Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, December 16, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Heat	66%	112	124	108.8	114	104.9
	27	Pistons	34%	107	125	108.7	115	102.5

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

101

-13

110

DET

+11

-21

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.13 56.4%

DET

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	44.3	35	67%	19	10	4	1	0	0	7	12	10-12	83%	11-18	61%	1-3	33%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	40.7	15	58%	8	3	1	0	1	1	1	7	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	40.6	23	46%	4	1	1	0	3	0	0	4	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	4-17	24%
Duncan Robinson #55 · PG · 6'7" 215 · 31	23.9	13	65%	0	1	1	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 28	19.5	3	75%	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 31	33.9	11	55%	5	6	1	0	2	3	1	4	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 27	30.9	7	70%	0	2	6	0	1	6	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	18.9	13	50%	1	4	1	0	1	3	0	1	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	12.3	4	40%	5	1	0	0	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	NWT - Not With Team
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	NWT - Not With Team
Josh Christopher #8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	124	56%	44	30	16	2	13	19	9	35	22-24	92%	33-56	59%	12-43	28%

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11 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	44.3	35	67%	19	10	4	1	0	0	7	12	10-12	83%	11-18	61%	1-3	33%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	40.7	15	58%	8	3	1	0	1	1	1	7	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	40.6	23	46%	4	1	1	0	3	0	0	4	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	4-17	24%
Duncan Robinson #55 · PG · 6'7" 215 · 31	23.9	13	65%	0	1	1	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · PF · 6'5" 220 · 28	19.5	3	75%	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 31	33.9	11	55%	5	6	1	0	2	3	1	4	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 27	30.9	7	70%	0	2	6	0	1	6	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	18.9	13	50%	1	4	1	0	1	3	0	1	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	12.3	4	40%	5	1	0	0	2	2	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	NWT - Not With Team
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	NWT - Not With Team
Josh Christopher #8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	124	56%	44	30	16	2	13	19	9	35	22-24	92%	33-56	59%	12-43	28%

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27 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 23	42.3	20	53%	11	18	0	1	4	2	1	10	3-5	60%	4-11	36%	3-6	50%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 28	40.7	28	74%	3	4	0	1	2	2	0	3	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	7-13	54%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #8 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 33	36.3	16	67%	2	2	1	0	2	5	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	5-10	50%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 21	31.8	9	64%	16	2	1	1	5	5	4	12	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Ausar Thompson #9 · PF · 6'7" 205 · 22	26.9	19	59%	9	1	4	1	3	5	0	9	2-4	50%	7-11	64%	1-3	33%

Simone Fontecchio #19 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 29	24.2	9	56%	2	2	0	0	3	0	1	1	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Ronald Holland II #00 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 19	23.2	8	67%	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 24	20.6	6	75%	0	3	1	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Paul Reed #7 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26	11.6	6	60%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 24	7.3	4	50%	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision \| Left Knee Pain
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Javante McCoy #99 · SG · 6'5" 180 · 27	INACTIVE
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Cole Swider #13 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alondes Williams #31 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	125	60%	52	32	8	4	21	24	7	45	17-23	74%	24-50	48%	20-40	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DET
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DET

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.13 56.4%

DET

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

72%

DET

57%

Midrange

MIA

44%

DET

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

18.0

28%

42%

DET

30.0

50%

75%

Free Throws

MIA

92%

DET

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	35	67%	17.5 / 26
T. Herro	23	46%	11.5 / 25
B. Adebayo	15	58%	7.5 / 13
D. Robinson	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Jaquez	13	50%	6.5 / 13
T. Rozier	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. Smith	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Love	4	40%	2.0 / 5
H. Highsmith	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Beasley	28	74%	14.0 / 19
C. Cunningham	20	53%	10.0 / 19
A. Thompson	19	59%	9.5 / 16
T. Hardaway	16	67%	8.0 / 12
J. Duren	9	64%	4.5 / 7
S. Fontecchio	9	56%	4.5 / 8
R. Holland	8	67%	4.0 / 6
M. Sasser	6	75%	3.0 / 4
P. Reed	6	60%	3.0 / 5
I. Stewart	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 112.4 14 114.5	MIA 108.8 +0.1 DET 108.7
Pace	27 97.2 12 100.3	MIA 104.9 +2.4 DET 102.5
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.9 21 14.3	MIA 13.7 −0.3 DET 14.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 54.4% 16 54.7%	MIA 51.5% DET 60.0% +8.5%
TO %	8 12.8% 21 14.0%	MIA 10.6% −7.4% DET 18.0%
ORB %	27 22.3% 11 26.2%	MIA 16.7% DET 16.7%
FTrt	24 23.2 12 24.8	MIA 24.2 DET 25.6 +1.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 65.3% 21 61.8%	MIA 66.7% DET 72.7% +6.0%
STL %	12 8.3% 20 7.9%	MIA 14.0% +7.0% DET 7.0%
BLK %	30 7.6% 6 10.4%	MIA 4.0% DET 7.1% +3.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.0% 16 56.6%	MIA 56.4% DET 59.5% +3.1%
Rim FG%	22 62.5% 16 63.7%	MIA 72.4% +15.3% DET 57.1%
Mid FG%	12 44.4% 16 43.5%	MIA 44.4% +8.0% DET 36.4%
3P %	11 36.7% 17 36.2%	MIA 27.9% DET 50.0% +22.1%
FT %	8 79.1% 20 77.4%	MIA 91.7% +17.8% DET 73.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 29.6% 5 34.4%	MIA 29.3% DET 31.1% +1.8%
Mid Att. %	20 27.5% 14 26.2%	MIA 27.3% DET 24.4% −2.8%
3P Att. %	12 42.9% 22 39.4%	MIA 43.4% DET 44.4% +1.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	DET
Possessions	114	115
Possession Minutes	26.1	26.9
Points	124	125
Rebounds	44	52
Assists	30	32
Steals	16	8
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	21 (1)
Fouls	19	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (0)	7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (2)	45 (1)
Field Goals	45-99	44-90
At-the-Rim FG	21-29	16-28
Midrange FG	12-27	8-22
2-Point FG	33-56	24-50
3-Point FG	12-43	20-40
Free Throws	22-24	17-23
Fast Break Pts	17	26
2nd Chance Pts	9	6
Points in Paint	62	44
Pts off Turnovers	28	14
Bench Points	35	33
Biggest Lead	8	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg