Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 17, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Grizzlies	55%	118	140	138.6	101	106.4
	15	Spurs	45%	116	112	110.9	101	96.1

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+13

-7

107

SAS

+12

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.31 65.4%

SAS

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	35.2	22	100%	3	2	0	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	6-8	75%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	33.0	22	65%	6	14	3	0	3	3	1	5	0-0	-	8-11	73%	2-6	33%
Luke Kennard #10 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 29	26.1	17	85%	3	4	0	0	1	1	0	3	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	25.9	19	48%	2	4	1	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	5-12	42%	3-8	38%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	7.2	4	100%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	32.9	4	33%	8	5	3	0	1	1	1	7	4-6	67%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	30.2	29	69%	8	1	1	0	1	0	3	5	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	5-12	42%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	19.0	12	86%	3	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-1	0%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	16.0	7	58%	1	5	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	10.4	4	67%	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Partial Extensor Hood Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	140	65%	41	39	9	0	7	19	10	31	11-15	73%	36-53	68%	19-44	43%

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5 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	35.2	22	100%	3	2	0	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	6-8	75%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	33.0	22	65%	6	14	3	0	3	3	1	5	0-0	-	8-11	73%	2-6	33%
Luke Kennard #10 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 29	26.1	17	85%	3	4	0	0	1	1	0	3	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	25.9	19	48%	2	4	1	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	5-12	42%	3-8	38%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	7.2	4	100%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	32.9	4	33%	8	5	3	0	1	1	1	7	4-6	67%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	30.2	29	69%	8	1	1	0	1	0	3	5	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	5-12	42%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	19.0	12	86%	3	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-1	0%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	16.0	7	58%	1	5	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	10.4	4	67%	3	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Partial Extensor Hood Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	140	65%	41	39	9	0	7	19	10	31	11-15	73%	36-53	68%	19-44	43%

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15 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	32.4	21	70%	2	5	0	0	3	2	0	2	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	3-7	43%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	31.1	19	50%	12	3	1	6	4	0	2	10	0-0	-	5-12	42%	3-7	43%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	29.5	13	65%	4	6	0	0	0	1	1	3	6-6	100%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	29.4	6	50%	2	6	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-1	0%	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Stephon Castle #5 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20	25.3	20	71%	4	4	1	0	3	3	0	4	5-7	71%	6-8	75%	1-3	33%

Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	23.1	8	67%	2	0	1	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	22.8	4	33%	2	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	16.9	12	86%	9	0	0	2	1	1	4	5	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	15.0	2	25%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	3.7	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	3.7	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	3.7	4	100%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	INACTIVE
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	INACTIVE
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Lower Back; Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	58%	40	29	4	8	17	15	10	30	19-23	83%	27-48	56%	13-36	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.31 65.4%

SAS

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

71%

SAS

72%

Midrange

MEM

61%

SAS

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

28.5

43%

65%

SAS

19.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

MEM

73%

SAS

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Aldama	29	69%	14.5 / 21
J. Wells	22	100%	11.0 / 11
D. Bane	22	65%	11.0 / 17
J. Jackson	19	48%	9.5 / 20
L. Kennard	17	85%	8.5 / 10
B. Clarke	12	86%	6.0 / 7
S. Pippen	7	58%	3.5 / 6
Z. Edey	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. LaRavia	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Huff	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Vassell	21	70%	10.5 / 15
S. Castle	20	71%	10.0 / 14
V. Wembanyama	19	50%	9.5 / 19
H. Barnes	13	65%	6.5 / 10
C. Bassey	12	86%	6.0 / 7
K. Johnson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
C. Paul	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Champagnie	4	33%	2.0 / 6
S. Mamukelashvili	4	100%	2.0 / 2
Z. Collins	3	150%	1.5 / 1
T. Jones	2	25%	1.0 / 4
B. Wesley	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Branham	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.2 19 113.5	MEM 138.6 +27.7 SAS 110.9
Pace	1 103.7 13 100.1	MEM 106.4 +10.3 SAS 96.1
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 20 14.3	MEM 13.5 −1.5 SAS 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.4% 18 54.4%	MEM 66.5% +11.1% SAS 55.4%
TO %	25 14.4% 11 13.2%	MEM 8.0% −7.3% SAS 15.3%
ORB %	3 28.7% 20 24.3%	MEM 25.0% +0.6% SAS 24.4%
FTrt	10 24.9 22 23.4	MEM 15.5 SAS 27.4 +11.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.5% 3 68.5%	MEM 70.9% SAS 72.5% +1.6%
STL %	7 8.5% 14 8.2%	MEM 8.9% +4.9% SAS 4.0%
BLK %	3 10.8% 5 10.5%	MEM 0.0% SAS 15.1% +15.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.4% 18 56.3%	MEM 65.4% +7.1% SAS 58.3%
Rim FG%	11 65.3% 14 63.9%	MEM 71.4% SAS 71.9% +0.5%
Mid FG%	9 45.4% 20 41.8%	MEM 61.1% +36.1% SAS 25.0%
3P %	12 36.7% 20 35.7%	MEM 43.2% +7.1% SAS 36.1%
FT %	12 78.6% 21 77.4%	MEM 73.3% SAS 82.6% +9.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.5% 8 33.7%	MEM 36.1% SAS 38.1% +2.0%
Mid Att. %	26 29.0% 4 22.2%	MEM 18.6% −0.5% SAS 19.0%
3P Att. %	20 40.6% 8 44.1%	MEM 45.4% +2.5% SAS 42.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	SAS
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	140	112
Rebounds	41	40
Assists	39	29
Steals	9	4
Blocks	0	8
Turnovers (Team)	7 (2)	17 (0)
Fouls	19	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	30 (2)
Field Goals	55-97	40-84
At-the-Rim FG	25-35	23-32
Midrange FG	11-18	4-16
2-Point FG	36-53	27-48
3-Point FG	19-44	13-36
Free Throws	11-15	19-23
Fast Break Pts	21	19
2nd Chance Pts	7	19
Points in Paint	62	50
Pts off Turnovers	24	14
Bench Points	56	33
Biggest Lead	31	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg