Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, December 25, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Timberwolves | |||
 | 4 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Lakers | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_2'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23F79E1E;}%20.st1{fill:%23E46025;}%20.st2{fill:%23B65B27;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_1_'%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st0'%20points='20.3,339.6%20190,246.7%2074.9,339.6%20214.5,259.4%20212.3,275.5%20235.6,262.6%20288.1,312.3%20316.1,228.2%20351.6,223.2%20336,174.6%20369,145.9%20325.2,127.4%20337.2,76.4%20296.9,94.9%20277.9,49.3%20243.8,83.3%20187.7,53.9%20177.6,109.1%20125.8,120.3%20156.5,138.9%20125.6,154.4%20151.8,156.6%2044,240.5%20152.5,182.8%2036,271.4%20159.9,206.9%2027.7,306.4%20173.5,228.6%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M330.8,175.4c-1.9,46.6-41.3,82.8-87.9,80.9c-46.6-1.9-82.8-41.3-80.9-87.9s41.3-82.8,87.9-80.9%20C296.5,89.4,332.7,128.7,330.8,175.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M256.7,244.7c-46.6-1.9-82.8-41.3-80.9-87.9c0.9-21.6,9.8-40.9,23.8-55.2c-21.7,14.5-36.4,38.8-37.6,66.8%20c-1.9,46.6,34.3,86,80.9,87.9c25,1,48-8.9,64.2-25.7C292.7,240.2,275.3,245.5,256.7,244.7'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M330.9,172.8c0-3-0.1-6-0.4-9c-4.9-3.4-10.6-6-17.6-6.9c-1.3-0.2-2.5-0.3-3.8-0.4c-0.8-5.6-2.1-11-3.7-16.4%20c0.9,0.1,1.7,0.1,2.6,0.2c5.9,0.5,11.8,1.1,17.6,1.9c-0.8-2.2-1.7-4.3-2.6-6.3c-6.5-1-13.1-1.7-19.8-2.3h-0.1%20c-2.2-5.5-4.7-10.6-7.8-15.7c4.3-0.9,8.2-2.6,11.3-5.6c-1.5-1.6-3.3-3.2-5-4.6c-2.7,2.5-6.2,3.8-10.3,4.4c-0.6-0.9-1.3-1.7-1.9-2.5%20c-5.7-7.5-12.4-13.8-19.7-19c-6.4-1.8-13-2.9-19.9-3.3c-0.4,0-0.7,0-1.2,0c12.8,5.1,24.3,13.6,33.5,24.9%20c-8.8-0.8-18.9-3.8-28.9-6.7c-3-0.9-5.9-1.7-8.6-2.5c-17.1-4.7-30.2-5.5-40-4.6c-7.3,4.2-13.9,9.4-19.7,15.5%20c10.6-4.5,32.1-12,58.2-4.8c2.7,0.7,5.6,1.6,8.6,2.5c11.5,3.4,24.4,7.2,35.6,7.3c3.1,4.6,5.7,9.4,7.9,14.5%20c-2.2-0.1-4.4-0.2-6.6-0.2c-54.2-0.9-100.8,15.3-126.6,41.2c0.2,5.2,0.7,10.2,1.7,15.1c7.3-10.5,18-19.9,31.9-27.8%20c26.3-14.7,61.1-22.6,98.1-21.8c1.3,0,2.5,0.1,3.8,0.1c1.9,5.4,3.3,10.9,4.2,16.6c-23.8,1-39.3,15.9-57.1,31.8%20c-15.9,14.3-35.4,28.5-63.8,37c2.6,3.3,5.6,6.4,8.7,9.2c26.9-10.7,44.6-27.6,59.6-41.1c17.1-15.3,31.8-29.9,53.2-30.7%20c0.5,5.9,0.5,12,0,18.1c-2.9,33.1-22,61.2-48.2,75c6.6-0.6,13.2-2,19.3-4.2c2.1-1.7,4.2-3.5,6.1-5.5c17.1-16.8,27.8-39.9,29.9-64.7%20c0.5-6.2,0.5-12.4,0-18.5c1.1,0.1,2.2,0.2,3.3,0.4C320.5,164.6,326.3,168.4,330.9,172.8'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 14 | Suns | |||
Monday, December 23, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23061922;}%20.st1{fill:%23CE1141;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M249.8,189.4l0.4-33.3c0-15.6-16.3-18.2-28.3-18.1c8-2.7,17.7-7.2,24.7-14.8c7.4-6.8,12.6-16.4,11.7-29.8%20c-1.5-22.6-29.8-33.8-76.6-29.3c-0.8,0.1-1.5,0.2-2.3,0.2c-2.2-16.7-5.6-32.9-10.8-47.8l-2.3,2.3c-6.2,19.3-9.9,34.7-12.1,49%20c-27.9,4.8-47.5,11.2-47.5,11.2l-2.3,2.3c0,0,22.6-2,48.3-1.7c-2.9,29.3,0.1,57.1,0,109.6c-41.6-1.2-78.1,5.7-87,16.9%20c-2.9,2.4-4.5,5.1-4.4,7.9c0.5,12.7,38.3,24.4,91.4,28.9l2.3,72.2l2.3-2.3l3.7-49c0-0.8,0.1-1.5,0.3-2.1c1.1,0.2,2.2,1.6,2.2,4.1%20l1.6,64.5l2.3-2.3l4-52.5c0-1.2,0.1-2.1,0.3-2.9c1.1,0.2,2.2,1.8,2.1,4.8l1.8,67.2l2.3-2.3l3.2-97.8c6.1,0.2,12.3,0.3,18.7,0.3%20c6.7,0,13.3-0.1,19.8-0.3l3.2,102l2.3-2.3l2.7-53.4c0-1.1,0.1-2,0.3-2.7c1,0.2,2,1.8,2,4.6l2.8,74.9l2.3-2.3l2.8-64.7%20c0-0.9,0.2-1.7,0.4-2.3c1.3,0,2.7,1.6,2.7,4.7l2.3,85.7l2.3-2.3l3.4-143.6c45.4-4,79.9-13.1,88.5-23.7c2.8-2.4,4.4-4.9,4.4-7.4%20C341.4,197.9,299.3,187.1,249.8,189.4%20M152.3,227.9c-36.4-3.5-61-10.9-61-20.2c0-0.7,0.2-1.3,0.6-2c8.5-6,34.7-9.8,60.9-13.7%20c0,10.3-0.2,21.5-0.5,33.8L152.3,227.9z%20M226.5,102.5c1.4,10.3-1.6,18.1-6.9,24c-9.5,8.6-24.4,12.5-36.5,14.3%20c0.2-19.4-0.1-39.6-1.8-59.4C204.7,83.9,224.8,89.8,226.5,102.5%20M219.6,229.9c-5.7,0.2-11.5,0.3-17.5,0.3c-7,0-13.9-0.1-20.5-0.4%20l0.3-8.3c-0.6-21,0.7-47.4,1.1-75.6c17.1,2,37.6,6.8,37.3,18.8L219.6,229.9z%20M310.2,213.7c-8.5,6.7-31,11.9-60.8,14.5l0.4-35.8%20c34.1,4.4,61.8,9.4,61.8,17.6C311.6,211.2,311.1,212.5,310.2,213.7'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M342,211.9c-0.6-14-42.7-24.8-92.2-22.4l0.4-33.3c-0.1-20.6-28.3-18.6-37.8-17.3c11.1-2,48.2-11.3,45.9-45.3%20c-1.5-22.6-29.8-33.8-76.6-29.3c-0.8,0.1-1.5,0.2-2.3,0.2c-2.2-16.7-5.6-32.9-10.8-47.8c-6.5,20.2-10.3,36.1-12.4,50.9%20c-29,4.8-49.5,11.6-49.5,11.6s22.6-2,48.3-1.7c-2.9,29.7,0.1,57.9,0,112c-49.2-1.7-91.9,7.8-91.4,22.4%20c0.4,12.7,38.3,24.4,91.4,28.9l2.3,72.2l3.7-49c0.1-6.1,4.7-5.5,4.7-0.3l1.7,64.5l4-52.5c-0.1-7.1,4.9-6.7,4.7-0.4l1.8,67.2%20l3.2-100.2c6.8,0.2,13.8,0.4,20.9,0.4c6.7,0,13.3-0.1,19.8-0.3l3.2,102l2.7-53.4c0-6.8,4.6-6.5,4.6-0.4l2.8,74.9l2.8-64.7%20c0.2-6.4,5.3-6.1,5.4,0l2.3,85.7l3.4-145.6v-0.1C303,236.3,342,224.6,342,211.9%20M228.8,100.2c3.8,28.2-25,37.5-45.7,40.6%20c0.2-20.3-0.1-41.4-2-62C205.5,81.2,227,87,228.8,100.2%20M91.3,207.7c0-8.6,31.9-13.2,63.8-18c0,10.3-0.2,21.5-0.5,33.8l0.1,4.7%20C116.9,224.7,91.3,217.2,91.3,207.7%20M181.6,229.8l0.3-8.3c-0.6-21.7,0.8-49,1.1-78.1c17.4,1.8,39.9,6.5,39.5,19.1l-0.6,67.4%20c-6.4,0.2-13,0.3-19.8,0.3C195.1,230.1,188.3,230,181.6,229.8%20M249.4,228.2l0.5-38.4c35.1,4.5,64,9.6,64,17.9%20C313.9,217.2,287.5,224.8,249.4,228.2'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 8 | Rockets | |||
 | 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | |||
 | 9 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | |||
| 16 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Nets | |||
 | 17 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Raptors | |||
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Bucks | |||
 | 26 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 4 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | |||
| 7 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Pistons | |||
| 18 | Lakers | |||
Sunday, December 22, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | |||
| 25 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | |||
 | 22 | Pelicans | |||
Saturday, December 21, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | |||
| 12 | Kings | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | |||
| 8 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | |||
| 21 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | |||
| 23 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | |||
| 6 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| 26 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 11 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | |||
| 9 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | |||
| 4 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | |||
| 20 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | |||
| 13 | Suns | |||
Friday, December 20, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| 12 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | |||
| 6 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | |||
| 17 | Heat | |||
Thursday, December 19, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | |||
| 25 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | |||
| 10 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | |||
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | |||
| 24 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| 8 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | |||
| 16 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| 9 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | |||
| 4 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | |||
| 13 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | |||
| 20 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | |||
| 29 | Trail Blazers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | |||
| 11 | Kings | |||