Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Grizzlies61%119129
14Spurs39%115115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Wells
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.4
21.4
28.8
5
32%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
53%
1-5
20%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 25.3
30.9
31.5
19
38%
6
2
0
1
2
2
2
4
1-2
50%
6-16
7-13
38%
54%
2-8
25%
Zach Edey
C · 7'4" 305 · 22.7
16.5
20.6
6
50%
5
0
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
60%
0-0
-
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
32.9
31.7
21
73%
3
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
3-3
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
54%
2-4
50%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.4
31.4
31.2
21
76%
4
12
2
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
8-11
6-12
73%
53%
1-2
50%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.6
29.8
17.2
15
83%
9
3
0
0
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
5-9
56%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 24.0
26.5
17.4
20
63%
10
2
0
1
0
0
3
7
1-2
50%
8-12
2-4
67%
57%
1-3
33%
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 24.2
19.2
15.1
3
32%
4
5
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-4
25%
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 27.4
10.9
11
92%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 28.3
10.7
20.8
5
51%
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-4
4-6
50%
64%
0-0
-
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.2
9.8
19.1
3
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
52%
1-1
100%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.8
6.9
0
0-0
57%
Yuki Kawamura
G · 5'8" 159 · 23.7
1.4
0
0-0
44%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.4
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.1
Cam Spencer
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.8
Zyon Pullin
G · 6'4" 206 · 23.9
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Castle
G · 6'6" 215 · 20.2
32.5
22.5
26
54%
3
4
0
1
0
1
3
0
6-7
86%
7-12
3-6
58%
50%
2-9
22%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 32.6
29.7
23.9
10
63%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
2-4
50%
Victor Wembanyama
F-C · 7'4" 210 · 21.0
37.0
27.7
13
34%
12
2
2
1
8
1
0
12
0-0
-
2-9
5-9
22%
57%
3-10
30%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.4
33.9
27.7
21
65%
5
3
2
1
0
2
1
4
4-7
57%
4-7
4-8
57%
52%
3-6
50%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 39.7
34.9
23.4
8
62%
5
5
0
1
0
4
0
5
1-1
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
52%
1-4
25%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 25.3
26.1
19.1
17
62%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
54%
1-4
25%
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 23.5
21.9
16.3
9
75%
4
2
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
3-5
60%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.0
13.1
13.9
6
80%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
1-1
100%
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
10.9
9.4
5
64%
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
61%
0-0
-
David Duke Jr.
G · 6'4" 204 · 25.3
4.8
0
1-1
48%
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 27.2
4.5
0
1-1
54%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 25.7
3.5
0
0-1
57%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.8
3.5
0
0-1
49%
Malaki Branham
F · 6'5" 180 · 21.7
3.1
0
0-1
51%
Sidy Cissoko
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.8
1.7
0
0-0
50%
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.7
Harrison Ingram
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.1
Riley Minix
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.