Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, March 19, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Wizards | ||||
30 | Jazz |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Mavericks | ||||
11 | Pacers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Rockets | ||||
18 | Magic |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Pistons | ||||
16 | Heat |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Pelicans | ||||
5 | Timberwolves |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | 76ers | ||||
1 | Thunder |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Knicks | ||||
24 | Spurs |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Nuggets | ||||
9 | Lakers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Bulls | ||||
17 | Suns |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Grizzlies | ||||
22 | Trail Blazers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | ||||
14 | Kings |
Tuesday, March 18, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Hawks | ||||
28 | Hornets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Nets | ||||
2 | Celtics |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | ||||
7 | Clippers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Bucks | ||||
4 | Warriors |
Monday, March 17, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Spurs | ||||
9 | Lakers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Heat | ||||
10 | Knicks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | 76ers | ||||
12 | Rockets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | ||||
6 | Timberwolves |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Pistons | ||||
23 | Pelicans |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Bulls | ||||
30 | Jazz |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | ||||
4 | Warriors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Raptors | ||||
16 | Suns |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Grizzlies | ||||
14 | Kings |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Wizards | ||||
21 | Trail Blazers |
Sunday, March 16, 2025
Friday, March 14, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 72% | 117 | 112 | |
30 | 76ers | 28% | 109 | 100 |
Updated: Mar 14, 2025 10:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Clippers | 60% | 115 | 121 | |
18 | Hawks | 40% | 111 | 98 |
Updated: Mar 14, 2025 11:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Mavericks | 29% | 106 | 96 | |
10 | Rockets | 71% | 114 | 133 |
Updated: Mar 14, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 55% | 118 | 133 | |
8 | Grizzlies | 45% | 116 | 124 |
Updated: Mar 14, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Magic | 27% | 100 | 111 | |
6 | Timberwolves | 73% | 109 | 118 |
Updated: Mar 14, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hornets | 43% | 111 | 145 | |
21 | Spurs | 57% | 114 | 134 |
Updated: Mar 14, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Lakers | 18% | 107 | 126 | |
4 | Nuggets | 82% | 121 | 131 |
Updated: Mar 15, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Raptors | 51% | 116 | 126 | |
28 | Jazz | 49% | 115 | 118 |
Updated: Mar 15, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailThursday, March 13, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 23% | 108 | 129 | |
13 | Pistons | 77% | 119 | 125 |
Updated: Mar 13, 2025 10:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Lakers | 52% | 111 | 106 | |
14 | Bucks | 48% | 110 | 126 |
Updated: Mar 13, 2025 11:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Kings | 28% | 111 | 104 | |
4 | Warriors | 72% | 119 | 130 |
Updated: Mar 14, 2025 01:47 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Magic | 56% | 109 | 113 | |
21 | Pelicans | 44% | 107 | 93 |
Updated: Mar 13, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailWednesday, March 12, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Hornets | 39% | 113 | 110 | |
19 | Hawks | 61% | 117 | 123 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:17 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 51% | 114 | 118 | |
2 | Celtics | 49% | 113 | 112 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:17 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | 76ers | 49% | 108 | 105 | |
30 | Raptors | 51% | 109 | 118 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:17 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Clippers | 48% | 105 | 119 | |
16 | Heat | 52% | 106 | 104 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Suns | 42% | 112 | 104 | |
12 | Rockets | 58% | 115 | 111 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Jazz | 25% | 115 | 115 | |
11 | Grizzlies | 75% | 125 | 122 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Mavericks | 46% | 114 | 116 | |
22 | Spurs | 54% | 115 | 126 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 09:55 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Timberwolves | 41% | 114 | 115 | |
5 | Nuggets | 59% | 117 | 95 |
Updated: Mar 13, 2025 01:57 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Knicks | 63% | 114 | 114 | |
23 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 109 | 113 |
Updated: Mar 13, 2025 01:57 AM
game detailTuesday, March 11, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Nets | 14% | 104 | 104 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 86% | 119 | 109 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Wizards | 19% | 108 | 103 | |
11 | Pistons | 81% | 121 | 123 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Bucks | 49% | 115 | 114 | |
14 | Pacers | 51% | 116 | 115 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 11:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Clippers | 71% | 115 | 120 | |
25 | Pelicans | 29% | 107 | 127 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailMonday, March 10, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | 76ers | 28% | 109 | 123 | |
20 | Hawks | 72% | 117 | 132 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 11:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Jazz | 11% | 105 | 108 | |
4 | Celtics | 89% | 123 | 114 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 11:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hornets | 34% | 104 | 105 | |
17 | Heat | 66% | 111 | 102 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 11:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 35% | 110 | 104 | |
27 | Raptors | 65% | 116 | 119 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 11:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pacers | 59% | 120 | 103 | |
21 | Bulls | 41% | 117 | 121 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Magic | 42% | 104 | 84 | |
14 | Rockets | 58% | 107 | 97 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Suns | 35% | 117 | 118 | |
8 | Grizzlies | 65% | 123 | 120 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | 30% | 112 | 140 | |
1 | Thunder | 70% | 120 | 127 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Mavericks | 42% | 113 | 133 | |
19 | Spurs | 58% | 116 | 129 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 108 | 120 | |
3 | Warriors | 81% | 122 | 130 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Knicks | 54% | 114 | 133 | |
12 | Kings | 46% | 113 | 104 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 02:12 AM
game detailSunday, March 9, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | 34% | 113 | 103 | |
1 | Thunder | 66% | 119 | 127 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 04:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Suns | 58% | 116 | 125 | |
26 | Mavericks | 42% | 113 | 116 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 07:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Cavaliers | 71% | 120 | 112 | |
17 | Bucks | 29% | 111 | 100 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Grizzlies | 80% | 123 | 107 | |
28 | Pelicans | 20% | 111 | 104 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 10:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Spurs | 28% | 107 | 124 | |
6 | Timberwolves | 72% | 116 | 141 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pistons | 58% | 114 | 119 | |
23 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 111 | 112 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Kings | 36% | 107 | 110 | |
7 | Clippers | 64% | 113 | 111 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailSaturday, March 8, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Nets | 67% | 108 | 102 | |
29 | Hornets | 33% | 101 | 105 |
Updated: Mar 8, 2025 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 31% | 109 | 117 | |
11 | Rockets | 69% | 116 | 146 |
Updated: Mar 8, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Pacers | 51% | 119 | 118 | |
19 | Hawks | 49% | 118 | 120 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 12:17 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Wizards | 43% | 110 | 118 | |
25 | Raptors | 57% | 113 | 117 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 12:17 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Lakers | 35% | 108 | 101 | |
3 | Celtics | 65% | 114 | 111 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pistons | 35% | 111 | 110 | |
5 | Warriors | 65% | 117 | 115 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailFriday, March 7, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cavaliers | 83% | 120 | 118 | |
28 | Hornets | 17% | 106 | 117 |
Updated: Mar 7, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Jazz | 35% | 110 | 109 | |
24 | Raptors | 65% | 116 | 118 |
Updated: Mar 8, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Grizzlies | 68% | 119 | 122 | |
26 | Mavericks | 32% | 112 | 111 |
Updated: Mar 8, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Timberwolves | 57% | 107 | 106 | |
15 | Heat | 43% | 105 | 104 |
Updated: Mar 8, 2025 12:57 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 107 | 89 | |
7 | Thunder | 75% | 117 | 107 |
Updated: Mar 8, 2025 12:57 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Knicks | 43% | 108 | 95 | |
9 | Clippers | 57% | 111 | 105 |
Updated: Mar 8, 2025 03:22 AM
game detailThursday, March 6, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 54% | 119 | 118 | |
19 | Hawks | 46% | 117 | 124 |
Updated: Mar 7, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | 76ers | 14% | 103 | 105 | |
1 | Celtics | 86% | 119 | 123 |
Updated: Mar 7, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Warriors | 70% | 115 | 121 | |
21 | Nets | 30% | 107 | 119 |
Updated: Mar 7, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Rockets | 61% | 115 | 109 | |
22 | Pelicans | 39% | 111 | 97 |
Updated: Mar 7, 2025 12:57 AM
game detail