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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 6, 2025
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Mavericks40%113104
13Grizzlies60%117119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'6" 230 · 26.4
31.8
25.9
17
38%
10
5
3
1
0
2
2
8
1-1
100%
5-14
3-6
36%
50%
2-8
25%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.9
22.5
22.8
4
67%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Dereck Lively II
C · 7'1" 230 · 20.9
32.9
24.7
14
64%
12
1
0
1
3
0
5
7
0-0
-
7-11
4-5
64%
69%
0-0
-
Naji Marshall
F · 6'6" 220 · 27.0
32.7
6.2
16
47%
6
3
2
0
0
2
1
5
4-5
80%
3-9
1-2
33%
55%
2-6
33%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'5" 220 · 34.9
26.6
28.4
15
44%
4
3
0
1
2
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
50%
3-8
38%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 31.8
29.6
25.0
6
100%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Quentin Grimes
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.7
26.0
29.4
9
35%
6
6
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
55%
1-6
17%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'3" 198 · 22.5
21.2
19.9
15
69%
3
2
1
1
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
3-5
60%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 26.3
7.8
18.4
5
58%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-3
33%
2-3
4-6
67%
67%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.5
6.4
7.9
2
50%
5
1
0
0
0
1
4
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
63%
0-0
-
Brandon Williams
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.1
1.3
11.9
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.5
1.3
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 35.3
2.9
0
0-0
47%
Danté Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 29.5
Jazian Gortman
G · 6'2" 184 · 21.8
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.8
Kessler Edwards
F · 6'7" 203 · 24.4
Luka Dončić
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Wells
F · 6'8" 206 · 21.4
34.9
31.8
17
54%
11
1
0
1
0
0
2
9
10-11
91%
2-6
3-6
33%
54%
1-5
20%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 25.3
34.2
33.3
35
62%
13
5
3
1
1
2
5
8
8-12
67%
12-21
7-13
57%
55%
1-2
50%
Zach Edey
C · 7'4" 305 · 22.7
13.3
22.4
4
50%
3
0
0
1
2
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-6
67%
61%
0-1
0%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.8
22.5
13.6
5
39%
13
2
0
1
0
0
3
10
1-1
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
56%
0-3
0%
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.2
28.2
23.9
18
61%
5
4
5
1
1
1
1
4
3-4
75%
3-6
3-5
50%
53%
3-7
43%
Jay Huff
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.4
27.6
11.7
11
79%
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
64%
3-6
50%
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.2
27.5
20.2
7
53%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
1-2
2-3
50%
55%
0-2
0%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.5
24.4
18.3
13
72%
4
4
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.3
14.9
19.9
6
40%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-1
0%
3-7
3-5
43%
64%
0-0
-
Cam Spencer
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.8
10.2
9.6
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
1-3
33%
Yuki Kawamura
G · 5'8" 159 · 23.7
2.3
6.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Colin Castleton
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.6
3.4
0
0-1
55%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.5
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.4
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.1
Santi Aldama
F-C · 7'0" 215 · 24.0
Ja Morant
G · 6'2" 174 · 25.4
Marcus Smart
G · 6'3" 220 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.