Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, December 15, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Pelicans | 40% | 114 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Knicks | 59% | 110 | 100 |
 | 17 | Magic | 41% | 107 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 90% | 126 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 61% | 111 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Mavericks | 55% | 116 | 143 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Lakers | 40% | 113 | 116 |
Saturday, December 14, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_2_1_'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23E03A3E;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_2_'%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M312.9,93.7c-28.8-30.8-70.7-48.4-115-48.4c-3.8,0-7.6,0.1-11.3,0.5c-71.5,4.8-106,55.7-109.6,61.3%20c-5.4,6.7-50.7,68-20.3,152.6l0.6,1.8C57.6,262.4,87.2,353,193,353l0,0c5.6,0,11.5-0.3,17.4-0.8c79.1-6.9,137.8-65.3,142.8-141.9%20C356.3,166.2,342,124.8,312.9,93.7'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M305.4,100.6c-29.7-31.7-73.5-48-118.3-44.9C116,60.5,84.4,113.4,84.4,113.4s56.4,17.1,64.1,19.5%20c5.4,1.6,40.4,10.4,56.3,19c3.3,1.8,6.5,5.5,9.7,8.8c2.4,2.5,4.6,4.9,6.9,6.8c4.2,3.4,8.2,6.3,12.2,9.2%20c9.7,7.1,18.2,13.1,22.2,22.4c3.4,8,3.5,16.4,0.5,24.1c-2.7,6.7-8,12.8-14.4,17c0.7-3.4,1.5-8.3-3.1-11.3%20c-2.1-1.3-12.6-3.8-19.7-4.6c-3.4-0.3-41.5-2.1-94.3,26.4c15.8-21.2,27.2-24.7,27.2-24.7c-0.5-2.5-85.5,31.9-85.5,31.9%20s29.4,94.1,142.8,84.1c73.9-6.5,128.9-60.6,133.7-132.7C345.8,168.2,332.4,129.5,305.4,100.6%20M281.8,233.8%20c10.7-23.6,5.4-49.2-12.8-69.5c-5-5.6-11.3-9.5-17.3-13.1c-3.9-2.4-8-4.9-11.6-7.9c-1.7-1.4-3.1-3.3-4.6-5.2%20c-1.8-2.5-3.9-5.4-6.9-7.4c-16.7-12.2-36.5-16.5-55.9-22.2c-9.2-2.7-18.1-4.7-26.5-7.7c10.5-7.2,23.8-12,38.4-13.3%20c4.6-0.5,9.1-0.7,13.7-0.7c43.1,0,80.5,21.6,100.5,58c19.9,36.3,18.7,80.4-3.4,115.2c-22.7,35.7-62.9,54.6-108.4,50.8%20c-27.2-2.2-56.3-16.6-65.2-32c5.5-3.4,55.2-29.7,89.3-19.1c9.7,0-5.8,23.7-5.8,23.7S261.6,278.4,281.8,233.8'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M197.7,162.3c-18.2,0.7-35.1-21.3-49.1-6.8c2.7,0.7,8.3-1.4,9.1,1.1C150.5,185,197.3,192.4,197.7,162.3'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 18 | Hawks | 37% | 116 | 102 |
 | 13 | Bucks | 63% | 121 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Thunder | 67% | 111 | 111 |
Friday, December 13, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 30% | 112 | 121 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 14% | 109 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Hornets | 38% | 114 | 95 |
 | 23 | Bulls | 62% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Nets | 28% | 109 | 119 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 72% | 117 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 29% | 104 | 87 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 71% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 69% | 120 | 134 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 67% | 117 | 118 |
| 29 | Blazers | 33% | 111 | 116 |
Thursday, December 12, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Pistons | 20% | 106 | 99 |
| 3 | Celtics | 80% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Raptors | 28% | 107 | 104 |
 | 11 | Heat | 72% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | Pelicans | 41% | 112 | 109 |
Wednesday, December 11, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 28% | 115 | 108 |
| 4 | Knicks | 72% | 124 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 48% | 110 | 90 |
| 11 | Rockets | 52% | 111 | 91 |
Tuesday, December 10, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 38% | 107 | 109 |
| 13 | Bucks | 62% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 45% | 113 | 104 |
| 2 | Thunder | 55% | 115 | 118 |
Monday, December 9, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 64% | 118 | 113 |
| 23 | Raptors | 36% | 112 | 108 |
Sunday, December 8, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 59% | 120 | 108 |
| 23 | Bulls | 41% | 116 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 63% | 113 | 118 |
| 25 | Nets | 37% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 26% | 109 | 113 |
| 19 | Pacers | 74% | 119 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 46% | 119 | 141 |
| 17 | Hawks | 54% | 121 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 52% | 112 | 113 |
| 10 | Heat | 48% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 39% | 106 | 110 |
| 15 | Magic | 61% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 77% | 121 | 140 |
| 30 | Wizards | 23% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 34% | 109 | 116 |
| 18 | Spurs | 66% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 44% | 108 | 106 |
| 5 | Warriors | 56% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 56% | 108 | 117 |
| 20 | Clippers | 44% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 23% | 112 | 97 |
| 6 | Kings | 77% | 123 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Blazers | 40% | 110 | 98 |
| 26 | Lakers | 60% | 114 | 107 |
Saturday, December 7, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 77% | 116 | 116 |
| 29 | Hornets | 23% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 76% | 115 | 119 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 24% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 83% | 125 | 113 |
| 30 | Wizards | 17% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 75% | 120 | 125 |
| 24 | Raptors | 25% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 27% | 109 | 120 |
| 8 | Knicks | 73% | 118 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 30% | 113 | 127 |
| 1 | Celtics | 70% | 121 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 44% | 112 | 111 |
| 13 | Heat | 56% | 114 | 121 |
Friday, December 6, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 60% | 108 | 94 |
| 17 | 76ers | 40% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 38% | 114 | 132 |
| 14 | Hawks | 62% | 118 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 29% | 111 | 105 |
| 2 | Celtics | 71% | 119 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 55% | 123 | 132 |
| 25 | Bulls | 45% | 122 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kings | 57% | 115 | 140 |
| 22 | Spurs | 43% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 47% | 110 | 107 |
| 8 | Warriors | 53% | 111 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 37% | 112 | 141 |
| 27 | Blazers | 63% | 117 | 99 |
Thursday, December 5, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 84% | 124 | 137 |
| 29 | Wizards | 16% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 44% | 115 | 114 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 56% | 117 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 77% | 117 | 129 |
| 24 | Raptors | 23% | 105 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 19% | 105 | 101 |
| 4 | Knicks | 81% | 118 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 40% | 117 | 139 |
| 19 | Spurs | 60% | 120 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 60% | 115 | 124 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 40% | 111 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 39% | 115 | 110 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 61% | 119 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 54% | 112 | 93 |
| 15 | Warriors | 46% | 110 | 99 |
Wednesday, December 4, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 16% | 104 | 120 |
| 3 | Celtics | 84% | 119 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 49% | 114 | 90 |
| 25 | Nets | 51% | 115 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 41% | 108 | 93 |
| 14 | Heat | 59% | 112 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 64% | 108 | 106 |
| 21 | 76ers | 36% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 43% | 116 | 119 |
| 13 | Bucks | 57% | 119 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 51% | 107 | 108 |
| 11 | Clippers | 49% | 106 | 80 |
Tuesday, December 3, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 59% | 110 | 110 |
| 29 | Hornets | 41% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 14% | 110 | 87 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 86% | 126 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 63% | 114 | 128 |
| 25 | Pistons | 37% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 46% | 108 | 106 |
| 8 | Knicks | 54% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 48% | 116 | 111 |
| 22 | Raptors | 52% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 13% | 107 | 106 |
| 1 | Thunder | 87% | 123 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 40% | 116 | 116 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 60% | 119 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spurs | 40% | 114 | 93 |
| 14 | Suns | 60% | 118 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 43% | 116 | 115 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 57% | 119 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 53% | 112 | 111 |
| 13 | Kings | 47% | 111 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Blazers | 29% | 107 | 105 |
| 12 | Clippers | 71% | 115 | 127 |
Monday, December 2, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pelicans | 24% | 109 | 112 |
| 18 | Hawks | 76% | 120 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 20% | 108 | 89 |
| 1 | Celtics | 80% | 120 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 32% | 107 | 80 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 68% | 114 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 35% | 112 | 102 |
| 23 | Bulls | 65% | 118 | 128 |