Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, January 22, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 51% | 111 | 115 |
 | 12 | Mavericks | 49% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Nets | 23% | 105 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Pistons | 43% | 113 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Thunder | 82% | 119 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Hornets | 20% | 110 | 120 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | 83% | 116 | 117 |
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Tuesday, January 21, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Heat | 74% | 119 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Knicks | 72% | 117 | 99 |
| 29 | Nets | 28% | 108 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Magic | 54% | 107 | 93 |
 | 23 | Raptors | 46% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Lakers | 77% | 119 | 111 |
Monday, January 20, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 62% | 115 | 105 |
| 24 | Hornets | 38% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 30% | 106 | 107 |
| 5 | Rockets | 70% | 113 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 40% | 112 | 106 |
| 4 | Grizzlies | 60% | 116 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 35% | 115 | 110 |
| 8 | Knicks | 65% | 120 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 32% | 116 | 92 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 68% | 122 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 65% | 118 | 125 |
| 14 | Warriors | 35% | 112 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 29% | 109 | 119 |
 | 23 | Pelicans | 71% | 117 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Bulls | 36% | 112 | 112 |
| 18 | Clippers | 64% | 117 | 99 |
Sunday, January 19, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 16 | Heat | 56% | 112 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 61% | 111 | 113 |
| 22 | Magic | 39% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 14% | 98 | 101 |
| 2 | Thunder | 86% | 115 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 20% | 105 | 109 |
 | 7 | Bucks | 80% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 36% | 107 | 102 |
| 11 | Clippers | 64% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 64% | 121 | 102 |
| 28 | Blazers | 36% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 15% | 110 | 100 |
| 6 | Kings | 85% | 126 | 123 |
Saturday, January 18, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 53% | 114 | 125 |
| 18 | Pistons | 47% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 27% | 108 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 22% | 112 | 119 |
| 1 | Celtics | 78% | 123 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 19% | 109 | 114 |
| 15 | Warriors | 81% | 122 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 52% | 112 | 124 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 48% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 76% | 118 | 125 |
| 27 | Blazers | 24% | 108 | 103 |
Friday, January 17, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 19% | 101 | 94 |
| 1 | Celtics | 81% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Timberwolves | 48% | 110 | 116 |
| 9 | Knicks | 52% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 54% | 114 | 133 |
| 17 | Heat | 46% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 30% | 110 | 112 |
| 8 | Bucks | 70% | 118 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 27% | 110 | 123 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 73% | 120 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 44% | 117 | 125 |
| 21 | Bulls | 56% | 119 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 52% | 111 | 98 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 48% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 55% | 118 | 140 |
| 15 | Spurs | 45% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 35% | 105 | 101 |
| 25 | Lakers | 65% | 111 | 102 |
Thursday, January 16, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 78% | 123 | 130 |
| 29 | Wizards | 22% | 112 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 55% | 114 | 111 |
| 19 | Pistons | 45% | 113 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 39% | 110 | 114 |
| 2 | Thunder | 61% | 114 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 39% | 110 | 127 |
| 6 | Kings | 61% | 114 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 61% | 113 | 118 |
| 27 | Blazers | 39% | 109 | 89 |
Wednesday, January 15, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 71% | 117 | 125 |
| 25 | 76ers | 29% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 79% | 121 | 97 |
| 22 | Raptors | 21% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 61% | 119 | 129 |
| 14 | Spurs | 39% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Mavericks | 54% | 113 | 116 |
| 23 | Pelicans | 46% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 39% | 105 | 93 |
| 9 | Bucks | 61% | 109 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 38% | 117 | 110 |
| 19 | Bulls | 62% | 122 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 64% | 113 | 117 |
| 30 | Jazz | 36% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 65% | 114 | 128 |
| 21 | Nuggets | 35% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 37% | 109 | 116 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 63% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 49% | 109 | 108 |
| 15 | Lakers | 51% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 19% | 102 | 67 |
| 10 | Clippers | 81% | 115 | 126 |
Tuesday, January 14, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 63% | 117 | 127 |
| 14 | Pacers | 37% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 88% | 115 | 118 |
| 28 | 76ers | 12% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 55% | 119 | 117 |
| 22 | Hawks | 45% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 40% | 118 | 119 |
| 19 | Bulls | 60% | 121 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kings | 48% | 114 | 115 |
| 12 | Bucks | 52% | 115 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 48% | 116 | 118 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 52% | 117 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 45% | 110 | 132 |
| 26 | Blazers | 55% | 111 | 114 |
Monday, January 13, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 84% | 119 | 120 |
| 29 | Wizards | 16% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 60% | 117 | 101 |
| 25 | Raptors | 40% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 33% | 110 | 124 |
| 5 | Knicks | 67% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 47% | 114 | 118 |
| 6 | Rockets | 53% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 35% | 106 | 98 |
| 12 | Clippers | 65% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 44% | 111 | 126 |
| 14 | Lakers | 56% | 114 | 102 |
Sunday, January 12, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bucks | 46% | 114 | 106 |
| 8 | Knicks | 54% | 116 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 54% | 116 | 112 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 46% | 115 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 60% | 119 | 124 |
| 23 | Bulls | 40% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 13% | 107 | 119 |
| 1 | Celtics | 87% | 123 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 44% | 105 | 99 |
| 20 | Magic | 56% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 90% | 122 | 136 |
| 30 | Wizards | 10% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 32% | 114 | 108 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 68% | 121 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 57% | 108 | 111 |
| 29 | Jazz | 43% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 32% | 111 | 113 |
| 16 | Suns | 68% | 118 | 120 |
Saturday, January 11, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 27% | 111 | 106 |
| 11 | Suns | 73% | 119 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 43% | 112 | 114 |
| 22 | Pistons | 57% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grizzlies | 47% | 113 | 127 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 53% | 114 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 61% | 113 | 119 |
| 27 | Blazers | 39% | 109 | 98 |
Friday, January 10, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Warriors | 29% | 111 | 96 |
| 10 | Pacers | 71% | 120 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 60% | 109 | 109 |
| 16 | Magic | 40% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 31% | 108 | 123 |
| 19 | 76ers | 69% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 60% | 114 | 126 |
| 4 | Knicks | 40% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 22% | 109 | 114 |
| 2 | Celtics | 78% | 120 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 27% | 116 | 105 |
| 17 | Bulls | 73% | 125 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 18% | 106 | 105 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 82% | 119 | 124 |
Thursday, January 9, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 23% | 110 | 126 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 77% | 121 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 58% | 104 | 104 |
| 21 | Magic | 42% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 60% | 114 | 107 |
| 23 | Pistons | 40% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Blazers | 27% | 107 | 111 |
| 17 | Mavericks | 73% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 46% | 114 | 119 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 54% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 60% | 113 | 97 |
| 27 | Jazz | 40% | 109 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 37% | 116 | 115 |
| 12 | Suns | 63% | 121 | 123 |