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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 14, 2024
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets33%10596
2Thunder67%111111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 197 · 30.8
41.7
34.8
8
25%
9
7
1
1
0
1
2
7
1-3
33%
2-4
3-7
50%
44%
1-11
9%
Jabari Smith Jr.
F · 6'10" 220 · 21.6
39.6
35.1
14
63%
6
3
1
0
1
3
3
3
6-7
86%
1-4
3-5
25%
51%
2-4
50%
Jalen Green
G · 6'4" 186 · 22.8
34.1
31.9
12
42%
3
2
0
1
1
3
0
3
1-1
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
48%
1-8
13%
Dillon Brooks
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.9
33.2
34.5
14
41%
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
4-13
31%
Alperen Sengun
C · 6'11" 243 · 22.4
32.6
31.8
13
40%
11
2
2
1
0
4
5
6
0-1
0%
5-14
7-14
36%
53%
1-2
50%
Amen Thompson
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 21.9
29.7
29.4
19
58%
7
1
3
1
0
4
4
3
1-3
33%
9-14
4-7
64%
57%
0-1
0%
Tari Eason
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
17.4
23.6
12
56%
2
0
0
2
1
0
0
2
4-6
67%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Steven Adams
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.4
6.3
6.0
4
53%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
2-4
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
55%
0-0
-
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.2
5.5
12.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Reed Sheppard
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.5
5.8
0
0-1
44%
Jae'Sean Tate
F · 6'4" 230 · 29.1
5.4
0
1-1
56%
Cam Whitmore
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.4
2.9
0
1-1
55%
Jock Landale
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
2.7
0
0-1
54%
Nate Williams
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.8
1.7
0
0-1
51%
Jeff Green
F · 6'8" 235 · 38.3
1.1
0
0-0
50%
Jack McVeigh
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 28.5
N'Faly Dante
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'5" 211 · 23.7
38.7
31.1
20
48%
5
5
1
2
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
6-15
6-11
40%
57%
2-5
40%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 195 · 26.4
37.6
34.6
32
58%
8
6
5
2
1
1
0
8
14-15
93%
6-15
8-14
40%
59%
2-6
33%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
33.3
28.3
21
76%
8
2
0
1
1
4
1
7
3-4
75%
9-12
4-7
75%
59%
0-0
-
Cason Wallace
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.1
32.0
28.2
5
42%
6
2
1
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
58%
1-4
25%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.7
31.3
30.2
19
70%
9
1
3
1
0
0
2
7
4-6
67%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
5-9
56%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 30.8
19.7
20.9
0
0%
2
2
1
2
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-3
0%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.5
17.9
17.4
5
58%
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 30.0
10.7
15.1
7
88%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
62%
1-2
50%
Aaron Wiggins
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.9
9.7
14.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Ajay Mitchell
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.5
9.1
13.3
2
114%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Dillon Jones
F · 6'5" 235 · 23.1
7.0
0
0-1
52%
Branden Carlson
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.5
1.9
0
0-0
55%
Alex Ducas
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.0
Nikola Topić
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.3
Adam Flagler
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.0
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'9" 185 · 21.6
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.5
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'1" 208 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.