Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, January 6, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 19 | Pistons | 64% | 116 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Bucks | 64% | 118 | 128 |
 | 24 | Raptors | 36% | 112 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Magic | 26% | 103 | 103 |
 | 5 | Knicks | 74% | 113 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Nets | 28% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Timberwolves | 57% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Mavericks | 40% | 113 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Bulls | 49% | 117 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Heat | 42% | 109 | 118 |
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Sunday, January 5, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 44% | 111 | 92 |
 | 1 | Thunder | 56% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Hornets | 18% | 107 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Pelicans | 60% | 118 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 17 | Magic | 77% | 112 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Lakers | 39% | 108 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 44% | 113 | 129 |
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Saturday, January 4, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 65% | 110 | 123 |
| 28 | Nets | 35% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 66% | 111 | 105 |
| 23 | Pistons | 34% | 105 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 47% | 117 | 108 |
| 12 | Pacers | 53% | 118 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 32% | 111 | 136 |
| 18 | Heat | 68% | 118 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 62% | 122 | 126 |
| 20 | Bulls | 38% | 117 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | Spurs | 49% | 117 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Blazers | 22% | 109 | 105 |
| 8 | Bucks | 78% | 121 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 52% | 115 | 113 |
| 17 | Warriors | 48% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 14 | Clippers | 68% | 118 | 131 |
Friday, January 3, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 34% | 106 | 94 |
| 22 | Pistons | 66% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 60% | 109 | 106 |
| 25 | Raptors | 40% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 49% | 113 | 109 |
| 5 | Rockets | 51% | 114 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 38% | 114 | 120 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 62% | 118 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 43% | 111 | 107 |
| 2 | Thunder | 57% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 69% | 116 | 134 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 31% | 109 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spurs | 38% | 116 | 113 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 62% | 120 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 48% | 118 | 133 |
| 12 | Kings | 52% | 119 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 43% | 115 | 102 |
| 15 | Lakers | 57% | 117 | 119 |
Thursday, January 2, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 48% | 113 | 128 |
| 14 | Heat | 52% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 56% | 111 | 118 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 44% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 21% | 107 | 113 |
| 6 | Bucks | 79% | 119 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 25% | 102 | 98 |
| 1 | Thunder | 75% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 42% | 111 | 105 |
| 13 | Warriors | 58% | 114 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Blazers | 31% | 110 | 106 |
| 20 | Lakers | 69% | 117 | 114 |
Wednesday, January 1, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 65% | 123 | 107 |
| 30 | Wizards | 35% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 56% | 106 | 96 |
| 23 | Pistons | 44% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 56% | 111 | 113 |
| 26 | Raptors | 44% | 108 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 21% | 110 | 103 |
| 5 | Knicks | 79% | 122 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 31% | 106 | 108 |
| 13 | Heat | 69% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 41% | 111 | 99 |
| 8 | Rockets | 59% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 35% | 119 | 120 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 65% | 125 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 42% | 112 | 107 |
| 12 | Kings | 58% | 115 | 113 |
Tuesday, December 31, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 51% | 116 | 120 |
| 17 | Pacers | 49% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 14% | 107 | 71 |
| 1 | Celtics | 86% | 122 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 49% | 110 | 86 |
| 16 | Spurs | 51% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 36% | 104 | 105 |
| 2 | Thunder | 64% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 51% | 120 | 117 |
| 13 | Suns | 49% | 119 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 57% | 115 | 122 |
| 19 | Lakers | 43% | 112 | 110 |
Monday, December 30, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 60% | 116 | 115 |
| 29 | Hornets | 40% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 83% | 124 | 126 |
| 30 | Wizards | 17% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 67% | 113 | 116 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 33% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 73% | 125 | 132 |
| 28 | Jazz | 27% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 54% | 116 | 113 |
| 9 | Warriors | 46% | 115 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 73% | 118 | 125 |
| 27 | Blazers | 27% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Mavericks | 36% | 110 | 100 |
| 13 | Kings | 64% | 115 | 110 |
Sunday, December 29, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 33% | 99 | 101 |
| 17 | Magic | 67% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 48% | 119 | 136 |
| 23 | Raptors | 52% | 120 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 23% | 111 | 123 |
| 1 | Celtics | 77% | 122 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 39% | 112 | 106 |
| 2 | Thunder | 61% | 116 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 28% | 104 | 104 |
| 7 | Rockets | 72% | 112 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Spurs | 37% | 106 | 110 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 63% | 111 | 112 |
Saturday, December 28, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 48% | 114 | 110 |
| 18 | Hawks | 52% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 89% | 119 | 106 |
| 29 | Hornets | 11% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 80% | 123 | 136 |
| 30 | Wizards | 20% | 111 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 53% | 117 | 111 |
| 22 | Bulls | 47% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 32% | 110 | 105 |
| 10 | Warriors | 68% | 117 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 36% | 115 | 121 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 64% | 120 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 72% | 117 | 114 |
| 27 | Jazz | 28% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 69% | 121 | 122 |
| 28 | Blazers | 31% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 56% | 113 | 122 |
| 23 | Lakers | 44% | 110 | 132 |
Friday, December 27, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 63% | 109 | 108 |
| 15 | Magic | 37% | 104 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 20% | 112 | 105 |
| 2 | Celtics | 80% | 124 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 68% | 113 | 96 |
| 27 | Nets | 32% | 106 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 73% | 120 | 132 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 27% | 111 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 51% | 108 | 113 |
| 10 | Rockets | 49% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 53% | 118 | 149 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 47% | 117 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 55% | 114 | 98 |
| 19 | Suns | 45% | 112 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 34% | 107 | 92 |
| 6 | Clippers | 66% | 114 | 102 |
Thursday, December 26, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 65% | 117 | 120 |
| 13 | Pacers | 35% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 51% | 104 | 89 |
| 16 | Magic | 49% | 103 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 62% | 117 | 110 |
| 30 | Wizards | 38% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 45% | 119 | 133 |
| 19 | Hawks | 55% | 121 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 24% | 112 | 126 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 76% | 122 | 155 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 38% | 103 | 111 |
| 23 | Bucks | 62% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 67% | 114 | 128 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 33% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 41% | 112 | 114 |
| 15 | Kings | 59% | 116 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 54% | 116 | 120 |
| 29 | Blazers | 46% | 115 | 122 |
Wednesday, December 25, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 31% | 111 | 114 |
| 5 | Knicks | 69% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 37% | 109 | 105 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 63% | 113 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 30% | 109 | 118 |
| 2 | Celtics | 70% | 117 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lakers | 38% | 110 | 115 |
| 9 | Warriors | 62% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 59% | 118 | 100 |
| 20 | Suns | 41% | 115 | 110 |