Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 22, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Jazz	18%	105	114	110.7	103	93.3
	3	Thunder	82%	119	123	118.3	104	116.0

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+27

-27

103

OKC

+16

-10

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.11 55.3%

OKC

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	32.4	15	50%	5	10	1	0	2	1	0	5	7-8	88%	1-6	17%	2-5	40%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	32.0	18	53%	4	9	0	0	8	3	2	2	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	2-6	33%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 23	30.8	17	71%	15	1	0	2	1	0	9	6	1-4	25%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 28	30.1	17	50%	6	0	0	1	2	2	3	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-10	30%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 27	26.4	22	79%	12	1	0	1	6	4	3	9	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	2-3	67%

Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 20	23.3	8	40%	1	2	1	0	6	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	2-4	50%
Elijah Harkless #16 · NA · 6'3" 195 · 25	18.4	5	50%	2	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	17.2	6	60%	3	1	0	2	1	2	1	2	4-6	67%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	16.5	6	50%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	13.0	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Fracture
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Plantar; Fasciitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	55%	52	25	3	6	27	20	23	29	16-24	67%	28-53	53%	14-37	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	32.4	15	50%	5	10	1	0	2	1	0	5	7-8	88%	1-6	17%	2-5	40%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	32.0	18	53%	4	9	0	0	8	3	2	2	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	2-6	33%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 23	30.8	17	71%	15	1	0	2	1	0	9	6	1-4	25%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 28	30.1	17	50%	6	0	0	1	2	2	3	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-10	30%
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 27	26.4	22	79%	12	1	0	1	6	4	3	9	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	2-3	67%

Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 20	23.3	8	40%	1	2	1	0	6	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	2-4	50%
Elijah Harkless #16 · NA · 6'3" 195 · 25	18.4	5	50%	2	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	17.2	6	60%	3	1	0	2	1	2	1	2	4-6	67%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	16.5	6	50%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	13.0	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Fracture
Cody Williams #5 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Plantar; Fasciitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	55%	52	25	3	6	27	20	23	29	16-24	67%	28-53	53%	14-37	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	37.5	54	63%	8	5	3	2	3	3	3	5	17-18	94%	14-25	56%	3-10	30%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 24	36.1	25	60%	3	2	2	0	2	2	1	2	6-7	86%	8-15	53%	1-3	33%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	32.2	5	50%	5	4	0	0	0	5	3	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	22.6	10	71%	4	1	1	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Jaylin Williams #6 · C · 6'9" 240 · 23	19.6	3	21%	2	1	2	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	36.2	13	81%	4	1	3	0	1	5	1	3	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-2	50%
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	20.4	7	50%	3	5	4	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	13.2	0	0%	7	1	0	0	2	1	3	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	11.3	6	75%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	9.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Iliac Wing; Fracture
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Soleus; Strain
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	56%	39	20	15	4	10	23	13	26	23-25	92%	32-56	57%	12-39	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.11 55.3%

OKC

1.12 55.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

62%

OKC

55%

Midrange

UTA

31%

OKC

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

21.0

38%

57%

OKC

18.0

31%

46%

Free Throws

UTA

67%

OKC

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Collins	22	79%	11.0 / 14
C. Sexton	18	53%	9.0 / 17
W. Kessler	17	71%	8.5 / 12
L. Markkanen	17	50%	8.5 / 17
K. George	15	50%	7.5 / 15
I. Collier	8	40%	4.0 / 10
D. Eubanks	6	60%	3.0 / 5
S. Mykhailiuk	6	50%	3.0 / 6
E. Harkless	5	50%	2.5 / 5
K. Filipowski	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	54	63%	27.0 / 43
J. Williams	25	60%	12.5 / 21
C. Wallace	13	81%	6.5 / 8
A. Wiggins	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Caruso	7	50%	3.5 / 7
B. Carlson	6	75%	3.0 / 4
L. Dort	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Williams	3	21%	1.5 / 7
K. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 3
O. Dieng	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 110.3 3 119.2	UTA 110.7 OKC 118.3 +7.6
Pace	7 100.8 5 100.9	UTA 93.3 OKC 116.0 +22.6
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.7 25 13.9	UTA 15.4 OKC 12.4 −3.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.3% 7 56.0%	UTA 54.4% +1.8% OKC 52.6%
TO %	30 16.2% 1 10.9%	UTA 21.2% OKC 9.4% −11.8%
ORB %	6 26.9% 21 24.2%	UTA 46.9% +15.9% OKC 31.0%
FTrt	7 25.2 28 22.0	UTA 26.7 +0.4 OKC 26.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 63.3% 26 60.2%	UTA 59.5% +14.0% OKC 45.5%
STL %	30 6.6% 1 10.2%	UTA 2.9% OKC 14.4% +11.5%
BLK %	25 8.5% 2 11.9%	UTA 10.7% +3.2% OKC 7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 55.4% 4 57.9%	UTA 55.3% OKC 55.9% +0.6%
Rim FG%	15 63.8% 10 65.7%	UTA 62.2% +7.4% OKC 54.8%
Mid FG%	17 43.1% 7 45.7%	UTA 31.3% OKC 60.0% +28.7%
3P %	22 35.0% 6 37.4%	UTA 37.8% +7.0% OKC 30.8%
FT %	22 77.4% 1 81.9%	UTA 66.7% OKC 92.0% +25.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 28.8% 26 29.5%	UTA 41.1% +8.5% OKC 32.6%
Mid Att. %	15 26.2% 25 28.6%	UTA 17.8% −8.5% OKC 26.3%
3P Att. %	7 44.9% 16 41.9%	UTA 41.1% +0.1% OKC 41.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	OKC
Possessions	103	104
Possession Minutes	26.5	21.5
Points	114	123
Rebounds	52	39
Assists	25	20
Steals	3	15
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	27 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	20	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	23 (4)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (6)	26 (0)
Field Goals	42-90	44-95
At-the-Rim FG	23-37	17-31
Midrange FG	5-16	15-25
2-Point FG	28-53	32-56
3-Point FG	14-37	12-39
Free Throws	16-24	23-25
Fast Break Pts	17	12
2nd Chance Pts	31	14
Points in Paint	52	58
Pts off Turnovers	18	39
Bench Points	25	26
Biggest Lead	8	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg