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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 6, 2025
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Mavericks40%113104
13Grizzlies60%117119
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dereck Lively II
C · 7'1" 230 · 20.9
32.9
24.7
14
64%
12
1
0
1
3
0
5
7
0-0
-
7-11
4-5
64%
69%
0-0
-
Naji Marshall
F · 6'6" 220 · 27.0
32.7
6.2
16
47%
6
3
2
0
0
2
1
5
4-5
80%
3-9
1-2
33%
55%
2-6
33%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'6" 230 · 26.4
31.8
25.9
17
38%
10
5
3
1
0
2
2
8
1-1
100%
5-14
3-6
36%
50%
2-8
25%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'5" 220 · 34.9
26.6
28.4
15
44%
4
3
0
1
2
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
50%
3-8
38%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.9
22.5
22.8
4
67%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'5" 215 · 31.8
29.6
25.0
6
100%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Quentin Grimes
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.7
26.0
29.4
9
35%
6
6
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
55%
1-6
17%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'3" 198 · 22.5
21.2
19.9
15
69%
3
2
1
1
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
3-5
60%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 26.3
7.8
18.4
5
58%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-3
33%
2-3
4-6
67%
67%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.5
6.4
7.9
2
50%
5
1
0
0
0
1
4
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
63%
0-0
-
Brandon Williams
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.1
1.3
11.9
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.5
1.3
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 35.3
2.9
0
0-0
47%
Kessler Edwards
F · 6'7" 203 · 24.4
Jazian Gortman
G · 6'2" 184 · 21.8
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.8
Danté Exum
G · 6'5" 214 · 29.5
Luka Dončić
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Wells
F · 6'8" 206 · 21.4
34.9
31.8
17
54%
11
1
0
1
0
0
2
9
10-11
91%
2-6
3-6
33%
54%
1-5
20%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 25.3
34.2
33.3
35
62%
13
5
3
1
1
2
5
8
8-12
67%
12-21
7-13
57%
55%
1-2
50%
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.2
28.2
23.9
18
61%
5
4
5
1
1
1
1
4
3-4
75%
3-6
3-5
50%
53%
3-7
43%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.8
22.5
13.6
5
39%
13
2
0
1
0
0
3
10
1-1
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
56%
0-3
0%
Zach Edey
C · 7'4" 305 · 22.7
13.3
22.4
4
50%
3
0
0
1
2
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-6
67%
61%
0-1
0%
Jay Huff
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.4
27.6
11.7
11
79%
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
64%
3-6
50%
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.2
27.5
20.2
7
53%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
1-2
2-3
50%
55%
0-2
0%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 206 · 28.5
24.4
18.3
13
72%
4
4
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.3
14.9
19.9
6
40%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-1
0%
3-7
3-5
43%
64%
0-0
-
Cam Spencer
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.8
10.2
9.6
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
1-3
33%
Yuki Kawamura
G · 5'8" 159 · 23.7
2.3
6.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Colin Castleton
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.6
3.4
0
0-1
55%
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.1
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.4
Santi Aldama
F-C · 7'0" 215 · 24.0
Marcus Smart
G · 6'3" 220 · 30.8
Ja Morant
G · 6'2" 174 · 25.4
Desmond Bane
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.