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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 6, 2025
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Heat42%109118
12Kings58%112123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.0
48.9
33.3
26
52%
7
4
2
1
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
7-15
4-7
47%
51%
4-10
40%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'5" 220 · 28.1
45.7
21.3
14
75%
6
1
0
1
2
0
2
4
2-3
67%
3-4
1-2
75%
54%
2-4
50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
45.6
24.8
16
48%
12
10
5
1
1
3
4
8
2-4
50%
7-13
3-6
54%
54%
0-2
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 27.5
45.0
28.2
18
42%
12
2
4
1
1
2
2
10
5-6
83%
5-14
5-9
36%
55%
1-5
20%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.8
41.4
20.5
18
54%
7
3
1
1
0
2
2
5
4-4
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
49%
2-8
25%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.7
24.9
21.6
8
50%
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
55%
2-7
29%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.6
20.5
25.4
12
56%
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
6-6
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
54%
0-4
0%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.7
13.1
18.5
6
63%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-4
50%
2-2
3-5
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
5.1
6.6
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.5
11.3
0
1-2
52%
Alec Burks
G · 6'5" 214 · 33.5
11.1
0
1-1
44%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
6.6
0
1-2
53%
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 36.3
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.2
Jimmy Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 35.3
Dru Smith
G · 6'2" 203 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Domantas Sabonis
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 28.7
50.5
32.1
21
55%
18
11
1
1
3
6
5
13
5-7
71%
5-14
7-11
36%
61%
2-2
100%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.9
48.5
30.5
23
41%
5
6
2
1
0
1
2
3
6-7
86%
7-16
3-6
44%
53%
1-9
11%
Keon Ellis
G · 6'4" 175 · 25.0
48.5
26.3
17
69%
8
3
3
1
1
2
1
7
2-3
67%
3-4
1-2
75%
58%
3-7
43%
DeMar DeRozan
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.4
46.9
31.5
30
53%
3
4
0
1
1
3
0
3
5-5
100%
11-22
6-11
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.4
43.5
29.4
14
70%
12
1
0
1
1
0
5
7
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
4-6
67%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 29.2
23.4
23.6
6
34%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
1-5
20%
Kevin Huerter
G-F · 6'7" 198 · 26.4
15.2
18.6
7
44%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
56%
1-4
25%
Devin Carter
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.8
9.5
18.2
5
51%
4
3
0
1
2
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 31.6
2.4
9.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.0
1.6
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Jordan McLaughlin
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.7
4.4
0
0-0
45%
Orlando Robinson
C · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
3.8
0
0-1
55%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 34.5
2.8
0
0-0
53%
Mason Jones
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.5
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
Colby Jones
G · 6'6" 207 · 22.6
Isaiah Crawford
F · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
Isaac Jones
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.