Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, March 12, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Hornets | 39% | 113 | 110 |
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Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:17 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 51% | 114 | 118 |
 | 2 | Celtics | 49% | 113 | 112 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:17 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Raptors | 51% | 109 | 118 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:17 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Heat | 52% | 106 | 104 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Mavericks | 46% | 114 | 116 |
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Updated: Mar 12, 2025 09:55 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Timberwolves | 41% | 114 | 115 |
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Updated: Mar 13, 2025 01:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Knicks | 63% | 114 | 114 |
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Updated: Mar 13, 2025 01:57 AM
game detailTuesday, March 11, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Nets | 14% | 104 | 104 |
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Updated: Mar 11, 2025 10:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Pistons | 81% | 121 | 123 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 10:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bucks | 49% | 115 | 114 |
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Updated: Mar 11, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 71% | 115 | 120 |
 | 25 | Pelicans | 29% | 107 | 127 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailMonday, March 10, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 28% | 109 | 123 |
| 20 | Hawks | 72% | 117 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 11% | 105 | 108 |
| 4 | Celtics | 89% | 123 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Lakers | 67% | 111 | 108 |
| 22 | Nets | 33% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 34% | 104 | 105 |
| 17 | Heat | 66% | 111 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 35% | 110 | 104 |
| 27 | Raptors | 65% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 59% | 120 | 103 |
 | 21 | Bulls | 41% | 117 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Magic | 42% | 104 | 84 |
| 14 | Rockets | 58% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 35% | 117 | 118 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 65% | 123 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 30% | 112 | 140 |
| 1 | Thunder | 70% | 120 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 42% | 113 | 133 |
| 19 | Spurs | 58% | 116 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 108 | 120 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knicks | 54% | 114 | 133 |
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Sunday, March 9, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 34% | 113 | 103 |
| 1 | Thunder | 66% | 119 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 58% | 116 | 125 |
| 26 | Mavericks | 42% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 71% | 120 | 112 |
| 17 | Bucks | 29% | 111 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 80% | 123 | 107 |
| 28 | Pelicans | 20% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 33% | 109 | 122 |
| 27 | 76ers | 67% | 116 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Spurs | 28% | 107 | 124 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 72% | 116 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 58% | 114 | 119 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 36% | 107 | 110 |
| 7 | Clippers | 64% | 113 | 111 |
Saturday, March 8, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 67% | 108 | 102 |
| 29 | Hornets | 33% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 31% | 109 | 117 |
| 11 | Rockets | 69% | 116 | 146 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 51% | 119 | 118 |
| 19 | Hawks | 49% | 118 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 43% | 110 | 118 |
| 25 | Raptors | 57% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 38% | 110 | 114 |
| 14 | Heat | 62% | 115 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 43% | 106 | 111 |
| 15 | Bucks | 57% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 35% | 108 | 101 |
| 3 | Celtics | 65% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 35% | 111 | 110 |
| 5 | Warriors | 65% | 117 | 115 |
Friday, March 7, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 83% | 120 | 118 |
| 28 | Hornets | 17% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 35% | 110 | 109 |
| 24 | Raptors | 65% | 116 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 68% | 119 | 122 |
| 26 | Mavericks | 32% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 57% | 107 | 106 |
| 15 | Heat | 43% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 107 | 89 |
| 7 | Thunder | 75% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 30% | 115 | 141 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 70% | 123 | 149 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | 41% | 113 | 109 |
| 18 | Kings | 59% | 116 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 43% | 108 | 95 |
| 9 | Clippers | 57% | 111 | 105 |
Thursday, March 6, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 54% | 119 | 118 |
| 19 | Hawks | 46% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 14% | 103 | 105 |
| 1 | Celtics | 86% | 119 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 70% | 115 | 121 |
| 21 | Nets | 30% | 107 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rockets | 61% | 115 | 109 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 39% | 111 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Knicks | 51% | 115 | 109 |
| 6 | Lakers | 49% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 36% | 108 | 125 |
| 17 | Magic | 64% | 113 | 123 |
Wednesday, March 5, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 108 | 118 |
| 5 | Celtics | 76% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 66% | 113 | 125 |
| 28 | Hornets | 34% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 23% | 104 | 107 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 77% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | 41% | 111 | 122 |
| 29 | Wizards | 59% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 65% | 122 | 120 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 35% | 116 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 28% | 113 | 110 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 72% | 122 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Mavericks | 38% | 109 | 107 |
| 13 | Bucks | 62% | 113 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 49% | 109 | 115 |
| 12 | Clippers | 51% | 110 | 123 |
Tuesday, March 4, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 31% | 110 | 102 |
| 7 | Pacers | 69% | 118 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 40% | 103 | 114 |
| 14 | Magic | 60% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 56% | 118 | 127 |
| 17 | Hawks | 44% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 40% | 114 | 114 |
| 6 | Knicks | 60% | 117 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 82% | 126 | 139 |
| 28 | Bulls | 18% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 21% | 102 | 112 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 79% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 41% | 109 | 113 |
| 21 | Spurs | 59% | 113 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 58% | 115 | 117 |
| 15 | Suns | 42% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 28% | 107 | 115 |
| 11 | Lakers | 72% | 116 | 136 |
Monday, March 3, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 77% | 117 | 119 |
| 28 | Hornets | 23% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 111 | 119 |
| 20 | 76ers | 63% | 116 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 26% | 106 | 90 |
| 12 | Heat | 74% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 32% | 117 | 132 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 68% | 123 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 17% | 104 | 128 |
| 1 | Thunder | 83% | 118 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 44% | 114 | 122 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 56% | 116 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 76% | 120 | 134 |
| 30 | Jazz | 24% | 109 | 106 |
Sunday, March 2, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 37% | 116 | 103 |
| 2 | Celtics | 63% | 121 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 108 | 129 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 81% | 121 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 24% | 115 | 112 |
| 7 | Pacers | 76% | 126 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 58% | 112 | 116 |
| 15 | Heat | 42% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 39% | 104 | 104 |
| 16 | Magic | 61% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 81% | 118 | 146 |
| 21 | Spurs | 19% | 105 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 64% | 118 | 128 |
| 30 | Jazz | 36% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 55% | 114 | 116 |
| 18 | Suns | 45% | 113 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 53% | 109 | 102 |
| 10 | Lakers | 47% | 108 | 108 |
Saturday, March 1, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 38% | 110 | 113 |
| 27 | Hornets | 62% | 114 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 28% | 104 | 94 |
| 15 | Pistons | 72% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 44% | 112 | 113 |
| 14 | Rockets | 56% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Spurs | 34% | 112 | 130 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 66% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 66% | 115 | 119 |
| 21 | 76ers | 34% | 109 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 45% | 112 | 132 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 55% | 114 | 117 |
Friday, February 28, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 51% | 119 | 134 |
| 11 | Pistons | 49% | 118 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 78% | 122 | 135 |
| 20 | Hawks | 22% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 43% | 114 | 123 |
| 2 | Celtics | 57% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 108 | 121 |
| 24 | Nets | 55% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 54% | 114 | 120 |
| 16 | Heat | 46% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 52% | 117 | 115 |
| 25 | Bulls | 48% | 116 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 41% | 117 | 114 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 59% | 121 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 27% | 111 | 108 |
| 17 | Suns | 73% | 120 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 62% | 112 | 116 |
| 29 | Jazz | 38% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 47% | 108 | 102 |
| 7 | Lakers | 53% | 109 | 106 |
Thursday, February 27, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 60% | 108 | 121 |
| 19 | Magic | 40% | 105 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 62% | 121 | 112 |
| 18 | Bucks | 38% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 21% | 104 | 96 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 79% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 37% | 115 | 124 |
| 17 | Suns | 63% | 120 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 39% | 107 | 102 |
| 5 | Lakers | 61% | 111 | 111 |