Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 20, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Hornets	15%	104	115	113.9	101	103.5
	6	Nuggets	85%	119	129	126.5	102	99.6

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+16

-10

107

DEN

+19

-13

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.07 53.7%

DEN

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	33.8	36	69%	13	7	3	1	0	1	4	9	7-7	100%	7-13	54%	5-10	50%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	32.7	16	50%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-10	50%	2-6	33%
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	27.4	19	73%	3	2	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	5-8	63%
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 30	18.7	9	41%	10	7	1	1	2	3	4	6	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Elfrid Payton #22 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	16.3	0	0%	2	3	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-

Damion Baugh #7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	31.7	14	100%	0	6	2	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-3	67%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	29.3	11	42%	6	0	0	0	0	4	2	4	5-7	71%	3-10	30%	0-0	-
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	24.0	3	21%	8	0	0	0	2	2	3	5	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 34	13.3	7	58%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	12.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Repair
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	INACTIVE
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury Management
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	Inactive – Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	54%	45	28	10	2	10	21	14	31	14-17	82%	28-62	45%	15-37	41%

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29 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	33.8	36	69%	13	7	3	1	0	1	4	9	7-7	100%	7-13	54%	5-10	50%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	32.7	16	50%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-10	50%	2-6	33%
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	27.4	19	73%	3	2	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	5-8	63%
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 30	18.7	9	41%	10	7	1	1	2	3	4	6	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Elfrid Payton #22 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 31	16.3	0	0%	2	3	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-

Damion Baugh #7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	31.7	14	100%	0	6	2	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-3	67%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	29.3	11	42%	6	0	0	0	0	4	2	4	5-7	71%	3-10	30%	0-0	-
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	24.0	3	21%	8	0	0	0	2	2	3	5	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 34	13.3	7	58%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	12.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Repair
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	INACTIVE
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury Management
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	Inactive – Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	54%	45	28	10	2	10	21	14	31	14-17	82%	28-62	45%	15-37	41%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	36.9	29	63%	17	9	1	1	2	1	4	13	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	6-14	43%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	34.6	34	85%	1	4	0	2	2	5	0	1	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	7-10	70%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	32.6	10	50%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	32.1	18	69%	7	2	0	0	0	0	4	3	1-2	50%	7-11	64%	1-2	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	29.1	6	25%	11	3	0	0	1	0	5	6	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	0-3	0%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	25.6	8	40%	3	7	0	0	5	2	0	3	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	22.1	16	73%	4	2	0	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	4-7	57%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	15.9	4	67%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	11.1	4	100%	7	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	60%	55	29	3	3	13	14	16	39	12-16	75%	30-55	55%	19-43	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.07 53.7%

DEN

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

53%

DEN

65%

Midrange

CHA

36%

DEN

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

22.5

41%

61%

DEN

28.5

44%

66%

Free Throws

CHA

82%

DEN

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bridges	36	69%	18.0 / 26
J. Green	19	73%	9.5 / 13
N. Smith	16	50%	8.0 / 16
D. Baugh	14	100%	7.0 / 7
M. Diabaté	11	42%	5.5 / 13
J. Nurkić	9	41%	4.5 / 11
S. Curry	7	58%	3.5 / 6
T. Salaün	3	21%	1.5 / 7
E. Payton	0	-	0.0 / 3
W. Moore	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	34	85%	17.0 / 20
N. Jokić	29	63%	14.5 / 23
A. Gordon	18	69%	9.0 / 13
J. Strawther	16	73%	8.0 / 11
C. Braun	10	50%	5.0 / 10
R. Westbrook	8	40%	4.0 / 10
M. Porter	6	25%	3.0 / 12
Z. Nnaji	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Jordan	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 106.7 4 118.9	CHA 113.9 DEN 126.5 +12.6
Pace	23 98.2 8 100.6	CHA 103.5 +3.9 DEN 99.6
Avg. Poss. Time	8 14.9 22 14.2	CHA 13.9 −0.5 DEN 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 2 57.3%	CHA 51.0% DEN 59.7% +8.7%
TO %	28 15.1% 15 13.3%	CHA 8.6% −3.2% DEN 11.8%
ORB %	8 26.5% 7 26.7%	CHA 26.4% DEN 34.0% +7.6%
FTrt	27 22.2 5 25.9	CHA 17.2 +0.9 DEN 16.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 63.5% 4 68.3%	CHA 65.1% +5.9% DEN 59.2%
STL %	24 7.5% 19 7.9%	CHA 9.9% +7.0% DEN 2.9%
BLK %	18 9.2% 21 9.0%	CHA 3.6% DEN 4.8% +1.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.5% 2 58.8%	CHA 53.7% DEN 59.7% +6.0%
Rim FG%	30 59.7% 7 66.2%	CHA 52.9% DEN 64.7% +11.8%
Mid FG%	29 38.5% 8 45.5%	CHA 35.7% DEN 38.1% +2.4%
3P %	28 33.9% 5 37.6%	CHA 40.5% DEN 44.2% +3.7%
FT %	14 78.3% 23 77.0%	CHA 82.4% +7.4% DEN 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 30.7% 1 38.3%	CHA 34.3% DEN 34.7% +0.4%
Mid Att. %	16 26.3% 13 26.1%	CHA 28.3% DEN 21.4% −6.9%
3P Att. %	11 43.0% 30 35.6%	CHA 37.4% DEN 43.9% +6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	CHA	DEN
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	115	129
Rebounds	45	55
Assists	28	29
Steals	10	3
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	21	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	39 (3)
Field Goals	43-99	49-98
At-the-Rim FG	18-34	22-34
Midrange FG	10-28	8-21
2-Point FG	28-62	30-55
3-Point FG	15-37	19-43
Free Throws	14-17	12-16
Fast Break Pts	15	15
2nd Chance Pts	15	17
Points in Paint	52	52
Pts off Turnovers	19	9
Bench Points	35	32
Biggest Lead	5	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg