Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 13, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Spurs	44%	111	126	131.3	96	95.0
	14	Lakers	56%	114	102	106.3	96	97.0

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+15

-10

101

LAL

+19

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.25 62.4%

LAL

1.05 52.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	35.6	23	64%	4	1	2	0	2	1	1	3	2-4	50%	9-12	75%	1-4	25%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	34.0	23	64%	6	4	2	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	4-9	44%	5-9	56%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	33.9	23	64%	8	5	3	2	1	1	1	7	1-2	50%	8-11	73%	2-6	33%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	32.3	17	77%	4	3	1	0	0	2	2	2	6-6	100%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	28.9	13	81%	2	10	4	0	1	4	0	2	5-5	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%

Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	21.3	10	83%	2	3	1	2	2	2	1	1	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	17.0	4	40%	2	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	16.6	2	14%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-6	0%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	12.4	4	67%	9	1	1	1	2	2	3	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	2.1	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	2.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	2.1	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	1.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Low Back; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	62%	41	30	16	5	10	15	12	29	17-20	85%	35-55	64%	13-35	37%

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16 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	35.6	23	64%	4	1	2	0	2	1	1	3	2-4	50%	9-12	75%	1-4	25%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	34.0	23	64%	6	4	2	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	4-9	44%	5-9	56%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	33.9	23	64%	8	5	3	2	1	1	1	7	1-2	50%	8-11	73%	2-6	33%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	32.3	17	77%	4	3	1	0	0	2	2	2	6-6	100%	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	28.9	13	81%	2	10	4	0	1	4	0	2	5-5	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%

Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	21.3	10	83%	2	3	1	2	2	2	1	1	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	17.0	4	40%	2	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	16.6	2	14%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-6	0%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	12.4	4	67%	9	1	1	1	2	2	3	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	2.1	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	2.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	2.1	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	1.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Low Back; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	62%	41	30	16	5	10	15	12	29	17-20	85%	35-55	64%	13-35	37%

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14 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Austin Reaves #15 · PG · 6'5" 197 · 27	33.5	12	43%	5	8	0	0	4	3	1	4	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	2-7	29%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 32	32.4	30	79%	13	2	2	2	2	4	8	5	2-4	50%	11-13	85%	2-5	40%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 40	32.1	18	69%	5	8	1	1	7	3	1	4	2-4	50%	5-8	63%	2-3	67%
Max Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	30.9	10	45%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	2-8	25%
Rui Hachimura #28 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 27	29.6	9	75%	3	1	2	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-4	75%

Dorian Finney-Smith #17 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 32	20.2	4	40%	3	0	2	0	1	1	1	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	17.4	7	58%	2	1	1	0	3	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 25	15.4	3	21%	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	13.8	5	42%	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	3	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 25	12.8	4	50%	1	1	0	1	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Quincy Olivari #41 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 24	2.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Shake Milton #20 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Armel Traore #94 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Christian Koloko #10 · C · 6'11" 225 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| -; Illness
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Recovery
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	53%	40	24	9	4	19	17	15	25	10-16	63%	25-43	58%	14-44	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.25 62.4%

LAL

1.05 52.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

69%

LAL

72%

Midrange

SAS

50%

LAL

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

19.5

37%

56%

LAL

21.0

32%

48%

Free Throws

SAS

85%

LAL

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Castle	23	64%	11.5 / 18
D. Vassell	23	64%	11.5 / 18
V. Wembanyama	23	64%	11.5 / 18
H. Barnes	17	77%	8.5 / 11
C. Paul	13	81%	6.5 / 8
K. Johnson	10	83%	5.0 / 6
T. Jones	4	40%	2.0 / 5
C. Bassey	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Mamukelashvili	4	100%	2.0 / 2
M. Branham	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Champagnie	2	14%	1.0 / 7
B. Wesley	0	-	0.0 / 1
Z. Collins	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	30	79%	15.0 / 19
L. James	18	69%	9.0 / 13
A. Reaves	12	43%	6.0 / 14
M. Christie	10	45%	5.0 / 11
R. Hachimura	9	75%	4.5 / 6
G. Vincent	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Knecht	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Finney-Smith	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Hayes	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Reddish	3	21%	1.5 / 7
Q. Olivari	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 113.5 11 114.9	SAS 131.3 +25.0 LAL 106.3
Pace	13 100.1 20 98.4	SAS 95.0 LAL 97.0 +2.1
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 7 15.0	SAS 15.2 LAL 14.8 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.4% 8 55.7%	SAS 60.6% +7.7% LAL 52.9%
TO %	11 13.2% 14 13.3%	SAS 10.0% −6.8% LAL 16.8%
ORB %	20 24.3% 24 23.3%	SAS 32.4% LAL 34.1% +1.7%
FTrt	22 23.4 1 27.1	SAS 22.2 +3.8 LAL 18.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 68.5% 14 63.5%	SAS 62.5% +1.0% LAL 61.5%
STL %	14 8.2% 21 7.8%	SAS 16.7% +7.3% LAL 9.4%
BLK %	5 10.5% 24 8.7%	SAS 11.6% +4.3% LAL 7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.3% 8 57.6%	SAS 62.4% +9.8% LAL 52.6%
Rim FG%	14 63.9% 1 68.0%	SAS 69.2% LAL 72.0% +2.8%
Mid FG%	20 41.8% 18 42.1%	SAS 50.0% +11.1% LAL 38.9%
3P %	20 35.7% 14 36.6%	SAS 37.1% +5.3% LAL 31.8%
FT %	21 77.4% 13 78.5%	SAS 85.0% +22.5% LAL 62.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 33.7% 18 31.4%	SAS 43.3% +14.6% LAL 28.7%
Mid Att. %	4 22.2% 12 26.1%	SAS 17.8% −2.9% LAL 20.7%
3P Att. %	8 44.1% 13 42.5%	SAS 38.9% LAL 50.6% +11.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	LAL
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	126	102
Rebounds	41	40
Assists	30	24
Steals	16	9
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	19 (0)
Fouls	15	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (3)	25 (2)
Field Goals	48-90	39-87
At-the-Rim FG	27-39	18-25
Midrange FG	8-16	7-18
2-Point FG	35-55	25-43
3-Point FG	13-35	14-44
Free Throws	17-20	10-16
Fast Break Pts	13	9
2nd Chance Pts	19	14
Points in Paint	66	40
Pts off Turnovers	25	15
Bench Points	27	23
Biggest Lead	24	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg