Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, December 14, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Hawks | 37% | 116 | 102 | |
13 | Bucks | 63% | 121 | 110 |
Updated: Dec 14, 2024 09:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Rockets | 33% | 105 | 96 | |
2 | Thunder | 67% | 111 | 111 |
Updated: Dec 15, 2024 01:12 AM
game detailFriday, December 13, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 14% | 109 | 105 | |
7 | Cavaliers | 86% | 125 | 115 |
Updated: Dec 14, 2024 12:00 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pacers | 30% | 112 | 121 | |
5 | 76ers | 70% | 119 | 107 |
Updated: Dec 14, 2024 12:00 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Lakers | 29% | 104 | 87 | |
10 | Timberwolves | 71% | 112 | 97 |
Updated: Dec 14, 2024 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Nets | 28% | 109 | 119 | |
8 | Grizzlies | 72% | 117 | 135 |
Updated: Dec 14, 2024 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hornets | 38% | 114 | 95 | |
23 | Bulls | 62% | 118 | 109 |
Updated: Dec 14, 2024 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Clippers | 38% | 113 | 98 | |
12 | Nuggets | 62% | 117 | 120 |
Updated: Dec 14, 2024 01:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Spurs | 67% | 117 | 118 | |
29 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 111 | 116 |
Updated: Dec 14, 2024 02:42 AM
game detailThursday, December 12, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Pistons | 20% | 106 | 99 | |
3 | Celtics | 80% | 118 | 123 |
Updated: Dec 13, 2024 12:17 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Raptors | 28% | 107 | 104 | |
11 | Heat | 72% | 116 | 114 |
Updated: Dec 13, 2024 12:17 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Kings | 59% | 115 | 111 | |
21 | Pelicans | 41% | 112 | 109 |
Updated: Dec 13, 2024 12:42 AM
game detailWednesday, December 11, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Hawks | 28% | 115 | 108 | |
4 | Knicks | 72% | 124 | 100 |
Updated: Dec 11, 2024 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Warriors | 48% | 110 | 90 | |
11 | Rockets | 52% | 111 | 91 |
Updated: Dec 12, 2024 02:12 AM
game detailTuesday, December 10, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Magic | 38% | 107 | 109 | |
13 | Bucks | 62% | 111 | 114 |
Updated: Dec 10, 2024 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mavericks | 45% | 113 | 104 | |
2 | Thunder | 55% | 115 | 118 |
Updated: Dec 11, 2024 02:12 AM
game detailMonday, December 9, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Knicks | 64% | 118 | 113 | |
23 | Raptors | 36% | 112 | 108 |
Updated: Dec 10, 2024 12:12 AM
game detailSunday, December 8, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Hornets | 26% | 109 | 113 | |
19 | Pacers | 74% | 119 | 109 |
Updated: Dec 8, 2024 09:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Nuggets | 46% | 119 | 141 | |
17 | Hawks | 54% | 121 | 111 |
Updated: Dec 8, 2024 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Cavaliers | 52% | 112 | 113 | |
10 | Heat | 48% | 111 | 122 |
Updated: Dec 8, 2024 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Grizzlies | 77% | 121 | 140 | |
30 | Wizards | 23% | 110 | 112 |
Updated: Dec 8, 2024 11:47 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pelicans | 34% | 109 | 116 | |
18 | Spurs | 66% | 115 | 121 |
Updated: Dec 8, 2024 11:47 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Timberwolves | 44% | 108 | 106 | |
5 | Warriors | 56% | 110 | 114 |
Updated: Dec 9, 2024 01:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Rockets | 56% | 108 | 117 | |
20 | Clippers | 44% | 106 | 106 |
Updated: Dec 9, 2024 01:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 110 | 98 | |
26 | Lakers | 60% | 114 | 107 |
Updated: Dec 9, 2024 02:12 AM
game detailSaturday, December 7, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Cavaliers | 77% | 116 | 116 | |
29 | Hornets | 23% | 105 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Nuggets | 83% | 125 | 113 | |
30 | Wizards | 17% | 110 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Thunder | 76% | 115 | 119 | |
21 | Pelicans | 24% | 105 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Pistons | 27% | 109 | 120 | |
8 | Knicks | 73% | 118 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Mavericks | 75% | 120 | 125 | |
24 | Raptors | 25% | 111 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Grizzlies | 30% | 113 | 127 | |
1 | Celtics | 70% | 121 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Suns | 44% | 112 | 111 | |
13 | Heat | 56% | 114 | 121 |
Friday, December 6, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Magic | 60% | 108 | 94 | |
17 | 76ers | 40% | 104 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Lakers | 38% | 114 | 132 | |
14 | Hawks | 62% | 118 | 134 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Bucks | 29% | 111 | 105 | |
2 | Celtics | 71% | 119 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pacers | 55% | 123 | 132 | |
25 | Bulls | 45% | 122 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Kings | 57% | 115 | 140 | |
22 | Spurs | 43% | 113 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Timberwolves | 47% | 110 | 107 | |
8 | Warriors | 53% | 111 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Jazz | 37% | 112 | 141 | |
27 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 117 | 99 |
Thursday, December 5, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Nuggets | 44% | 115 | 114 | |
5 | Cavaliers | 56% | 117 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Mavericks | 84% | 124 | 137 | |
29 | Wizards | 16% | 109 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Hornets | 19% | 105 | 101 | |
4 | Knicks | 81% | 118 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Thunder | 77% | 117 | 129 | |
24 | Raptors | 23% | 105 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Kings | 39% | 115 | 110 | |
7 | Grizzlies | 61% | 119 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Suns | 60% | 115 | 124 | |
25 | Pelicans | 40% | 111 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bulls | 40% | 117 | 139 | |
19 | Spurs | 60% | 120 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Rockets | 54% | 112 | 93 | |
15 | Warriors | 46% | 110 | 99 |
Wednesday, December 4, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Pistons | 16% | 104 | 120 | |
3 | Celtics | 84% | 119 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pacers | 49% | 114 | 90 | |
25 | Nets | 51% | 115 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Lakers | 41% | 108 | 93 | |
14 | Heat | 59% | 112 | 134 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Magic | 64% | 108 | 106 | |
21 | 76ers | 36% | 103 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Hawks | 43% | 116 | 119 | |
13 | Bucks | 57% | 119 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Timberwolves | 51% | 107 | 108 | |
11 | Clippers | 49% | 106 | 80 |
Tuesday, December 3, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | 76ers | 59% | 110 | 110 | |
29 | Hornets | 41% | 106 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 14% | 110 | 87 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 86% | 126 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Bucks | 63% | 114 | 128 | |
25 | Pistons | 37% | 109 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Magic | 46% | 108 | 106 | |
8 | Knicks | 54% | 110 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pacers | 48% | 116 | 111 | |
22 | Raptors | 52% | 117 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Jazz | 13% | 107 | 106 | |
1 | Thunder | 87% | 123 | 133 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Grizzlies | 40% | 116 | 116 | |
4 | Mavericks | 60% | 119 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Spurs | 40% | 114 | 93 | |
14 | Suns | 60% | 118 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Warriors | 43% | 116 | 115 | |
7 | Nuggets | 57% | 119 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | 53% | 112 | 111 | |
13 | Kings | 47% | 111 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 107 | 105 | |
12 | Clippers | 71% | 115 | 127 |
Monday, December 2, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Pelicans | 24% | 109 | 112 | |
18 | Hawks | 76% | 120 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Heat | 20% | 108 | 89 | |
1 | Celtics | 80% | 120 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | 35% | 112 | 102 | |
23 | Bulls | 65% | 118 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Lakers | 32% | 107 | 80 | |
9 | Timberwolves | 68% | 114 | 109 |
Sunday, December 1, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Magic | 69% | 108 | 100 | |
25 | Nets | 31% | 100 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pacers | 33% | 116 | 121 | |
9 | Grizzlies | 67% | 123 | 136 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 54% | 116 | 111 | |
4 | Cavaliers | 46% | 115 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Pelicans | 17% | 108 | 85 | |
3 | Knicks | 83% | 121 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Heat | 60% | 113 | 116 | |
22 | Raptors | 40% | 110 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Thunder | 54% | 110 | 116 | |
5 | Rockets | 46% | 108 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Lakers | 70% | 121 | 105 | |
27 | Jazz | 30% | 113 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Mavericks | 57% | 112 | 137 | |
23 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 110 | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Spurs | 40% | 111 | 127 | |
12 | Kings | 60% | 115 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Nuggets | 49% | 113 | 122 | |
17 | Clippers | 51% | 114 | 126 |