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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 9, 2025
1:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Nuggets34%113103
1Thunder66%119127
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 26.7
38.2
34.7
24
60%
15
0
0
1
1
2
3
12
1-2
50%
7-11
5-8
64%
57%
3-8
38%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.5
6.7
31.0
5
73%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
1-2
4-7
50%
55%
1-1
100%
Nikola Jokić
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.1
41.2
37.3
24
47%
13
9
1
2
3
2
2
11
2-6
33%
8-13
8-13
62%
60%
2-10
20%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
32.0
34.9
19
62%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
5-10
5-8
50%
58%
3-5
60%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 28.0
42.1
36.3
17
45%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
49%
1-5
20%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.3
30.9
26.5
4
20%
11
5
0
1
1
1
7
4
1-2
50%
0-4
3-7
0%
48%
1-5
20%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.2
22.8
14.9
3
54%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
57%
0-0
-
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 25.4
16.4
8.2
7
44%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 22.5
5.9
21.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-1
0%
Vlatko Čančar
F · 6'9" 215 · 27.9
1.2
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.7
1.2
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Spencer Jones
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
1.2
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.6
4.5
0
1-1
63%
Dario Šarić
F · 6'10" 223 · 30.9
3.0
0
0-0
49%
Trey Alexander
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.9
1.9
0
0-0
45%
DaRon Holmes II
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
PJ Hall
C · 6'10" 245 · 23.0
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
38.2
22.1
26
69%
9
8
2
1
1
1
2
7
10-11
91%
5-10
4-8
50%
57%
2-4
50%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 22.9
25.9
12.5
14
67%
8
1
0
0
4
0
2
6
1-1
100%
5-8
2-3
63%
62%
1-2
50%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
31.2
25.7
10
83%
11
1
0
1
0
1
1
10
0-0
-
5-6
4-7
83%
62%
0-0
-
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 25.9
30.3
28.9
6
38%
6
3
1
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
51%
2-5
40%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 26.7
35.4
33.2
40
56%
8
5
0
2
3
1
2
6
8-8
100%
13-21
9-15
62%
57%
2-11
18%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 26.2
18.4
28.0
4
40%
7
1
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
61%
0-2
0%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.3
16.9
17.6
5
43%
0
1
0
1
3
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
59%
1-4
25%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 31.0
16.5
17.9
8
74%
2
2
1
1
2
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
55%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 25.7
12.8
22.3
5
63%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
57%
1-2
50%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
9.8
22.5
9
77%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
53%
3-5
60%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.3
3.5
20.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
58%
0-0
-
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 21.8
1.2
19.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
61%
0-0
-
Dillon Jones
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.4
Adam Flagler
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.3
Nikola Topić
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.6
Ajay Mitchell
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.7
Branden Carlson
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.7
Alex Ducas
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.