Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, January 17, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Magic | |||
 | 1 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Timberwolves | |||
 | 5 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Raptors | |||
 | 13 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Thunder | |||
 | 4 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Hornets | |||
 | 25 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Nets | |||
 | 18 | Lakers | |||
Thursday, January 16, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_2_1_'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23C4CDD3;}%20.st2{fill:%23002B5C;}%20.st3{fill:%23E21936;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_2_'%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M200.3,53.4h-0.3c-80.9,0-146.4,65.5-146.7,146.4v0.3c0,80.9,65.5,146.5,146.4,146.7h0.1h0.1l0,0%20c80.9,0,146.5-65.5,146.7-146.4v-0.1v-0.1C346.7,119.2,281.2,53.5,200.3,53.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M350,199.6C349.8,117,282.7,50,200.1,50h-0.1h-0.3C117,50.2,50,117.3,50,199.9v0.2v0.1%20C50.1,283,117.2,350,199.9,350.1l0,0l0,0h0.1h0.1c82.8-0.1,149.7-67.2,149.8-149.8c0-0.1,0-0.1,0-0.2S350,199.8,350,199.6%20M346.7,200.2L346.7,200.2c-0.1,81-65.6,146.5-146.7,146.5l0,0h-0.1h-0.1C118.9,346.6,53.4,281,53.4,200.1v-0.3%20c0.1-80.9,65.8-146.4,146.7-146.4h0.3c80.9,0.2,146.3,65.8,146.3,146.7L346.7,200.2L346.7,200.2z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M151,166.7c15.3-15.3,21.6-33,21.6-33l3.4-12.4l0.8-2.9l-15.7-8.8c0,0-9.1-6.3-29.5,5.5%20c-23.8,14.1-43.2,32.3-53.3,51.5c-5.6,10.6-10,23.1-12.3,37c0.7,26.5,9.1,51,23.1,71.6C85.2,237,122.1,195.2,151,166.7'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M268.6,115.2c-20.3-11.9-29.5-5.5-29.5-5.5l-15.7,8.8l0.8,2.9l3.4,12.4c0,0,6.4,17.8,21.6,33%20c28.8,28.4,65.4,70,61.8,108.1c13.9-20.7,22.3-45.6,22.7-72.3c-2.3-13.5-6.7-25.4-12.1-35.8C311.7,147.5,292.3,129.3,268.6,115.2'%20/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M219.5,92.4c53.5,6,88.7,36.3,106.8,63.3c-13.6-38.9-44.8-69.6-83.9-82.5C233.9,75.6,224.3,81,219.5,92.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M180.7,92.4c-4.8-11.3-14.4-16.7-23.1-19.2c-39.4,13.2-70.7,44-84.2,83.2C91.5,129.3,126.8,98.4,180.7,92.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M189.5,90.7L200.2,75l10.6,15.7c4.3-11.6,11-18,17.8-21.6c-9.2-2-18.7-3.1-28.3-3.1c-9.8,0-19.2,1.1-28.5,3%20C178.5,72.7,185.2,79.1,189.5,90.7'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M272.8,208.1c-21.7-35.1-71.1-70.7-72.8-71.8c-1.6,1.1-50.9,36.7-72.8,71.8c-29.4,47.5-25.5,75-17.9,90.6%20c18.9,17.5,42.8,29.4,69.5,33.6l11.5-162.3l9.5-9.5l0.1-0.1l0,0l0,0l0.1,0.1l9.5,9.5L221.2,332l-0.2,0.1%20c26.8-4.2,50.9-16.4,69.8-34C298.5,282.6,302,255.2,272.8,208.1'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st1'%20points='209.7,170%20200.2,160.4%20200.3,344.1%20221,332.2%20221.2,332.1%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M200.1,123.9l-4.2,3.1l-17.5,12.8l4.6-16.7l0.8-2.9l1.5-5.6l-5-2.7l-16.5-8.9c8.2-1.8,16.7-3,25.4-3.6l4.2-0.3%20l0.2-0.3l1.6-3.4l0.3-0.5l0,0l4.7-9.4l4.8,9.9l0,0l0.1,0.2l1.6,3.4l0.2,0.3l4.2,0.3c8.6,0.5,17,1.6,25.4,3.6l-16.5,8.9l-5,2.7%20l1.5,5.6l0.8,2.9l4.6,16.7l-17.5-12.8l-4.2-3.1v-0.1H200.1L200.1,123.9L200.1,123.9z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M200.3,123.9L200.3,123.9l4.2,3.2l17.5,12.8l-4.6-16.7l-0.8-2.9l-1.5-5.6l5-2.7l16.5-8.9%20c-8.2-1.8-16.7-3-25.4-3.6l-4.2-0.3l-0.2-0.3l-1.6-3.4l-0.1-0.2l-4.8-9.9l-4.7,9.4l0,0l-0.3,0.5l-1.6,3.4l-0.2,0.3l-4.2,0.3%20c-8.6,0.5-17,1.6-25.4,3.6l16.5,8.9l5,2.7l-1.4,5.6l-0.8,2.9l-4.6,16.7l17.5-12.8l4.2-3.1v-0.1L200.3,123.9L200.3,123.9%20L200.3,123.9z'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23BC945C;}%20.st1{fill:%23860038;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M356.2,121.3V98.4l-5.6-5.7c-72-68.5-226.2,21.4-278.6,64.8l-25.9,40.1l32.2-8c-49.4,62-31.8,102.7-29.7,106.9%20c5.2,14.6,17.1,26.3,36.3,34c14.6,5.8,31.2,6.6,45.4,5.9c61.4-2.9,134-41.2,180.9-81.9l1.1-0.9l9.3-47.1l-18.2,10.1%20c-63.3,27.8-114.2,43.2-114.2,43.2c-33.3,10.4-48.6,12.1-59.5,9.5l-1.3-0.4c-3-1.2-3.5-3.9-3.5-4.6c-0.5-20.8,35.4-65.6,53.4-85%20c16.8-18.1,43.3-37.9,65.7-47.3c15-6.3,24.7-8.8,29.2-8.4c-1.2,3.9-3.3,8.7-6.2,14.5c0,0-24,47.3-25,49.2L356.2,121.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M213.9,118c-20.6,10.9-44.3,32.8-51.7,40.7C101.8,223,59.5,309,191.7,267.8c0,0,51.4-15.6,115.2-43.6%20C126.3,376.8-44.2,313,123.6,152.5c-15.3,3.5-30.7,6.8-45.8,11c53.7-44.5,201.1-127.4,266.9-64.8l-70.3,43.1%20C304.6,82.7,250.2,96.6,213.9,118'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 6 | Cavaliers | |||
| 2 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, January 15, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| 26 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 25 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | |||
| 15 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | |||
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | |||
| 20 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | |||
| 7 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| 28 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | |||
| 18 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | |||
| 11 | Clippers | |||
Tuesday, January 14, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | |||
| 19 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | |||
| 16 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | |||
| 21 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| 26 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | |||
| 14 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | |||
| 3 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | |||
| 29 | Trail Blazers | |||
Monday, January 13, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | |||
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | |||
| 25 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | |||
| 10 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | |||
| 18 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | |||
| 11 | Clippers | |||
Sunday, January 12, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | |||
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | |||
| 4 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | |||
| 26 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | |||
| 6 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | |||
| 9 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | |||
| 28 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| 11 | Suns | |||
Saturday, January 11, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | |||
| 21 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | |||
| 11 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | |||
| 24 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | |||
| 9 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | |||
| 29 | Trail Blazers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | |||
| 18 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| 12 | Clippers | |||
Friday, January 10, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | |||
| 19 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | |||
| 8 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| 14 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | |||
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | |||
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 25 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | |||
| 7 | Nuggets | |||
Thursday, January 9, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | |||
| 5 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | |||
| 26 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
| 8 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | |||
| 16 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | |||
| 3 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | |||
| 12 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | |||
| 28 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| 18 | Lakers | |||
Wednesday, January 8, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | |||
| 6 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | |||
| 19 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | |||
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 12 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | |||
| 23 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | |||
| 21 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | |||
| 7 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | |||
| 14 | Bucks | |||
Tuesday, January 7, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | |||
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | |||
| 4 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | |||
| 28 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| 7 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | |||
| 3 | Warriors | |||
Monday, January 6, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | |||
| 24 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | |||
| 16 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | |||
| 23 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | |||
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | |||
| 25 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | |||
| 26 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | |||
| 15 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | |||
| 9 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | |||
| 11 | Kings | |||
Sunday, January 5, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| 2 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| 6 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | |||
| 7 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | |||
| 9 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kings | |||
| 3 | Warriors | |||
Saturday, January 4, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | |||
| 23 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
| 25 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | |||
| 19 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | |||
| 17 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| 26 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | |||
| 12 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | |||
| 20 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | |||
| 3 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | |||
| 11 | Clippers | |||