Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Wizards	51%	117	112	110.9	101	96.7
	30	Jazz	49%	116	128	128.0	100	104.7

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+17

-13

105

UTA

+14

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.07 53.3%

UTA

1.31 65.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	28.4	12	60%	1	6	2	0	1	4	1	0	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	23.2	22	73%	9	2	2	0	2	0	5	4	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	4-8	50%
Bub Carrington #8 · SF · 6'4" 190 · 20	22.6	6	60%	5	4	1	1	1	0	0	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · PF · 7'0" 220 · 22	21.0	17	71%	5	0	0	2	0	1	1	4	0-2	0%	7-7	100%	1-4	25%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	19.6	2	9%	2	5	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-9	0%

Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	31.4	11	46%	7	1	0	0	3	1	2	5	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-3	33%
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23	30.4	8	44%	3	3	3	0	0	2	2	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	26.3	24	100%	4	3	3	0	1	2	1	3	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	4-4	100%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	23.5	10	63%	1	2	0	0	2	3	1	0	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	13.7	0	0%	0	4	1	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-4	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Khris Middleton #32 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	53%	37	30	12	4	13	13	13	24	14-18	78%	31-48	65%	12-45	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	28.4	12	60%	1	6	2	0	1	4	1	0	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	23.2	22	73%	9	2	2	0	2	0	5	4	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	4-8	50%
Bub Carrington #8 · SF · 6'4" 190 · 20	22.6	6	60%	5	4	1	1	1	0	0	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · PF · 7'0" 220 · 22	21.0	17	71%	5	0	0	2	0	1	1	4	0-2	0%	7-7	100%	1-4	25%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	19.6	2	9%	2	5	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-9	0%

Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	31.4	11	46%	7	1	0	0	3	1	2	5	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-3	33%
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23	30.4	8	44%	3	3	3	0	0	2	2	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	26.3	24	100%	4	3	3	0	1	2	1	3	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	4-4	100%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	23.5	10	63%	1	2	0	0	2	3	1	0	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	13.7	0	0%	0	4	1	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-4	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Khris Middleton #32 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	53%	37	30	12	4	13	13	13	24	14-18	78%	31-48	65%	12-45	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 20	28.3	2	14%	1	1	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-5	0%
Isaiah Collier #13 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 20	27.7	16	80%	3	6	4	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-3	67%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 21	21.4	21	81%	4	2	0	0	2	3	1	3	1-4	25%	4-5	80%	4-6	67%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 26	19.0	18	90%	3	5	0	0	3	2	1	2	2-4	50%	5-6	83%	2-2	100%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 24	15.3	7	44%	5	2	1	1	0	3	2	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-6	17%

Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 21	29.1	20	77%	4	4	0	0	2	2	0	4	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	3-5	60%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 21	22.7	17	77%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	3-6	50%
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 24	22.3	9	64%	6	2	0	0	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 33	20.3	14	58%	3	4	0	0	5	0	0	3	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 25	18.5	4	50%	10	2	0	0	1	0	2	8	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	15.4	0	0%	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
KJ Martin #99 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Bursitis
Jaden Springer #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Fibula; Fracture
Svi Mykhailiuk #19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Strain
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 28	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	65%	42	30	7	1	16	16	9	33	11-18	61%	33-47	70%	17-42	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	UTA

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.07 53.3%

UTA

1.31 65.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

86%

UTA

81%

Midrange

WAS

48%

UTA

62%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

18.0

27%

40%

UTA

25.5

40%

61%

Free Throws

WAS

78%

UTA

61%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Jones	24	100%	12.0 / 12
A. Sarr	22	73%	11.0 / 15
T. Vukcevic	17	71%	8.5 / 12
A. Johnson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Martin	11	46%	5.5 / 12
A. Gill	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Thor	8	44%	4.0 / 9
B. Carrington	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Poole	2	9%	1.0 / 11
M. Smart	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Filipowski	21	81%	10.5 / 13
K. George	20	77%	10.0 / 13
C. Sexton	18	90%	9.0 / 10
B. Sensabaugh	17	77%	8.5 / 11
I. Collier	16	80%	8.0 / 10
J. Clarkson	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Juzang	9	64%	4.5 / 7
W. Kessler	7	44%	3.5 / 8
O. Tshiebwe	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Williams	2	14%	1.0 / 7
M. Potter	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 24 110.3	WAS 110.9 UTA 128.0 +17.1
Pace	4 101.8 7 100.8	WAS 96.7 UTA 104.7 +8.0
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 13 14.7	WAS 14.9 UTA 13.8 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 21 53.3%	WAS 52.7% UTA 65.7% +13.0%
TO %	27 14.6% 30 16.2%	WAS 12.2% −2.7% UTA 14.9%
ORB %	25 22.7% 6 26.9%	WAS 28.3% +1.0% UTA 27.3%
FTrt	26 22.9 7 25.2	WAS 19.4 UTA 20.2 +0.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 18 63.3%	WAS 69.8% +9.8% UTA 60.0%
STL %	25 7.4% 30 6.6%	WAS 11.9% +4.9% UTA 7.0%
BLK %	12 9.6% 25 8.5%	WAS 8.5% +6.4% UTA 2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.5 and 2.5.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 20 55.4%	WAS 53.3% UTA 65.3% +12.0%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 15 63.8%	WAS 85.7% +4.7% UTA 81.0%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 17 43.1%	WAS 48.1% UTA 61.5% +13.4%
3P %	29 33.5% 22 35.0%	WAS 26.7% UTA 40.5% +13.8%
FT %	16 77.8% 22 77.4%	WAS 77.8% +16.7% UTA 61.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 27 28.8%	WAS 22.6% UTA 23.6% +1.0%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 15 26.2%	WAS 29.0% −0.2% UTA 29.2%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 7 44.9%	WAS 48.4% +1.2% UTA 47.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	UTA
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	112	128
Rebounds	37	42
Assists	30	30
Steals	12	7
Blocks	4	1
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	16 (1)
Fouls	13	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (3)	33 (2)
Field Goals	43-93	50-89
At-the-Rim FG	18-21	17-21
Midrange FG	13-27	16-26
2-Point FG	31-48	33-47
3-Point FG	12-45	17-42
Free Throws	14-18	11-18
Fast Break Pts	15	13
2nd Chance Pts	19	18
Points in Paint	58	56
Pts off Turnovers	30	21
Bench Points	53	64
Biggest Lead	11	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg