Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, March 12, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Hornets | 39% | 113 | 110 | |
19 | Hawks | 61% | 117 | 123 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:17 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 51% | 114 | 118 | |
2 | Celtics | 49% | 113 | 112 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:17 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | 76ers | 49% | 108 | 105 | |
30 | Raptors | 51% | 109 | 118 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:17 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Clippers | 48% | 105 | 119 | |
16 | Heat | 52% | 106 | 104 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Suns | 42% | 112 | 104 | |
12 | Rockets | 58% | 115 | 111 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Jazz | 25% | 115 | 115 | |
10 | Grizzlies | 75% | 125 | 122 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Mavericks | 46% | 114 | 116 | |
22 | Spurs | 54% | 115 | 126 |
Updated: Mar 12, 2025 09:55 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Timberwolves | 41% | 114 | 115 | |
5 | Nuggets | 59% | 117 | 95 |
Updated: Mar 13, 2025 01:57 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Knicks | 63% | 114 | 114 | |
23 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 109 | 113 |
Updated: Mar 13, 2025 01:57 AM
game detailTuesday, March 11, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Nets | 14% | 104 | 104 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 86% | 119 | 109 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Wizards | 19% | 108 | 103 | |
11 | Pistons | 81% | 121 | 123 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Bucks | 49% | 115 | 114 | |
14 | Pacers | 51% | 116 | 115 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 11:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Clippers | 71% | 115 | 120 | |
25 | Pelicans | 29% | 107 | 127 |
Updated: Mar 11, 2025 11:57 PM
game detailMonday, March 10, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | 76ers | 28% | 109 | 123 | |
20 | Hawks | 72% | 117 | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Jazz | 11% | 105 | 108 | |
4 | Celtics | 89% | 123 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Lakers | 67% | 111 | 108 | |
22 | Nets | 33% | 105 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Hornets | 34% | 104 | 105 | |
17 | Heat | 66% | 111 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 35% | 110 | 104 | |
27 | Raptors | 65% | 116 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pacers | 59% | 120 | 103 | |
21 | Bulls | 41% | 117 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Magic | 42% | 104 | 84 | |
14 | Rockets | 58% | 107 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Suns | 35% | 117 | 118 | |
8 | Grizzlies | 65% | 123 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | 30% | 112 | 140 | |
1 | Thunder | 70% | 120 | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Mavericks | 42% | 113 | 133 | |
19 | Spurs | 58% | 116 | 129 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 108 | 120 | |
3 | Warriors | 81% | 122 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Knicks | 54% | 114 | 133 | |
12 | Kings | 46% | 113 | 104 |
Sunday, March 9, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Nuggets | 34% | 113 | 103 | |
1 | Thunder | 66% | 119 | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Suns | 58% | 116 | 125 | |
26 | Mavericks | 42% | 113 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Cavaliers | 71% | 120 | 112 | |
17 | Bucks | 29% | 111 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Grizzlies | 80% | 123 | 107 | |
28 | Pelicans | 20% | 111 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Jazz | 33% | 109 | 122 | |
27 | 76ers | 67% | 116 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Spurs | 28% | 107 | 124 | |
6 | Timberwolves | 72% | 116 | 141 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pistons | 58% | 114 | 119 | |
23 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 111 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Kings | 36% | 107 | 110 | |
7 | Clippers | 64% | 113 | 111 |
Saturday, March 8, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Nets | 67% | 108 | 102 | |
29 | Hornets | 33% | 101 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 31% | 109 | 117 | |
11 | Rockets | 69% | 116 | 146 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Pacers | 51% | 119 | 118 | |
19 | Hawks | 49% | 118 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Wizards | 43% | 110 | 118 | |
25 | Raptors | 57% | 113 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | 38% | 110 | 114 | |
14 | Heat | 62% | 115 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Magic | 43% | 106 | 111 | |
15 | Bucks | 57% | 108 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Lakers | 35% | 108 | 101 | |
3 | Celtics | 65% | 114 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pistons | 35% | 111 | 110 | |
5 | Warriors | 65% | 117 | 115 |
Friday, March 7, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cavaliers | 83% | 120 | 118 | |
28 | Hornets | 17% | 106 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Jazz | 35% | 110 | 109 | |
24 | Raptors | 65% | 116 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Grizzlies | 68% | 119 | 122 | |
26 | Mavericks | 32% | 112 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Timberwolves | 57% | 107 | 106 | |
15 | Heat | 43% | 105 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 107 | 89 | |
7 | Thunder | 75% | 117 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Suns | 30% | 115 | 141 | |
3 | Nuggets | 70% | 123 | 149 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Spurs | 41% | 113 | 109 | |
18 | Kings | 59% | 116 | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Knicks | 43% | 108 | 95 | |
9 | Clippers | 57% | 111 | 105 |
Thursday, March 6, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 54% | 119 | 118 | |
19 | Hawks | 46% | 117 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | 76ers | 14% | 103 | 105 | |
1 | Celtics | 86% | 119 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Warriors | 70% | 115 | 121 | |
21 | Nets | 30% | 107 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Rockets | 61% | 115 | 109 | |
22 | Pelicans | 39% | 111 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Knicks | 51% | 115 | 109 | |
6 | Lakers | 49% | 114 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Bulls | 36% | 108 | 125 | |
17 | Magic | 64% | 113 | 123 |
Wednesday, March 5, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 108 | 118 | |
5 | Celtics | 76% | 118 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Timberwolves | 66% | 113 | 125 | |
28 | Hornets | 34% | 107 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Heat | 23% | 104 | 107 | |
2 | Cavaliers | 77% | 115 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Jazz | 41% | 111 | 122 | |
29 | Wizards | 59% | 115 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 65% | 122 | 120 | |
8 | Grizzlies | 35% | 116 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Kings | 28% | 113 | 110 | |
6 | Nuggets | 72% | 122 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Mavericks | 38% | 109 | 107 | |
13 | Bucks | 62% | 113 | 137 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pistons | 49% | 109 | 115 | |
12 | Clippers | 51% | 110 | 123 |
Tuesday, March 4, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Rockets | 31% | 110 | 102 | |
7 | Pacers | 69% | 118 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Raptors | 40% | 103 | 114 | |
14 | Magic | 60% | 107 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Bucks | 56% | 118 | 127 | |
17 | Hawks | 44% | 116 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Warriors | 40% | 114 | 114 | |
6 | Knicks | 60% | 117 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Cavaliers | 82% | 126 | 139 | |
28 | Bulls | 18% | 112 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | 76ers | 21% | 102 | 112 | |
9 | Timberwolves | 79% | 114 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Nets | 41% | 109 | 113 | |
21 | Spurs | 59% | 113 | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Clippers | 58% | 115 | 117 | |
15 | Suns | 42% | 112 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Pelicans | 28% | 107 | 115 | |
11 | Lakers | 72% | 116 | 136 |
Monday, March 3, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Warriors | 77% | 117 | 119 | |
28 | Hornets | 23% | 106 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 111 | 119 | |
20 | 76ers | 63% | 116 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 26% | 106 | 90 | |
12 | Heat | 74% | 116 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Hawks | 32% | 117 | 132 | |
9 | Grizzlies | 68% | 123 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Rockets | 17% | 104 | 128 | |
1 | Thunder | 83% | 118 | 137 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Kings | 44% | 114 | 122 | |
15 | Mavericks | 56% | 116 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Pistons | 76% | 120 | 134 | |
30 | Jazz | 24% | 109 | 106 |
Sunday, March 2, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nuggets | 37% | 116 | 103 | |
2 | Celtics | 63% | 121 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 108 | 129 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 81% | 121 | 133 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bulls | 24% | 115 | 112 | |
7 | Pacers | 76% | 126 | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Knicks | 58% | 112 | 116 | |
15 | Heat | 42% | 109 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Raptors | 39% | 104 | 104 | |
16 | Magic | 61% | 108 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 81% | 118 | 146 | |
21 | Spurs | 19% | 105 | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Pelicans | 64% | 118 | 128 | |
30 | Jazz | 36% | 113 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Timberwolves | 55% | 114 | 116 | |
18 | Suns | 45% | 113 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Clippers | 53% | 109 | 102 | |
10 | Lakers | 47% | 108 | 108 |
Saturday, March 1, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 38% | 110 | 113 | |
27 | Hornets | 62% | 114 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | 28% | 104 | 94 | |
15 | Pistons | 72% | 112 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Kings | 44% | 112 | 113 | |
14 | Rockets | 56% | 114 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Spurs | 34% | 112 | 130 | |
9 | Grizzlies | 66% | 118 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Warriors | 66% | 115 | 119 | |
21 | 76ers | 34% | 109 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Bucks | 45% | 112 | 132 | |
13 | Mavericks | 55% | 114 | 117 |
Friday, February 28, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nuggets | 51% | 119 | 134 | |
11 | Pistons | 49% | 118 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 78% | 122 | 135 | |
20 | Hawks | 22% | 111 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 43% | 114 | 123 | |
2 | Celtics | 57% | 116 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 108 | 121 | |
24 | Nets | 55% | 110 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Pacers | 54% | 114 | 120 | |
16 | Heat | 46% | 112 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Raptors | 52% | 117 | 115 | |
25 | Bulls | 48% | 116 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Knicks | 41% | 117 | 114 | |
6 | Grizzlies | 59% | 121 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Pelicans | 27% | 111 | 108 | |
17 | Suns | 73% | 120 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Timberwolves | 62% | 112 | 116 | |
29 | Jazz | 38% | 108 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Clippers | 47% | 108 | 102 | |
7 | Lakers | 53% | 109 | 106 |
Thursday, February 27, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Warriors | 60% | 108 | 121 | |
19 | Magic | 40% | 105 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nuggets | 62% | 121 | 112 | |
18 | Bucks | 38% | 116 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Hornets | 21% | 104 | 96 | |
15 | Mavericks | 79% | 115 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pelicans | 37% | 115 | 124 | |
17 | Suns | 63% | 120 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Timberwolves | 39% | 107 | 102 | |
5 | Lakers | 61% | 111 | 111 |