Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, December 16, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Heat | 66% | 112 | 124 |
 | 27 | Pistons | 34% | 107 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Hornets | 45% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Bulls | 49% | 119 | 122 |
 | 26 | Raptors | 51% | 120 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Nets | 31% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, December 15, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Pelicans | 40% | 114 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 90% | 126 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 61% | 111 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Lakers | 40% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Knicks | 59% | 110 | 100 |
 | 17 | Magic | 41% | 107 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Mavericks | 55% | 116 | 143 |
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Saturday, December 14, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Bucks | 63% | 121 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Thunder | 67% | 111 | 111 |
Friday, December 13, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 14% | 109 | 105 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 86% | 125 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 30% | 112 | 121 |
| 5 | 76ers | 70% | 119 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 29% | 104 | 87 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 71% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 28% | 109 | 119 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 72% | 117 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 38% | 114 | 95 |
| 23 | Bulls | 62% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 38% | 113 | 98 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 62% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 69% | 120 | 134 |
| 27 | Jazz | 31% | 113 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 67% | 117 | 118 |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 111 | 116 |
Thursday, December 12, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 20% | 106 | 99 |
| 3 | Celtics | 80% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 28% | 107 | 104 |
| 11 | Heat | 72% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 59% | 115 | 111 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 41% | 112 | 109 |
Wednesday, December 11, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 28% | 115 | 108 |
| 4 | Knicks | 72% | 124 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 48% | 110 | 90 |
| 11 | Rockets | 52% | 111 | 91 |
Tuesday, December 10, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 38% | 107 | 109 |
| 13 | Bucks | 62% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 45% | 113 | 104 |
| 2 | Thunder | 55% | 115 | 118 |
Monday, December 9, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 64% | 118 | 113 |
| 23 | Raptors | 36% | 112 | 108 |
Sunday, December 8, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 59% | 120 | 108 |
| 23 | Bulls | 41% | 116 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 63% | 113 | 118 |
| 25 | Nets | 37% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 26% | 109 | 113 |
| 19 | Pacers | 74% | 119 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 46% | 119 | 141 |
| 17 | Hawks | 54% | 121 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 52% | 112 | 113 |
| 10 | Heat | 48% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 39% | 106 | 110 |
| 15 | Magic | 61% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 77% | 121 | 140 |
| 30 | Wizards | 23% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 34% | 109 | 116 |
| 18 | Spurs | 66% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 44% | 108 | 106 |
| 5 | Warriors | 56% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 56% | 108 | 117 |
| 20 | Clippers | 44% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 23% | 112 | 97 |
| 6 | Kings | 77% | 123 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 110 | 98 |
| 26 | Lakers | 60% | 114 | 107 |
Saturday, December 7, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 77% | 116 | 116 |
| 29 | Hornets | 23% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 83% | 125 | 113 |
| 30 | Wizards | 17% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 76% | 115 | 119 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 24% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 27% | 109 | 120 |
| 8 | Knicks | 73% | 118 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 75% | 120 | 125 |
| 24 | Raptors | 25% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 30% | 113 | 127 |
| 1 | Celtics | 70% | 121 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 44% | 112 | 111 |
| 13 | Heat | 56% | 114 | 121 |
Friday, December 6, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 60% | 108 | 94 |
| 17 | 76ers | 40% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 38% | 114 | 132 |
| 14 | Hawks | 62% | 118 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 29% | 111 | 105 |
| 2 | Celtics | 71% | 119 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 55% | 123 | 132 |
| 25 | Bulls | 45% | 122 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kings | 57% | 115 | 140 |
| 22 | Spurs | 43% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 47% | 110 | 107 |
| 8 | Warriors | 53% | 111 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 37% | 112 | 141 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 117 | 99 |
Thursday, December 5, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 44% | 115 | 114 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 56% | 117 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 84% | 124 | 137 |
| 29 | Wizards | 16% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 19% | 105 | 101 |
| 4 | Knicks | 81% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 77% | 117 | 129 |
| 24 | Raptors | 23% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 39% | 115 | 110 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 61% | 119 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 60% | 115 | 124 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 40% | 111 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 40% | 117 | 139 |
| 19 | Spurs | 60% | 120 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 54% | 112 | 93 |
| 15 | Warriors | 46% | 110 | 99 |
Wednesday, December 4, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 16% | 104 | 120 |
| 3 | Celtics | 84% | 119 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 49% | 114 | 90 |
| 25 | Nets | 51% | 115 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 41% | 108 | 93 |
| 14 | Heat | 59% | 112 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 64% | 108 | 106 |
| 21 | 76ers | 36% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 43% | 116 | 119 |
| 13 | Bucks | 57% | 119 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 51% | 107 | 108 |
| 11 | Clippers | 49% | 106 | 80 |
Tuesday, December 3, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 59% | 110 | 110 |
| 29 | Hornets | 41% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 14% | 110 | 87 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 86% | 126 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 63% | 114 | 128 |
| 25 | Pistons | 37% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 46% | 108 | 106 |
| 8 | Knicks | 54% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 48% | 116 | 111 |
| 22 | Raptors | 52% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 13% | 107 | 106 |
| 1 | Thunder | 87% | 123 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 40% | 116 | 116 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 60% | 119 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spurs | 40% | 114 | 93 |
| 14 | Suns | 60% | 118 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 43% | 116 | 115 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 57% | 119 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 53% | 112 | 111 |
| 13 | Kings | 47% | 111 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 107 | 105 |
| 12 | Clippers | 71% | 115 | 127 |