Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Clippers	48%	105	119	129.3	92	89.2
	16	Heat	52%	106	104	111.8	93	96.0

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

+13

-16

MIA

+11

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.34 66.9%

MIA

1.11 55.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 33	38.6	30	83%	10	4	0	0	5	1	0	10	4-4	100%	7-9	78%	4-7	57%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	38.5	24	48%	8	11	2	0	3	1	3	5	9-13	69%	3-12	25%	3-8	38%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	38.0	26	76%	14	1	0	0	2	2	6	8	2-3	67%	12-16	75%	0-0	-
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 36	32.9	6	50%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 31	23.8	4	67%	2	3	3	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 28	25.3	13	93%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 28	23.4	8	80%	4	0	1	0	2	0	0	4	1-4	25%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	9.4	6	100%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	7.2	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 37	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	0.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Seth Lundy #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Ben Simmons #25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	67%	45	24	7	0	16	10	11	34	16-24	67%	32-49	65%	13-27	48%

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9 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 33	38.6	30	83%	10	4	0	0	5	1	0	10	4-4	100%	7-9	78%	4-7	57%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	38.5	24	48%	8	11	2	0	3	1	3	5	9-13	69%	3-12	25%	3-8	38%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	38.0	26	76%	14	1	0	0	2	2	6	8	2-3	67%	12-16	75%	0-0	-
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 36	32.9	6	50%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 31	23.8	4	67%	2	3	3	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 28	25.3	13	93%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 28	23.4	8	80%	4	0	1	0	2	0	0	4	1-4	25%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	9.4	6	100%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	7.2	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 37	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	0.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Seth Lundy #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Ben Simmons #25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	67%	45	24	7	0	16	10	11	34	16-24	67%	32-49	65%	13-27	48%

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16 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	42.0	31	65%	6	7	2	0	1	0	1	5	3-3	100%	11-16	69%	2-7	29%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 30	35.8	22	58%	3	5	0	3	4	4	2	1	2-5	40%	7-10	70%	2-7	29%
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 260 · 28	35.3	6	38%	7	7	5	0	1	3	1	6	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 21	18.4	4	50%	7	2	0	0	1	1	4	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	17.2	6	60%	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%

Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	28.3	10	56%	0	1	3	0	0	4	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31	26.8	15	83%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	5-9	56%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 31	16.1	7	44%	1	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28	14.1	0	0%	3	1	1	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	6.0	3	150%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Kyle Anderson #20 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Stevens #4 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 34	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Strain
Josh Christopher #8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Broken
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	55%	29	27	14	3	10	17	9	20	10-14	71%	26-47	55%	14-37	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.34 66.9%

MIA

1.11 55.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

63%

MIA

68%

Midrange

LAC

68%

MIA

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

19.5

48%

72%

MIA

21.0

38%

57%

Free Throws

LAC

67%

MIA

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanović	30	83%	15.0 / 18
I. Zubac	26	76%	13.0 / 17
J. Harden	24	48%	12.0 / 25
A. Coffey	13	93%	6.5 / 7
D. Jones	8	80%	4.0 / 5
N. Batum	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Eubanks	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. Dunn	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Miller	2	100%	1.0 / 1
K. Brown	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Herro	31	65%	15.5 / 24
A. Wiggins	22	58%	11.0 / 19
D. Robinson	15	83%	7.5 / 9
P. Larsson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Rozier	7	44%	3.5 / 8
B. Adebayo	6	38%	3.0 / 8
D. Mitchell	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Ware	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Jaquez	3	150%	1.5 / 1
H. Highsmith	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 114.3 21 112.4	LAC 129.3 +17.5 MIA 111.8
Pace	24 98.1 27 97.2	LAC 89.2 MIA 96.0 +6.9
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.1 9 14.9	LAC 16.1 MIA 15.0 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.4% 19 54.4%	LAC 67.8% +11.8% MIA 56.0%
TO %	22 14.0% 8 12.8%	LAC 17.2% MIA 10.9% −6.3%
ORB %	19 24.4% 27 22.3%	LAC 35.5% +14.6% MIA 20.9%
FTrt	9 25.1 24 23.2	LAC 31.6 +14.9 MIA 16.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 60.5% 10 65.3%	LAC 53.3% MIA 67.5% +14.2%
STL %	2 9.5% 12 8.3%	LAC 7.6% MIA 15.1% +7.5%
BLK %	16 9.3% 30 7.6%	LAC 0.0% MIA 6.1% +6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 19 56.0%	LAC 66.9% +11.6% MIA 55.3%
Rim FG%	13 64.2% 22 62.5%	LAC 62.5% MIA 68.0% +5.5%
Mid FG%	10 45.3% 12 44.4%	LAC 68.0% +27.1% MIA 40.9%
3P %	7 37.3% 11 36.7%	LAC 48.1% +10.3% MIA 37.8%
FT %	7 79.7% 8 79.1%	LAC 66.7% MIA 71.4% +4.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.6% 25 29.6%	LAC 31.6% +1.8% MIA 29.8%
Mid Att. %	28 29.7% 20 27.5%	LAC 32.9% MIA 26.2% −6.7%
3P Att. %	25 38.7% 12 42.9%	LAC 35.5% MIA 44.0% +8.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAC	MIA
Possessions	92	93
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.2
Points	119	104
Rebounds	45	29
Assists	24	27
Steals	7	14
Blocks	0	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (2)	10 (1)
Fouls	10	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	20 (2)
Field Goals	45-76	40-84
At-the-Rim FG	15-24	17-25
Midrange FG	17-25	9-22
2-Point FG	32-49	26-47
3-Point FG	13-27	14-37
Free Throws	16-24	10-14
Fast Break Pts	4	20
2nd Chance Pts	15	13
Points in Paint	56	46
Pts off Turnovers	15	20
Bench Points	29	35
Biggest Lead	18	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg