Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, December 15, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Pelicans | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Timberwolves | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_2'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23F79E1E;}%20.st1{fill:%23E46025;}%20.st2{fill:%23B65B27;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_1_'%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st0'%20points='20.3,339.6%20190,246.7%2074.9,339.6%20214.5,259.4%20212.3,275.5%20235.6,262.6%20288.1,312.3%20316.1,228.2%20351.6,223.2%20336,174.6%20369,145.9%20325.2,127.4%20337.2,76.4%20296.9,94.9%20277.9,49.3%20243.8,83.3%20187.7,53.9%20177.6,109.1%20125.8,120.3%20156.5,138.9%20125.6,154.4%20151.8,156.6%2044,240.5%20152.5,182.8%2036,271.4%20159.9,206.9%2027.7,306.4%20173.5,228.6%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M330.8,175.4c-1.9,46.6-41.3,82.8-87.9,80.9c-46.6-1.9-82.8-41.3-80.9-87.9s41.3-82.8,87.9-80.9%20C296.5,89.4,332.7,128.7,330.8,175.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M256.7,244.7c-46.6-1.9-82.8-41.3-80.9-87.9c0.9-21.6,9.8-40.9,23.8-55.2c-21.7,14.5-36.4,38.8-37.6,66.8%20c-1.9,46.6,34.3,86,80.9,87.9c25,1,48-8.9,64.2-25.7C292.7,240.2,275.3,245.5,256.7,244.7'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M330.9,172.8c0-3-0.1-6-0.4-9c-4.9-3.4-10.6-6-17.6-6.9c-1.3-0.2-2.5-0.3-3.8-0.4c-0.8-5.6-2.1-11-3.7-16.4%20c0.9,0.1,1.7,0.1,2.6,0.2c5.9,0.5,11.8,1.1,17.6,1.9c-0.8-2.2-1.7-4.3-2.6-6.3c-6.5-1-13.1-1.7-19.8-2.3h-0.1%20c-2.2-5.5-4.7-10.6-7.8-15.7c4.3-0.9,8.2-2.6,11.3-5.6c-1.5-1.6-3.3-3.2-5-4.6c-2.7,2.5-6.2,3.8-10.3,4.4c-0.6-0.9-1.3-1.7-1.9-2.5%20c-5.7-7.5-12.4-13.8-19.7-19c-6.4-1.8-13-2.9-19.9-3.3c-0.4,0-0.7,0-1.2,0c12.8,5.1,24.3,13.6,33.5,24.9%20c-8.8-0.8-18.9-3.8-28.9-6.7c-3-0.9-5.9-1.7-8.6-2.5c-17.1-4.7-30.2-5.5-40-4.6c-7.3,4.2-13.9,9.4-19.7,15.5%20c10.6-4.5,32.1-12,58.2-4.8c2.7,0.7,5.6,1.6,8.6,2.5c11.5,3.4,24.4,7.2,35.6,7.3c3.1,4.6,5.7,9.4,7.9,14.5%20c-2.2-0.1-4.4-0.2-6.6-0.2c-54.2-0.9-100.8,15.3-126.6,41.2c0.2,5.2,0.7,10.2,1.7,15.1c7.3-10.5,18-19.9,31.9-27.8%20c26.3-14.7,61.1-22.6,98.1-21.8c1.3,0,2.5,0.1,3.8,0.1c1.9,5.4,3.3,10.9,4.2,16.6c-23.8,1-39.3,15.9-57.1,31.8%20c-15.9,14.3-35.4,28.5-63.8,37c2.6,3.3,5.6,6.4,8.7,9.2c26.9-10.7,44.6-27.6,59.6-41.1c17.1-15.3,31.8-29.9,53.2-30.7%20c0.5,5.9,0.5,12,0,18.1c-2.9,33.1-22,61.2-48.2,75c6.6-0.6,13.2-2,19.3-4.2c2.1-1.7,4.2-3.5,6.1-5.5c17.1-16.8,27.8-39.9,29.9-64.7%20c0.5-6.2,0.5-12.4,0-18.5c1.1,0.1,2.2,0.2,3.3,0.4C320.5,164.6,326.3,168.4,330.9,172.8'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 13 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Lakers | |||
Friday, December 13, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | |||
| 12 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Nets | |||
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Hornets | |||
 | 24 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | |||
| 28 | Trail Blazers | |||
Thursday, December 12, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Pistons | |||
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Raptors | |||
 | 17 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 22 | Pelicans | |||
Wednesday, December 11, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, December 10, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Magic | |||
 | 13 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Mavericks | |||
 | 2 | Thunder | |||
Monday, December 9, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| 23 | Raptors | |||
Sunday, December 8, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | |||
| 25 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | |||
| 24 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| 20 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | |||
| 21 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | |||
| 17 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | |||
| 7 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| 18 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | |||
| 4 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | |||
| 11 | Clippers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| 14 | Kings | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Trail Blazers | |||
| 19 | Lakers | |||
Saturday, December 7, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | |||
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | |||
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | |||
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | |||
| 23 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | |||
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | |||
| 17 | Heat | |||
Friday, December 6, 2024
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | |||
| 16 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | |||
| 21 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | |||
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | |||
| 25 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | |||
| 18 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | |||
| 4 | Warriors | |||
Tuesday, December 3, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 14% | 110 | 87 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 86% | 126 | 118 |
Updated: Dec 3, 2024 11:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 53% | 112 | 111 |
| 16 | Kings | 47% | 111 | 120 |
Updated: Dec 4, 2024 02:42 AM
game detailMonday, December 2, 2024
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 24% | 109 | 112 |
| 21 | Hawks | 76% | 120 | 124 |
Updated: Dec 3, 2024 12:17 AM
game detail