Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Heat	42%	109	118	101.7	116	97.6
	12	Kings	58%	112	123	105.1	117	95.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	48.9	26	52%	7	4	2	0	3	2	1	6	0-0	-	7-15	47%	4-10	40%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28	45.7	14	78%	6	1	0	2	0	3	2	4	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 24	45.6	16	47%	12	10	5	1	3	3	4	8	2-4	50%	7-13	54%	0-2	0%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	45.0	18	41%	12	2	4	1	2	2	2	10	5-6	83%	5-14	36%	1-5	20%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 31	41.4	18	53%	7	3	1	0	2	4	2	5	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	2-8	25%

Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31	24.9	8	50%	2	4	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-7	29%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	20.5	12	55%	3	0	1	1	0	1	1	2	6-6	100%	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 21	13.1	6	60%	3	1	0	1	0	3	0	3	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	5.1	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Christopher #8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Inflammation
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	NWT - Team Suspension
Isaiah Stevens #4 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	118	50%	53	25	14	6	13	19	12	41	21-27	78%	32-60	53%	11-42	26%

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22 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	48.9	26	52%	7	4	2	0	3	2	1	6	0-0	-	7-15	47%	4-10	40%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28	45.7	14	78%	6	1	0	2	0	3	2	4	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 24	45.6	16	47%	12	10	5	1	3	3	4	8	2-4	50%	7-13	54%	0-2	0%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	45.0	18	41%	12	2	4	1	2	2	2	10	5-6	83%	5-14	36%	1-5	20%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 31	41.4	18	53%	7	3	1	0	2	4	2	5	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	2-8	25%

Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31	24.9	8	50%	2	4	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-7	29%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	20.5	12	55%	3	0	1	1	0	1	1	2	6-6	100%	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 21	13.1	6	60%	3	1	0	1	0	3	0	3	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	5.1	0	0%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Christopher #8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Inflammation
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	NWT - Team Suspension
Isaiah Stevens #4 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	118	50%	53	25	14	6	13	19	12	41	21-27	78%	32-60	53%	11-42	26%

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12 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	50.5	21	55%	18	11	1	3	6	5	5	13	5-7	71%	5-14	36%	2-2	100%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	48.5	23	43%	5	6	2	0	1	3	2	3	6-7	86%	7-16	44%	1-9	11%
Keon Ellis #23 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 25	48.5	17	65%	8	3	3	1	2	4	1	7	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	46.9	30	54%	3	4	0	1	3	3	0	3	5-5	100%	11-22	50%	1-4	25%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	43.5	14	70%	12	1	0	1	0	2	5	7	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-6	67%

Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	23.4	6	33%	6	1	0	0	1	0	2	4	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	15.2	7	44%	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	9.5	5	50%	4	3	0	2	0	1	2	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	2.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Orlando Robinson #77 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Glute; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	123	50%	60	30	7	8	15	20	18	42	20-26	77%	32-70	46%	13-38	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.01 50.4%

SAC

0.99 49.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

13

16

81%

SAC

11

17

65%

Midrange

MIA

19

44

43%

SAC

21

53

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

11

16.5

42

26%

39%

SAC

13

19.5

38

34%

51%

Free Throws

MIA

21

27

78%

SAC

20

26

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	26	52%	13.0 / 25
B. Adebayo	18	41%	9.0 / 22
T. Rozier	18	53%	9.0 / 17
J. Jaquez	16	47%	8.0 / 17
H. Highsmith	14	78%	7.0 / 9
N. Jović	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Robinson	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. Ware	6	60%	3.0 / 5
P. Larsson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	30	54%	15.0 / 28
M. Monk	23	43%	11.5 / 27
D. Sabonis	21	55%	10.5 / 19
K. Ellis	17	65%	8.5 / 13
K. Murray	14	70%	7.0 / 10
K. Huerter	7	44%	3.5 / 8
T. Lyles	6	33%	3.0 / 9
D. Carter	5	50%	2.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 112.4 7 115.9	MIA 101.7 SAC 105.1 +3.4
Pace	27 97.2 19 98.9	MIA 97.6 +2.4 SAC 95.2
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.9 15 14.4	MIA 14.7 −0.4 SAC 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 54.4% 15 54.8%	MIA 47.5% SAC 47.7% +0.2%
TO %	8 12.8% 6 12.6%	MIA 10.9% −0.3% SAC 11.2%
ORB %	27 22.3% 16 25.4%	MIA 22.2% SAC 30.5% +8.3%
FTrt	24 23.2 21 23.5	MIA 26.5 +2.4 SAC 24.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 65.3% 22 61.5%	MIA 58.1% SAC 66.7% +8.6%
STL %	12 8.3% 23 7.6%	MIA 12.1% +6.1% SAC 6.0%
BLK %	30 7.6% 23 8.8%	MIA 8.6% SAC 13.3% +4.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.0% 15 56.8%	MIA 50.4% +0.8% SAC 49.6%
Rim FG%	22 62.5% 2 67.6%	MIA 81.3% +16.6% SAC 64.7%
Mid FG%	12 44.4% 4 46.0%	MIA 43.2% +3.6% SAC 39.6%
3P %	11 36.7% 19 35.7%	MIA 26.2% SAC 34.2% +8.0%
FT %	8 79.1% 4 80.6%	MIA 77.8% +0.9% SAC 76.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 29.6% 28 26.8%	MIA 15.7% SAC 15.7% +0.1%
Mid Att. %	20 27.5% 29 34.1%	MIA 43.1% −5.9% SAC 49.1%
3P Att. %	12 42.9% 23 39.1%	MIA 41.2% +6.0% SAC 35.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	MIA	SAC
Possessions	116	117
Possession Minutes	28.5	29.5
Points	118	123
Rebounds	53	60
Assists	25	30
Steals	14	7
Blocks	6	8
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	18 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (5)	42 (6)
Field Goals	43-102	45-108
At-the-Rim FG	13-16	11-17
Midrange FG	19-44	21-53
2-Point FG	32-60	32-70
3-Point FG	11-42	13-38
Free Throws	21-27	20-26
Fast Break Pts	21	15
2nd Chance Pts	20	23
Points in Paint	56	44
Pts off Turnovers	23	18
Bench Points	26	18
Biggest Lead	17	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg