Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, March 5, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Celtics | 76% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Timberwolves | 66% | 113 | 125 |
 | 28 | Hornets | 34% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Heat | 23% | 104 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Mavericks | 38% | 109 | 107 |
 | 13 | Bucks | 62% | 113 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 65% | 122 | 120 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Pistons | 49% | 109 | 115 |
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Tuesday, March 4, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Raptors | 40% | 103 | 114 |
 | 14 | Magic | 60% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 56% | 118 | 127 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Knicks | 60% | 117 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 82% | 126 | 139 |
 | 28 | Bulls | 18% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 9 | Timberwolves | 79% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Nets | 41% | 109 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 58% | 115 | 117 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Pelicans | 28% | 107 | 115 |
 | 11 | Lakers | 72% | 116 | 136 |
Monday, March 3, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 77% | 117 | 119 |
| 28 | Hornets | 23% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 111 | 119 |
| 20 | 76ers | 63% | 116 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 26% | 106 | 90 |
| 12 | Heat | 74% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 32% | 117 | 132 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 68% | 123 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 17% | 104 | 128 |
| 1 | Thunder | 83% | 118 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 44% | 114 | 122 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 56% | 116 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 76% | 120 | 134 |
| 30 | Jazz | 24% | 109 | 106 |
Sunday, March 2, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 37% | 116 | 103 |
| 2 | Celtics | 63% | 121 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 108 | 129 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 81% | 121 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 24% | 115 | 112 |
| 7 | Pacers | 76% | 126 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 58% | 112 | 116 |
| 15 | Heat | 42% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 39% | 104 | 104 |
| 16 | Magic | 61% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 81% | 118 | 146 |
| 21 | Spurs | 19% | 105 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 64% | 118 | 128 |
| 30 | Jazz | 36% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 55% | 114 | 116 |
| 18 | Suns | 45% | 113 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 53% | 109 | 102 |
| 10 | Lakers | 47% | 108 | 108 |
Saturday, March 1, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 38% | 110 | 113 |
| 27 | Hornets | 62% | 114 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 28% | 104 | 94 |
| 15 | Pistons | 72% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 44% | 112 | 113 |
| 14 | Rockets | 56% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Spurs | 34% | 112 | 130 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 66% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 66% | 115 | 119 |
| 21 | 76ers | 34% | 109 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 45% | 112 | 132 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 55% | 114 | 117 |
Friday, February 28, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 51% | 119 | 134 |
| 11 | Pistons | 49% | 118 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 78% | 122 | 135 |
| 20 | Hawks | 22% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 43% | 114 | 123 |
| 2 | Celtics | 57% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 108 | 121 |
| 24 | Nets | 55% | 110 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 54% | 114 | 120 |
| 16 | Heat | 46% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 52% | 117 | 115 |
| 25 | Bulls | 48% | 116 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 41% | 117 | 114 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 59% | 121 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 27% | 111 | 108 |
| 17 | Suns | 73% | 120 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 62% | 112 | 116 |
| 29 | Jazz | 38% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 47% | 108 | 102 |
| 7 | Lakers | 53% | 109 | 106 |
Thursday, February 27, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 60% | 108 | 121 |
| 19 | Magic | 40% | 105 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 62% | 121 | 112 |
| 18 | Bucks | 38% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 21% | 104 | 96 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 79% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 37% | 115 | 124 |
| 17 | Suns | 63% | 120 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 39% | 107 | 102 |
| 5 | Lakers | 61% | 111 | 111 |
Wednesday, February 26, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 57% | 113 | 97 |
| 10 | Pistons | 43% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 24% | 112 | 91 |
| 8 | Pacers | 76% | 123 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 33% | 110 | 105 |
| 12 | Knicks | 67% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 116 | 129 |
| 28 | Wizards | 41% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 89% | 115 | 129 |
| 27 | Nets | 11% | 97 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 46% | 112 | 109 |
| 17 | Heat | 54% | 114 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 68% | 115 | 122 |
| 26 | Bulls | 32% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 70% | 121 | 118 |
| 29 | Jazz | 30% | 113 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spurs | 36% | 109 | 106 |
| 13 | Rockets | 64% | 114 | 118 |
Tuesday, February 25, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 81% | 122 | 111 |
| 23 | Raptors | 19% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 64% | 109 | 122 |
| 15 | Magic | 36% | 104 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 41% | 110 | 97 |
| 13 | Rockets | 59% | 113 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 32% | 116 | 148 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 68% | 123 | 151 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spurs | 49% | 115 | 103 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 51% | 116 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 13% | 101 | 92 |
| 6 | Warriors | 87% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Mavericks | 35% | 108 | 99 |
| 7 | Lakers | 65% | 114 | 107 |
Monday, February 24, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 42% | 108 | 97 |
| 9 | Pistons | 58% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 55% | 123 | 125 |
| 8 | Pacers | 45% | 121 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 33% | 112 | 142 |
| 18 | 76ers | 67% | 119 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 63% | 111 | 99 |
| 29 | Wizards | 37% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 47% | 114 | 86 |
| 19 | Hawks | 53% | 115 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 20% | 102 | 131 |
| 2 | Thunder | 80% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 66% | 117 | 114 |
| 30 | Jazz | 34% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 26% | 106 | 88 |
| 12 | Kings | 74% | 116 | 130 |
Sunday, February 23, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 25% | 110 | 105 |
| 2 | Celtics | 75% | 120 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 36% | 111 | 102 |
| 5 | Warriors | 64% | 117 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 44% | 111 | 111 |
| 8 | Pacers | 56% | 113 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | 51% | 117 | 148 |
| 20 | Hawks | 49% | 116 | 143 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 22% | 102 | 90 |
| 16 | Magic | 78% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 49% | 116 | 109 |
| 24 | Raptors | 51% | 117 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 48% | 109 | 113 |
| 21 | Bucks | 52% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Spurs | 52% | 116 | 96 |
| 23 | Pelicans | 48% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 40% | 115 | 123 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 60% | 119 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 70% | 111 | 130 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 30% | 104 | 123 |
Saturday, February 22, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 59% | 121 | 121 |
| 27 | Bulls | 41% | 117 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 28% | 104 | 105 |
| 9 | 76ers | 72% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 33% | 114 | 123 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 67% | 121 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 69% | 116 | 115 |
| 29 | Jazz | 31% | 109 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 48% | 110 | 88 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 111 | 141 |
Friday, February 21, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Knicks | 28% | 112 | 105 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 72% | 121 | 142 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 60% | 113 | 105 |
| 18 | Magic | 40% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 62% | 115 | 104 |
| 30 | Wizards | 38% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 55% | 110 | 120 |
| 23 | Raptors | 45% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 49% | 113 | 125 |
| 15 | Spurs | 51% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 35% | 110 | 103 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 65% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 45% | 106 | 115 |
| 13 | Rockets | 55% | 107 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 82% | 121 | 130 |
| 28 | Jazz | 18% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 49% | 117 | 132 |
| 11 | Kings | 51% | 118 | 108 |
Thursday, February 20, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 55% | 121 | 113 |
| 10 | Pacers | 45% | 119 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 66% | 116 | 124 |
| 9 | 76ers | 34% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 46% | 109 | 114 |
| 17 | Hawks | 54% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 72% | 117 | 110 |
| 23 | Nets | 28% | 108 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 25% | 115 | 111 |
| 8 | Knicks | 75% | 125 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 58% | 111 | 110 |
| 20 | Bucks | 42% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hornets | 15% | 104 | 115 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 85% | 119 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 44% | 115 | 109 |
| 15 | Spurs | 56% | 118 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 54% | 112 | 110 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 111 | 102 |