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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 6, 2025
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Heat42%109118
12Kings58%112123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'5" 220 · 28.1
45.7
21.3
14
75%
6
1
0
1
2
0
2
4
2-3
67%
3-4
1-2
75%
54%
2-4
50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
45.6
24.8
16
48%
12
10
5
1
1
3
4
8
2-4
50%
7-13
3-6
54%
54%
0-2
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 27.5
45.0
28.2
18
42%
12
2
4
1
1
2
2
10
5-6
83%
5-14
5-9
36%
55%
1-5
20%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.0
48.9
33.3
26
52%
7
4
2
1
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
7-15
4-7
47%
51%
4-10
40%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.8
41.3
20.5
18
54%
7
3
1
1
0
2
2
5
4-4
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
49%
2-8
25%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.7
25.0
21.6
8
50%
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
55%
2-7
29%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.6
20.5
25.4
12
56%
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
6-6
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
54%
0-4
0%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.7
13.1
18.5
6
63%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-4
50%
2-2
3-5
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
5.1
6.6
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.5
11.3
0
1-2
52%
Alec Burks
G · 6'5" 214 · 33.5
11.1
0
1-1
44%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
6.6
0
1-2
53%
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 36.3
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Dru Smith
G · 6'2" 203 · 27.0
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.2
Jimmy Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 35.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.4
46.9
31.5
30
53%
3
4
0
1
1
3
0
3
5-5
100%
11-22
6-11
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.4
43.5
29.4
14
70%
12
1
0
1
1
0
5
7
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
4-6
67%
Domantas Sabonis
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 28.7
50.5
32.1
21
55%
18
11
1
1
3
6
5
13
5-7
71%
5-14
7-11
36%
61%
2-2
100%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.9
48.5
30.5
23
41%
5
6
2
1
0
1
2
3
6-7
86%
7-16
3-6
44%
53%
1-9
11%
Keon Ellis
G · 6'4" 175 · 25.0
48.5
26.3
17
69%
8
3
3
1
1
2
1
7
2-3
67%
3-4
1-2
75%
58%
3-7
43%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 29.2
23.4
23.6
6
34%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
1-5
20%
Kevin Huerter
G-F · 6'7" 198 · 26.4
15.2
18.6
7
44%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
56%
1-4
25%
Devin Carter
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.8
9.5
18.2
5
51%
4
3
0
1
2
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 31.6
2.4
9.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 33.0
1.6
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Jordan McLaughlin
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.7
4.4
0
0-0
45%
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.5
3.8
0
0-1
55%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 34.5
2.8
0
0-0
53%
Isaac Jones
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.5
Isaiah Crawford
F · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
Colby Jones
G · 6'6" 207 · 22.6
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
Mason Jones
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.