3	0	1	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	22.8	20	83%	7	3	0	0	1	2	1	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	4-6	67%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	18.4	10	56%	4	3	0	0	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	13.1	5	83%	0	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	6.6	2	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	6.6	2	33%	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25	6.3	1	17%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	5.3	3	150%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	3.9	3	75%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	70%	46	37	7	8	21	19	7	39	12-15	80%	25-38	66%	22-44	50%

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24 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 25	32.4	25	63%	9	5	1	0	1	0	3	6	1-4	25%	9-13	69%	2-5	40%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 23	32.1	21	55%	2	5	2	1	5	2	1	1	1-2	50%	10-14	71%	0-4	0%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	31.4	12	75%	7	1	1	1	1	1	0	7	0-1	0%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	30.0	11	50%	1	3	2	0	2	2	0	1	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	1-5	20%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	27.3	11	42%	3	3	0	1	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	3-9	33%

Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	24.1	2	20%	4	1	1	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 22	18.0	3	21%	2	6	2	0	1	2	1	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	17.0	3	50%	3	0	1	0	1	2	1	2	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20	11.3	8	80%	2	1	0	0	3	0	1	1	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34	10.0	3	38%	1	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	6.6	5	125%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	51%	35	27	11	4	15	15	10	25	13-21	62%	32-56	57%	9-35	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.41 70.3%

TOR

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

76%

TOR

68%

Midrange

MIL

57%

TOR

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

33.0

50%

75%

TOR

13.5

26%

39%

Free Throws

MIL

80%

TOR

62%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	25	83%	12.5 / 15
B. Portis	20	83%	10.0 / 12
G. Trent	17	85%	8.5 / 10
B. Lopez	16	80%	8.0 / 10
G. Antetokounmpo	11	61%	5.5 / 9
R. Rollins	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Prince	8	57%	4.0 / 7
A. Jackson	5	83%	2.5 / 3
A. Green	5	83%	2.5 / 3
S. Umude	3	150%	1.5 / 1
D. Wright	3	75%	1.5 / 2
P. Connaughton	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Beauchamp	2	33%	1.0 / 3
L. Robbins	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Barrett	25	63%	12.5 / 20
S. Barnes	21	55%	10.5 / 19
J. Poeltl	12	75%	6.0 / 8
I. Quickley	11	50%	5.5 / 11
G. Dick	11	42%	5.5 / 13
J. Walter	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Mogbo	5	125%	2.5 / 2
J. Shead	3	21%	1.5 / 7
B. Brown	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Olynyk	3	38%	1.5 / 4
O. Agbaji	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 115.2 26 109.5	MIL 124.3 +23.3 TOR 101.0
Pace	14 99.9 9 100.6	MIL 97.2 TOR 109.4 +12.2
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.6 27 13.8	MIL 14.8 TOR 13.2 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.8% 24 52.2%	MIL 70.7% +20.7% TOR 50.0%
TO %	7 12.7% 26 14.5%	MIL 19.2% TOR 13.0% −6.2%
ORB %	30 19.3% 4 27.3%	MIL 21.9% +1.5% TOR 20.4%
FTrt	3 26.8 25 23.2	MIL 18.3 TOR 23.1 +4.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.7% 2 68.5%	MIL 78.7% +12.8% TOR 65.9%
STL %	27 7.3% 18 8.0%	MIL 6.8% TOR 10.7% +3.9%
BLK %	20 9.1% 27 8.4%	MIL 14.3% +3.8% TOR 10.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.6% 25 53.8%	MIL 70.3% +19.3% TOR 51.0%
Rim FG%	5 66.9% 28 60.2%	MIL 76.5% +8.5% TOR 68.0%
Mid FG%	13 44.1% 21 41.5%	MIL 57.1% +8.7% TOR 48.4%
3P %	1 38.7% 23 34.8%	MIL 50.0% +24.3% TOR 25.7%
FT %	28 75.0% 29 74.8%	MIL 80.0% +18.1% TOR 61.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 30.0% 3 36.2%	MIL 20.7% TOR 27.5% +6.7%
Mid Att. %	21 27.5% 17 26.5%	MIL 25.6% −8.5% TOR 34.1%
3P Att. %	15 42.4% 29 37.3%	MIL 53.7% +15.2% TOR 38.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	TOR
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	128	104
Rebounds	46	35
Assists	37	27
Steals	7	11
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	21 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	19	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (1)	25 (2)
Field Goals	47-82	41-91
At-the-Rim FG	13-17	17-25
Midrange FG	12-21	15-31
2-Point FG	25-38	32-56
3-Point FG	22-44	9-35
Free Throws	12-15	13-21
Fast Break Pts	6	23
2nd Chance Pts	8	12
Points in Paint	40	54
Pts off Turnovers	18	23
Bench Points	63	24
Biggest Lead	33	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg