Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 5, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Timberwolves	66%	113	125	130.2	96	93.2
	28	Hornets	34%	107	110	114.6	96	99.0

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+12

-5

103

CHA

+22

-13

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.20 60.1%

CHA

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	38.2	29	60%	3	6	2	1	0	2	0	3	5-8	63%	3-7	43%	6-13	46%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	37.6	29	69%	10	4	2	0	1	2	4	6	0-0	-	10-12	83%	3-9	33%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	35.6	25	60%	10	9	0	0	2	3	4	6	7-8	88%	6-11	55%	2-7	29%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	34.7	13	50%	10	2	0	0	1	3	1	9	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 28	31.6	16	100%	5	1	1	0	1	2	0	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	4-5	80%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	29.7	3	30%	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	14.2	3	50%	1	0	2	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	12.6	4	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	5.9	3	150%	0	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bones Hyland #77 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	INACTIVE
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Maintenance
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	60%	43	27	9	3	5	17	10	33	16-22	73%	23-41	56%	21-49	43%

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9 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	38.2	29	60%	3	6	2	1	0	2	0	3	5-8	63%	3-7	43%	6-13	46%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	37.6	29	69%	10	4	2	0	1	2	4	6	0-0	-	10-12	83%	3-9	33%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	35.6	25	60%	10	9	0	0	2	3	4	6	7-8	88%	6-11	55%	2-7	29%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	34.7	13	50%	10	2	0	0	1	3	1	9	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 28	31.6	16	100%	5	1	1	0	1	2	0	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	4-5	80%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	29.7	3	30%	4	3	2	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	14.2	3	50%	1	0	2	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	12.6	4	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	5.9	3	150%	0	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bones Hyland #77 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	INACTIVE
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Maintenance
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	60%	43	27	9	3	5	17	10	33	16-22	73%	23-41	56%	21-49	43%

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28 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	36.7	11	55%	4	3	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	36.4	28	48%	10	6	0	0	4	6	2	8	2-2	100%	7-16	44%	4-12	33%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	34.6	23	52%	9	5	0	0	1	1	1	8	4-6	67%	8-12	67%	1-8	13%
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SF · 6'5" 222 · 28	27.4	6	60%	2	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	24.3	12	75%	8	2	0	1	2	2	2	6	2-4	50%	5-7	71%	0-0	-

Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	25.8	14	64%	7	2	0	0	0	1	3	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-9	44%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	16.3	4	67%	7	3	0	0	3	2	2	5	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Damion Baugh #7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	14.8	4	40%	1	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	11.8	6	75%	4	1	0	1	0	2	3	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	DNP – Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	INACTIVE
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 24	INACTIVE
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Repair
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	52%	57	26	3	2	13	18	20	37	14-18	78%	30-53	57%	12-42	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	CHA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.20 60.1%

CHA

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

67%

CHA

55%

Midrange

MIN

41%

CHA

62%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

31.5

43%

64%

CHA

18.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

MIN

73%

CHA

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	29	60%	14.5 / 24
J. McDaniels	29	69%	14.5 / 21
J. Randle	25	60%	12.5 / 21
D. DiVincenzo	16	100%	8.0 / 8
N. Reid	13	50%	6.5 / 13
T. Shannon	4	50%	2.0 / 4
N. Alexander-Walker	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Clark	3	50%	1.5 / 3
R. Dillingham	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Ball	28	48%	14.0 / 29
M. Bridges	23	52%	11.5 / 22
S. Curry	14	64%	7.0 / 11
M. Williams	12	75%	6.0 / 8
N. Smith	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. Jeffries	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Diabaté	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Salaün	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Baugh	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Nurkić	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 115.7 29 106.7	MIN 130.2 +15.6 CHA 114.6
Pace	25 98.1 23 98.2	MIN 93.2 CHA 99.0 +5.8
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 8 14.9	MIN 15.5 CHA 14.5 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 30 50.3%	MIN 60.6% +10.1% CHA 50.5%
TO %	19 13.9% 28 15.1%	MIN 5.7% −7.0% CHA 12.7%
ORB %	14 25.7% 8 26.5%	MIN 21.3% CHA 37.7% +16.4%
FTrt	11 24.9 27 22.2	MIN 24.4 +5.5 CHA 18.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 63.7% 16 63.5%	MIN 61.4% CHA 61.9% +0.5%
STL %	16 8.1% 24 7.5%	MIN 9.4% +6.3% CHA 3.1%
BLK %	14 9.5% 18 9.2%	MIN 5.7% +0.8% CHA 4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.3% 30 52.5%	MIN 60.1% +7.7% CHA 52.4%
Rim FG%	12 64.8% 30 59.7%	MIN 66.7% +11.7% CHA 55.0%
Mid FG%	27 39.5% 29 38.5%	MIN 41.2% CHA 61.5% +20.3%
3P %	4 37.7% 28 33.9%	MIN 42.9% +14.3% CHA 28.6%
FT %	10 78.9% 14 78.3%	MIN 72.7% CHA 77.8% +5.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.2% 19 30.7%	MIN 26.7% CHA 42.1% +15.4%
Mid Att. %	6 22.3% 16 26.3%	MIN 18.9% CHA 13.7% −5.2%
3P Att. %	6 45.5% 11 43.0%	MIN 54.4% +10.2% CHA 44.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	CHA
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	125	110
Rebounds	43	57
Assists	27	26
Steals	9	3
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	5 (1)	13 (2)
Fouls	17	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	20 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	37 (0)
Field Goals	44-90	42-95
At-the-Rim FG	16-24	22-40
Midrange FG	7-17	8-13
2-Point FG	23-41	30-53
3-Point FG	21-49	12-42
Free Throws	16-22	14-18
Fast Break Pts	18	13
2nd Chance Pts	15	27
Points in Paint	42	58
Pts off Turnovers	18	2
Bench Points	13	30
Biggest Lead	22	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg