Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 15, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Hawks	38%	117	110	105.8	104	103.0
	19	Bulls	62%	122	94	88.7	106	107.1

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+16

-9

111

CHI

+10

-20

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.99 49.5%

CHI

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	38.4	27	71%	6	6	4	0	1	3	1	5	3-3	100%	6-11	55%	4-7	57%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	33.7	18	47%	8	3	3	1	2	1	5	3	3-7	43%	6-12	50%	1-4	25%
Vít Krejčí #27 · SF · 6'8" 195 · 25	29.4	11	50%	3	6	0	2	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
David Roddy #8 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 24	23.5	4	18%	6	2	3	0	1	0	1	5	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-5	0%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	21.1	11	46%	10	1	0	1	0	2	1	9	1-2	50%	5-11	45%	0-0	-

Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	26.9	14	64%	13	7	1	1	2	2	3	10	3-5	60%	4-8	50%	1-1	100%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 26	25.3	19	119%	4	0	0	0	1	4	3	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	5-6	83%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	21.7	3	19%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	0-6	0%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	19.9	3	15%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-9	11%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Irritation
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	NWT - Injury/Illness \| R hand; Surgery
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Contusion
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Inflammation
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	50%	51	28	11	5	9	15	14	37	15-22	68%	28-57	49%	13-43	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

26 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	38.4	27	71%	6	6	4	0	1	3	1	5	3-3	100%	6-11	55%	4-7	57%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	33.7	18	47%	8	3	3	1	2	1	5	3	3-7	43%	6-12	50%	1-4	25%
Vít Krejčí #27 · SF · 6'8" 195 · 25	29.4	11	50%	3	6	0	2	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
David Roddy #8 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 24	23.5	4	18%	6	2	3	0	1	0	1	5	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-5	0%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	21.1	11	46%	10	1	0	1	0	2	1	9	1-2	50%	5-11	45%	0-0	-

Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	26.9	14	64%	13	7	1	1	2	2	3	10	3-5	60%	4-8	50%	1-1	100%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 26	25.3	19	119%	4	0	0	0	1	4	3	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	5-6	83%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	21.7	3	19%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	0-6	0%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	19.9	3	15%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-9	11%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Irritation
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	NWT - Injury/Illness \| R hand; Surgery
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Contusion
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Inflammation
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	50%	51	28	11	5	9	15	14	37	15-22	68%	28-57	49%	13-43	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

19 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach LaVine #8 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 30	35.5	15	58%	6	7	2	0	3	2	0	6	0-0	-	6-11	55%	1-2	50%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 34	34.2	14	47%	16	4	0	0	3	2	4	12	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	0-3	0%
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	32.5	16	50%	2	6	1	1	3	2	0	2	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	1-7	14%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 22	29.8	7	44%	10	3	0	2	3	3	0	10	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 23	24.5	10	63%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%

Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 25	25.1	9	75%	3	2	2	0	1	1	1	2	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Matas Buzelis #14 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 20	17.5	8	50%	5	0	0	2	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 21	13.8	10	83%	4	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Jalen Smith #7 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 25	12.4	5	42%	4	0	0	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 23	5.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 29	4.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Talen Horton-Tucker #22 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 24	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Chris Duarte #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28	1.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Emanuel Miller #20 · NA · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Management
Torrey Craig #13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion, Left Ankle Sprain
Adama Sanogo #21 · C · 6'9" 245 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	49%	53	23	5	5	20	15	8	45	10-10	100%	33-61	54%	6-27	22%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	CHI

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.99 49.5%

CHI

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

60%

CHI

64%

Midrange

ATL

32%

CHI

25%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

19.5

30%

45%

CHI

9.0

22%

33%

Free Throws

ATL

68%

CHI

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Wallace	27	71%	13.5 / 19
D. Plowden	19	119%	9.5 / 8
D. Daniels	18	47%	9.0 / 19
O. Okongwu	14	64%	7.0 / 11
V. Krejčí	11	50%	5.5 / 11
C. Capela	11	46%	5.5 / 12
D. Roddy	4	18%	2.0 / 11
G. Mathews	3	19%	1.5 / 8
B. Bogdanović	3	15%	1.5 / 10

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. White	16	50%	8.0 / 16
Z. LaVine	15	58%	7.5 / 13
N. Vučević	14	47%	7.0 / 15
P. Williams	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Phillips	10	83%	5.0 / 6
A. Dosunmu	9	75%	4.5 / 6
M. Buzelis	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Giddey	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Smith	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Terry	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Carter	0	-	0.0 / 2
T. Horton-Tucker	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 113.7 20 113.2	ATL 105.8 +17.1 CHI 88.7
Pace	3 103.4 2 103.7	ATL 103.0 CHI 107.1 +4.1
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.3 29 13.3	ATL 14.0 CHI 13.4 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.6% 13 55.3%	ATL 47.5% CHI 47.7% +0.2%
TO %	23 14.1% 17 13.4%	ATL 9.1% −8.7% CHI 17.8%
ORB %	10 26.3% 28 22.3%	ATL 23.7% +5.9% CHI 17.8%
FTrt	8 25.2 29 21.4	ATL 22.0 +10.6 CHI 11.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 68.3% 7 67.2%	ATL 68.3% +9.3% CHI 59.0%
STL %	4 9.4% 29 7.2%	ATL 10.6% +5.9% CHI 4.7%
BLK %	11 9.7% 26 8.5%	ATL 8.2% CHI 8.8% +0.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 13 57.0%	ATL 49.5% +0.5% CHI 49.0%
Rim FG%	20 62.9% 24 61.6%	ATL 60.0% CHI 64.4% +4.4%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 3 46.2%	ATL 31.8% +6.8% CHI 25.0%
3P %	18 35.8% 13 36.7%	ATL 30.2% +8.0% CHI 22.2%
FT %	18 77.5% 3 80.9%	ATL 68.2% CHI 100.0% +31.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 34.1% 11 33.2%	ATL 35.0% CHI 51.1% +16.1%
Mid Att. %	10 24.8% 2 21.1%	ATL 22.0% CHI 18.2% −3.8%
3P Att. %	19 41.0% 4 45.7%	ATL 43.0% +12.3% CHI 30.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	CHI
Possessions	104	106
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	110	94
Rebounds	51	53
Assists	28	23
Steals	11	5
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	9 (2)	20 (0)
Fouls	15	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (2)	45 (2)
Field Goals	41-100	39-88
At-the-Rim FG	21-35	29-45
Midrange FG	7-22	4-16
2-Point FG	28-57	33-61
3-Point FG	13-43	6-27
Free Throws	15-22	10-10
Fast Break Pts	16	24
2nd Chance Pts	27	10
Points in Paint	52	62
Pts off Turnovers	22	10
Bench Points	39	32
Biggest Lead	17	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg