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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 17, 2025
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Nuggets54%114133
17Heat46%113113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
26.8
29.8
12
60%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-10
4-6
60%
58%
0-0
-
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 26.6
28.6
26.8
14
50%
9
2
0
1
0
1
1
8
2-2
100%
0-6
3-5
0%
59%
4-7
57%
Nikola Jokić
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.9
30.6
33.2
24
85%
12
10
1
1
0
2
2
10
5-5
100%
8-10
9-14
80%
61%
1-2
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 27.9
37.5
31.3
30
58%
7
8
3
1
1
0
2
5
4-4
100%
10-17
5-10
59%
51%
2-7
29%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.2
26.3
27.1
11
79%
0
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
50%
3-4
75%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 22.8
25.7
23.4
14
74%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
4-7
57%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.3
22.1
20.0
16
78%
6
3
0
0
0
1
0
6
5-5
100%
4-5
3-4
80%
58%
1-3
33%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 22.4
17.9
26.5
3
31%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
55%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.5
14.9
16.6
6
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
65%
0-0
-
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 25.2
2.4
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-1
0%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
2.4
4.8
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
1-1
100%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.0
2.4
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
58%
0-0
-
PJ Hall
C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
2.4
1.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Dario Šarić
F · 6'10" 223 · 30.8
10.0
0
1-2
51%
Spencer Jones
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.6
Trey Alexander
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.7
Vlatko Čančar
F · 6'9" 215 · 27.8
DaRon Holmes II
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 35.3
33.2
6.9
18
54%
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
4-4
100%
7-13
1-2
54%
53%
0-2
0%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.1
13.3
30.0
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-2
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
32.6
24.8
16
50%
11
4
0
1
0
1
3
8
2-2
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
55%
0-2
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.7
26.5
21.5
8
80%
1
7
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
57%
2-4
50%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.0
34.3
35.3
22
65%
5
4
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
8-10
4-8
80%
52%
2-7
29%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.6
30.9
29.1
16
62%
4
4
0
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
55%
2-7
29%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.8
24.4
25.1
13
74%
7
5
0
1
0
0
0
7
4-4
100%
3-3
3-5
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 23.9
24.1
27.3
9
57%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
55%
1-2
50%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.7
15.7
20.0
9
50%
7
1
1
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
59%
1-3
33%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
2.4
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
55%
0-0
-
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.6
2.4
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.5
14.8
0
1-2
42%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.4
5.5
0
0-1
49%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
5.2
0
0-1
49%
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.1
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.