Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, March 19, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cpath%20d='M376,81.4L341.7,155H204.3L161,247.8h-38.8c0.3-4.6,1.2-9.3,2.7-13.8c3.7-11.2,10.7-20.4,19.5-27c2.3,2.6,4.4,5.5,6.3,8.5%20c0.3,0.5,0.9,0.4,1.1,0c0,0,0,0,0,0l62.6-134.2H376z'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M57.8,276.6c-3.9,7.8-9.5,14.5-16.3,19.6c-5.7-6.6-10.2-14.3-13.1-23.1c-2-5.9-3.1-11.8-3.4-17.7h38.6%20C63.1,262.7,61.2,269.9,57.8,276.6'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M89.1,255.4v64.2c-15.8-0.9-30.7-7.3-42.3-17.9c7.4-5.7,13.4-13.1,17.8-21.7c3.9-7.8,6.1-16.1,6.6-24.6H89.1z'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M60.9,234c1.5,4.5,2.4,9.2,2.7,13.8H25c0.8-15.1,6.7-29.4,16.5-40.7C50.2,213.7,57.1,222.9,60.9,234'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M89.1,183.7v64.2H71.2c-0.3-5.4-1.4-10.9-3.1-16.2c-4.1-12.4-11.7-22.6-21.3-30c6.9-6.4,15.2-11.4,24.7-14.6%20C77.3,185.1,83.2,184,89.1,183.7'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M114.6,247.8H96.7v-64.2c15.8,0.9,30.8,7.2,42.4,17.9c-9.9,7.6-17.3,18-21.4,30.1C115.9,237,114.9,242.4,114.6,247.8'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M139.1,301.8c-6.9,6.3-15.2,11.3-24.6,14.5c-5.9,2-11.9,3.1-17.8,3.4v-64.2h17.8c0.5,8.5,2.7,16.8,6.6,24.6%20C125.5,288.7,131.6,296.1,139.1,301.8'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M161,255.4c-0.8,15.1-6.7,29.5-16.6,40.9c-6.9-5.1-12.5-11.8-16.4-19.7c-3.4-6.7-5.3-13.9-5.8-21.2H161z'/%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 30 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Mavericks | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Pistons | |||
 | 16 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Pelicans | |||
 | 5 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Knicks | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Bulls | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, March 18, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Nets | |||
 | 2 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bucks | |||
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Monday, March 17, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Spurs | |||
| 9 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | |||
| 10 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | |||
| 12 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | |||
| 6 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | |||
| 23 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | |||
| 30 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | |||
| 4 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Raptors | |||
| 16 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | |||
| 14 | Kings | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | |||
| 21 | Trail Blazers | |||
Sunday, March 16, 2025
Friday, March 14, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 72% | 117 | 112 |
| 30 | 76ers | 28% | 109 | 100 |
Updated: Mar 14, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 60% | 115 | 121 |
| 18 | Hawks | 40% | 111 | 98 |
Updated: Mar 14, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Mavericks | 29% | 106 | 96 |
| 10 | Rockets | 71% | 114 | 133 |
Updated: Mar 14, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 55% | 118 | 133 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 45% | 116 | 124 |
Updated: Mar 14, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 27% | 100 | 111 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 73% | 109 | 118 |
Updated: Mar 14, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 43% | 111 | 145 |
| 21 | Spurs | 57% | 114 | 134 |
Updated: Mar 14, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 18% | 107 | 126 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 82% | 121 | 131 |
Updated: Mar 15, 2025 01:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 51% | 116 | 126 |
| 28 | Jazz | 49% | 115 | 118 |
Updated: Mar 15, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailThursday, March 13, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 23% | 108 | 129 |
| 13 | Pistons | 77% | 119 | 125 |
Updated: Mar 13, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 52% | 111 | 106 |
| 14 | Bucks | 48% | 110 | 126 |
Updated: Mar 13, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 28% | 111 | 104 |
| 4 | Warriors | 72% | 119 | 130 |
Updated: Mar 14, 2025 01:47 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 56% | 109 | 113 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 44% | 107 | 93 |
Updated: Mar 13, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailWednesday, March 12, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 39% | 113 | 110 |
| 19 | Hawks | 61% | 117 | 123 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:17 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 51% | 114 | 118 |
| 2 | Celtics | 49% | 113 | 112 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:17 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 49% | 108 | 105 |
| 30 | Raptors | 51% | 109 | 118 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:17 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 48% | 105 | 119 |
| 16 | Heat | 52% | 106 | 104 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 42% | 112 | 104 |
| 12 | Rockets | 58% | 115 | 111 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 25% | 115 | 115 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 75% | 125 | 122 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Mavericks | 46% | 114 | 116 |
| 22 | Spurs | 54% | 115 | 126 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 09:55 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 41% | 114 | 115 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 59% | 117 | 95 |
Updated: Mar 13, 2025 01:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 63% | 114 | 114 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 109 | 113 |
Updated: Mar 13, 2025 01:57 AM
game detailTuesday, March 11, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 14% | 104 | 104 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 86% | 119 | 109 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 10:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 19% | 108 | 103 |
| 11 | Pistons | 81% | 121 | 123 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 10:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 49% | 115 | 114 |
| 14 | Pacers | 51% | 116 | 115 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 71% | 115 | 120 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 29% | 107 | 127 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailMonday, March 10, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 28% | 109 | 123 |
| 20 | Hawks | 72% | 117 | 132 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 11% | 105 | 108 |
| 4 | Celtics | 89% | 123 | 114 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 34% | 104 | 105 |
| 17 | Heat | 66% | 111 | 102 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 35% | 110 | 104 |
| 27 | Raptors | 65% | 116 | 119 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 59% | 120 | 103 |
| 21 | Bulls | 41% | 117 | 121 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 42% | 104 | 84 |
| 14 | Rockets | 58% | 107 | 97 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 35% | 117 | 118 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 65% | 123 | 120 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 30% | 112 | 140 |
| 1 | Thunder | 70% | 120 | 127 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 42% | 113 | 133 |
| 19 | Spurs | 58% | 116 | 129 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 108 | 120 |
| 3 | Warriors | 81% | 122 | 130 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 01:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knicks | 54% | 114 | 133 |
| 12 | Kings | 46% | 113 | 104 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 02:12 AM
game detailSunday, March 9, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 34% | 113 | 103 |
| 1 | Thunder | 66% | 119 | 127 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 04:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 58% | 116 | 125 |
| 26 | Mavericks | 42% | 113 | 116 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 07:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 71% | 120 | 112 |
| 17 | Bucks | 29% | 111 | 100 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 80% | 123 | 107 |
| 28 | Pelicans | 20% | 111 | 104 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Spurs | 28% | 107 | 124 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 72% | 116 | 141 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 58% | 114 | 119 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 111 | 112 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 36% | 107 | 110 |
| 7 | Clippers | 64% | 113 | 111 |
Updated: Mar 10, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailSaturday, March 8, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 67% | 108 | 102 |
| 29 | Hornets | 33% | 101 | 105 |
Updated: Mar 8, 2025 10:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 31% | 109 | 117 |
| 11 | Rockets | 69% | 116 | 146 |
Updated: Mar 8, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 51% | 119 | 118 |
| 19 | Hawks | 49% | 118 | 120 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 12:17 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 43% | 110 | 118 |
| 25 | Raptors | 57% | 113 | 117 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 12:17 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 35% | 108 | 101 |
| 3 | Celtics | 65% | 114 | 111 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 01:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 35% | 111 | 110 |
| 5 | Warriors | 65% | 117 | 115 |
Updated: Mar 9, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailFriday, March 7, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 83% | 120 | 118 |
| 28 | Hornets | 17% | 106 | 117 |
Updated: Mar 7, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 35% | 110 | 109 |
| 24 | Raptors | 65% | 116 | 118 |
Updated: Mar 8, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 68% | 119 | 122 |
| 26 | Mavericks | 32% | 112 | 111 |
Updated: Mar 8, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 57% | 107 | 106 |
| 15 | Heat | 43% | 105 | 104 |
Updated: Mar 8, 2025 12:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 107 | 89 |
| 7 | Thunder | 75% | 117 | 107 |
Updated: Mar 8, 2025 12:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 43% | 108 | 95 |
| 9 | Clippers | 57% | 111 | 105 |
Updated: Mar 8, 2025 03:22 AM
game detailThursday, March 6, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 54% | 119 | 118 |
| 19 | Hawks | 46% | 117 | 124 |
Updated: Mar 7, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 14% | 103 | 105 |
| 1 | Celtics | 86% | 119 | 123 |
Updated: Mar 7, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 70% | 115 | 121 |
| 21 | Nets | 30% | 107 | 119 |
Updated: Mar 7, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rockets | 61% | 115 | 109 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 39% | 111 | 97 |
Updated: Mar 7, 2025 12:57 AM
game detail