Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, January 11, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Raptors | 43% | 112 | 114 | |
20 | Pistons | 57% | 115 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 11, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Grizzlies | 47% | 113 | 127 | |
5 | Timberwolves | 53% | 114 | 125 |
Updated: Jan 12, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Heat | 61% | 113 | 119 | |
26 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 109 | 98 |
Updated: Jan 12, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailWin Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Hornets | ||||
14 | Clippers |
Friday, January 10, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Warriors | 29% | 111 | 96 | |
9 | Pacers | 71% | 120 | 108 |
Updated: Jan 10, 2025 11:47 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Pelicans | 31% | 108 | 123 | |
17 | 76ers | 69% | 115 | 115 |
Updated: Jan 10, 2025 11:47 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Kings | 22% | 109 | 114 | |
2 | Celtics | 78% | 120 | 97 |
Updated: Jan 11, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 60% | 114 | 126 | |
4 | Knicks | 40% | 111 | 101 |
Updated: Jan 11, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 27% | 116 | 105 | |
15 | Bulls | 73% | 125 | 138 |
Updated: Jan 11, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | 18% | 106 | 105 | |
7 | Nuggets | 82% | 119 | 124 |
Updated: Jan 11, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailThursday, January 9, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Raptors | 23% | 110 | 126 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 77% | 121 | 132 |
Updated: Jan 9, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Warriors | 60% | 114 | 107 | |
22 | Pistons | 40% | 110 | 104 |
Updated: Jan 9, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Timberwolves | 58% | 104 | 104 | |
20 | Magic | 42% | 101 | 89 |
Updated: Jan 9, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | 46% | 114 | 119 | |
6 | Grizzlies | 54% | 115 | 115 |
Updated: Jan 10, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 107 | 111 | |
15 | Mavericks | 73% | 116 | 117 |
Updated: Jan 9, 2025 11:17 PM
game detailWednesday, January 8, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Thunder | 55% | 113 | 122 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 45% | 111 | 129 |
Updated: Jan 8, 2025 11:52 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Bulls | 40% | 119 | 113 | |
11 | Pacers | 60% | 123 | 129 |
Updated: Jan 8, 2025 11:52 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Raptors | 25% | 111 | 98 | |
6 | Knicks | 75% | 121 | 112 |
Updated: Jan 9, 2025 12:17 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 23% | 107 | 103 | |
22 | 76ers | 77% | 119 | 109 |
Updated: Jan 8, 2025 11:52 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 113 | 119 | |
25 | Pelicans | 51% | 114 | 100 |
Updated: Jan 9, 2025 12:47 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Clippers | 62% | 115 | 103 | |
23 | Nuggets | 38% | 111 | 126 |
Updated: Jan 9, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailTuesday, January 7, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Suns | 54% | 115 | 104 | |
26 | Hornets | 46% | 113 | 115 |
Updated: Jan 7, 2025 11:52 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Rockets | 83% | 119 | 135 | |
30 | Wizards | 17% | 105 | 112 |
Updated: Jan 7, 2025 11:52 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Lakers | 59% | 113 | 97 | |
17 | Mavericks | 41% | 110 | 118 |
Updated: Jan 8, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Timberwolves | 60% | 112 | 104 | |
24 | Pelicans | 40% | 108 | 97 |
Updated: Jan 8, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Celtics | 74% | 121 | 118 | |
23 | Nuggets | 26% | 111 | 106 |
Updated: Jan 8, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Heat | 33% | 107 | 114 | |
14 | Warriors | 67% | 114 | 98 |
Updated: Jan 8, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailMonday, January 6, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 111 | 115 | |
19 | Pistons | 64% | 116 | 118 |
Updated: Jan 6, 2025 11:52 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Bucks | 64% | 118 | 128 | |
24 | Raptors | 36% | 112 | 104 |
Updated: Jan 7, 2025 12:27 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Mavericks | 40% | 113 | 104 | |
13 | Grizzlies | 60% | 117 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 7, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Clippers | 43% | 107 | 106 | |
6 | Timberwolves | 57% | 109 | 108 |
Updated: Jan 7, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailSunday, January 5, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Celtics | 44% | 111 | 92 | |
1 | Thunder | 56% | 113 | 105 |
Updated: Jan 5, 2025 08:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hornets | 18% | 107 | 105 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 82% | 121 | 115 |
Updated: Jan 5, 2025 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Pelicans | 60% | 118 | 110 | |
29 | Wizards | 40% | 114 | 98 |
Updated: Jan 5, 2025 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Lakers | 39% | 108 | 115 | |
6 | Rockets | 61% | 112 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 5, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Kings | 44% | 113 | 129 | |
10 | Warriors | 56% | 115 | 99 |
Updated: Jan 6, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailSaturday, January 4, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 76ers | 65% | 110 | 123 | |
28 | Nets | 35% | 104 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Timberwolves | 66% | 111 | 105 | |
23 | Pistons | 34% | 105 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Suns | 47% | 117 | 108 | |
12 | Pacers | 53% | 118 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Jazz | 32% | 111 | 136 | |
18 | Heat | 68% | 118 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Knicks | 62% | 122 | 126 | |
20 | Bulls | 38% | 117 | 139 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Trail Blazers | 22% | 109 | 105 | |
7 | Bucks | 78% | 121 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Nuggets | 51% | 118 | 122 | |
15 | Spurs | 49% | 117 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Grizzlies | 52% | 115 | 113 | |
17 | Warriors | 48% | 114 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hawks | 32% | 111 | 105 | |
14 | Clippers | 68% | 118 | 131 |
Friday, January 3, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Hornets | 34% | 106 | 94 | |
22 | Pistons | 66% | 112 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Magic | 60% | 109 | 106 | |
25 | Raptors | 40% | 105 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 49% | 113 | 109 | |
5 | Rockets | 51% | 114 | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 38% | 114 | 120 | |
24 | Pelicans | 62% | 118 | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Knicks | 43% | 111 | 107 | |
2 | Thunder | 57% | 113 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 69% | 116 | 134 | |
23 | Mavericks | 31% | 109 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Spurs | 38% | 116 | 113 | |
10 | Nuggets | 62% | 120 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Grizzlies | 48% | 118 | 133 | |
12 | Kings | 52% | 119 | 138 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Hawks | 43% | 115 | 102 | |
15 | Lakers | 57% | 117 | 119 |
Thursday, January 2, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pacers | 48% | 113 | 128 | |
14 | Heat | 52% | 114 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Celtics | 56% | 111 | 118 | |
8 | Timberwolves | 44% | 108 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Nets | 21% | 107 | 113 | |
6 | Bucks | 79% | 119 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Clippers | 25% | 102 | 98 | |
1 | Thunder | 75% | 112 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 76ers | 42% | 111 | 105 | |
13 | Warriors | 58% | 114 | 139 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 110 | 106 | |
20 | Lakers | 69% | 117 | 114 |
Wednesday, January 1, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Magic | 56% | 106 | 96 | |
23 | Pistons | 44% | 104 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Bulls | 65% | 123 | 107 | |
30 | Wizards | 35% | 117 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Pelicans | 31% | 106 | 108 | |
13 | Heat | 69% | 113 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Jazz | 21% | 110 | 103 | |
5 | Knicks | 79% | 122 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Nets | 56% | 111 | 113 | |
26 | Raptors | 44% | 108 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Mavericks | 41% | 111 | 99 | |
8 | Rockets | 59% | 114 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Hawks | 35% | 119 | 120 | |
7 | Nuggets | 65% | 125 | 139 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | 76ers | 42% | 112 | 107 | |
12 | Kings | 58% | 115 | 113 |
Tuesday, December 31, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Raptors | 14% | 107 | 71 | |
1 | Celtics | 86% | 122 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Bucks | 51% | 116 | 120 | |
17 | Pacers | 49% | 115 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Clippers | 49% | 110 | 86 | |
16 | Spurs | 51% | 111 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Timberwolves | 36% | 104 | 105 | |
2 | Thunder | 64% | 110 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Grizzlies | 51% | 120 | 117 | |
13 | Suns | 49% | 119 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 57% | 115 | 122 | |
19 | Lakers | 43% | 112 | 110 |
Monday, December 30, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Bulls | 60% | 116 | 115 | |
29 | Hornets | 40% | 113 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Knicks | 83% | 124 | 126 | |
30 | Wizards | 17% | 110 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Clippers | 67% | 113 | 116 | |
24 | Pelicans | 33% | 107 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Nuggets | 73% | 125 | 132 | |
28 | Jazz | 27% | 116 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 54% | 116 | 113 | |
9 | Warriors | 46% | 115 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 76ers | 73% | 118 | 125 | |
27 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 109 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Mavericks | 36% | 110 | 100 | |
13 | Kings | 64% | 115 | 110 |
Sunday, December 29, 2024
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nets | 33% | 99 | 101 | |
17 | Magic | 67% | 105 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pacers | 23% | 111 | 123 | |
1 | Celtics | 77% | 122 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Hawks | 48% | 119 | 136 | |
23 | Raptors | 52% | 120 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Heat | 28% | 104 | 104 | |
7 | Rockets | 72% | 112 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Grizzlies | 39% | 112 | 106 | |
2 | Thunder | 61% | 116 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Spurs | 37% | 106 | 110 | |
6 | Timberwolves | 63% | 111 | 112 |