Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 15, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Timberwolves	61%	111	106	106.0	100	102.0
	20	Spurs	39%	107	92	92.9	99	97.1

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+21

-12

109

SAS

+16

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

0.97 48.6%

SAS

0.95 47.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

8 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	34.8	10	45%	9	2	1	1	2	2	4	5	0-1	0%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	28.5	11	42%	4	3	2	1	2	3	2	2	3-4	75%	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	28.5	26	62%	5	2	0	0	1	3	0	5	3-3	100%	7-14	50%	3-7	43%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	27.9	9	50%	5	8	1	1	3	2	3	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	3-5	60%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	27.6	12	55%	11	1	4	0	1	1	4	7	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	2-2	100%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	26.8	3	15%	8	3	0	1	0	1	0	8	1-1	100%	1-6	17%	0-4	0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	24.4	17	53%	3	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	2-8	25%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	20.2	7	50%	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	9.5	3	50%	1	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	3.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 26	3.0	4	100%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 28	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	3.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daishen Nix #1 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Soleus; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	49%	51	26	11	4	12	13	14	37	14-16	88%	28-65	43%	12-35	34%

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8 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	34.8	10	45%	9	2	1	1	2	2	4	5	0-1	0%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	28.5	11	42%	4	3	2	1	2	3	2	2	3-4	75%	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	28.5	26	62%	5	2	0	0	1	3	0	5	3-3	100%	7-14	50%	3-7	43%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	27.9	9	50%	5	8	1	1	3	2	3	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	3-5	60%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	27.6	12	55%	11	1	4	0	1	1	4	7	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	2-2	100%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	26.8	3	15%	8	3	0	1	0	1	0	8	1-1	100%	1-6	17%	0-4	0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	24.4	17	53%	3	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	2-8	25%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	20.2	7	50%	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	9.5	3	50%	1	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	3.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 26	3.0	4	100%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 28	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	3.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daishen Nix #1 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Soleus; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	49%	51	26	11	4	12	13	14	37	14-16	88%	28-65	43%	12-35	34%

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20 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	33.4	20	48%	12	5	0	7	4	4	1	11	3-3	100%	7-13	54%	1-7	14%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	30.4	17	77%	1	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	4-7	57%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 22	30.4	17	71%	15	4	2	1	5	3	5	10	3-4	75%	7-8	88%	0-2	0%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	30.2	0	0%	4	9	2	0	3	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SG · 6'7" 217 · 23	29.2	11	39%	6	1	2	0	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-12	25%

Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	25.0	4	18%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-6	0%
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 20	23.0	2	13%	2	5	0	0	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-3	0%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	14.6	8	80%	7	1	0	0	2	2	2	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	9.5	4	67%	2	5	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	8.4	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	3.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	3.0	6	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Low Back; Contusion
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Sprain
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	47%	50	34	6	8	18	18	12	38	7-9	78%	26-46	57%	11-45	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

0.97 48.6%

SAS

0.95 47.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

43%

SAS

61%

Midrange

MIN

43%

SAS

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

18.0

34%

51%

SAS

16.5

24%

37%

Free Throws

MIN

88%

SAS

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	26	62%	13.0 / 21
N. Alexander-Walker	17	53%	8.5 / 16
J. McDaniels	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Randle	11	42%	5.5 / 13
R. Gobert	10	45%	5.0 / 11
M. Conley	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. DiVincenzo	7	50%	3.5 / 7
L. Garza	4	100%	2.0 / 2
N. Reid	3	15%	1.5 / 10
R. Dillingham	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Minott	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Shannon	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	20	48%	10.0 / 21
H. Barnes	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Sochan	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Champagnie	11	39%	5.5 / 14
C. Bassey	8	80%	4.0 / 5
S. Cissoko	6	150%	3.0 / 2
D. Vassell	4	18%	2.0 / 11
B. Wesley	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Mamukelashvili	3	50%	1.5 / 3
S. Castle	2	13%	1.0 / 8
C. Paul	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 115.7 19 113.5	MIN 106.0 +13.1 SAS 92.9
Pace	25 98.1 13 100.1	MIN 102.0 +4.8 SAS 97.1
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 20 14.3	MIN 14.1 −0.7 SAS 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 18 54.4%	MIN 46.0% SAS 46.7% +0.7%
TO %	19 13.9% 11 13.2%	MIN 10.1% −6.6% SAS 16.7%
ORB %	14 25.7% 20 24.3%	MIN 26.9% +2.4% SAS 24.5%
FTrt	11 24.9 22 23.4	MIN 16.0 +6.1 SAS 9.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 63.7% 3 68.5%	MIN 65.0% SAS 91.9% +26.9%
STL %	16 8.1% 14 8.2%	MIN 11.0% +4.9% SAS 6.1%
BLK %	14 9.5% 5 10.5%	MIN 8.7% SAS 12.3% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.3% 18 56.3%	MIN 48.6% +1.2% SAS 47.4%
Rim FG%	12 64.8% 14 63.9%	MIN 43.2% SAS 60.6% +17.4%
Mid FG%	27 39.5% 20 41.8%	MIN 42.9% SAS 46.2% +3.3%
3P %	4 37.7% 20 35.7%	MIN 34.3% +9.9% SAS 24.4%
FT %	10 78.9% 21 77.4%	MIN 87.5% +9.7% SAS 77.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.2% 8 33.7%	MIN 37.0% +0.7% SAS 36.3%
Mid Att. %	6 22.3% 4 22.2%	MIN 28.0% SAS 14.3% −13.7%
3P Att. %	6 45.5% 8 44.1%	MIN 35.0% SAS 49.5% +14.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	SAS
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	106	92
Rebounds	51	50
Assists	26	34
Steals	11	6
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	18 (1)
Fouls	13	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (7)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	38 (2)
Field Goals	40-100	37-91
At-the-Rim FG	16-37	20-33
Midrange FG	12-28	6-13
2-Point FG	28-65	26-46
3-Point FG	12-35	11-45
Free Throws	14-16	7-9
Fast Break Pts	17	13
2nd Chance Pts	22	9
Points in Paint	42	46
Pts off Turnovers	30	14
Bench Points	38	27
Biggest Lead	23	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg