Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Kings	44%	112	113	117.7	96	89.0
	14	Rockets	56%	114	103	106.2	97	105.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	40.2	21	50%	2	6	0	0	2	4	1	1	6-7	86%	6-13	46%	1-5	20%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	36.7	20	59%	6	4	2	0	4	0	1	5	2-3	67%	6-11	55%	2-5	40%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 27	34.0	16	57%	5	4	0	0	5	1	0	5	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	33.4	13	59%	5	2	1	0	0	1	1	4	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	1.3	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-

Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	29.8	15	75%	14	1	4	3	1	5	5	9	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	27.4	12	100%	5	0	5	1	1	4	1	4	3-3	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	16.9	5	36%	5	2	1	1	0	1	3	2	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	16.4	5	42%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	4.0	5	125%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	INACTIVE
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	46	21	13	5	13	17	13	33	16-21	76%	35-59	59%	9-28	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

12 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	40.2	21	50%	2	6	0	0	2	4	1	1	6-7	86%	6-13	46%	1-5	20%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	36.7	20	59%	6	4	2	0	4	0	1	5	2-3	67%	6-11	55%	2-5	40%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 27	34.0	16	57%	5	4	0	0	5	1	0	5	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	33.4	13	59%	5	2	1	0	0	1	1	4	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	1.3	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-

Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	29.8	15	75%	14	1	4	3	1	5	5	9	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	27.4	12	100%	5	0	5	1	1	4	1	4	3-3	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	16.9	5	36%	5	2	1	1	0	1	3	2	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	16.4	5	42%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	4.0	5	125%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	INACTIVE
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	46	21	13	5	13	17	13	33	16-21	76%	35-59	59%	9-28	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · PF · 6'7" 200 · 22	41.3	6	30%	11	3	0	0	2	1	4	7	0-0	-	3-10	30%	0-0	-
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	37.1	30	68%	10	5	0	1	6	3	4	6	10-17	59%	10-16	63%	0-0	-
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 23	36.9	24	57%	2	2	1	0	2	2	1	1	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	4-10	40%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 31	34.8	3	19%	5	5	3	0	1	1	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-7	14%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	30.5	12	46%	1	0	2	0	2	2	1	0	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-8	25%

Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	22.6	14	88%	4	2	1	0	2	4	1	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 22	20.5	5	42%	7	0	0	1	0	3	1	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 28	8.6	7	175%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	7.8	2	33%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
N'Faly Dante #3 · C · 6'11" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jack McVeigh #58 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cody Zeller #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	53%	43	18	7	2	15	16	13	30	16-23	70%	24-51	47%	13-35	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.16 58.2%

HOU

1.05 52.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

16

26

62%

HOU

19

29

66%

Midrange

SAC

19

33

58%

HOU

5

22

23%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

9

13.5

28

32%

48%

HOU

13

19.5

35

37%

56%

Free Throws

SAC

16

21

76%

HOU

16

23

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	21	50%	10.5 / 21
Z. LaVine	20	59%	10.0 / 17
M. Monk	16	57%	8.0 / 14
J. Valančiūnas	15	75%	7.5 / 10
K. Murray	13	59%	6.5 / 11
K. Ellis	12	100%	6.0 / 6
T. Lyles	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. LaRavia	5	42%	2.5 / 6
M. Fultz	5	125%	2.5 / 2
D. Sabonis	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Sengun	30	68%	15.0 / 22
J. Green	24	57%	12.0 / 21
T. Eason	14	88%	7.0 / 8
D. Brooks	12	46%	6.0 / 13
A. Holiday	7	175%	3.5 / 2
A. Thompson	6	30%	3.0 / 10
J. Smith	5	42%	2.5 / 6
F. VanVleet	3	19%	1.5 / 8
S. Adams	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 115.9 12 114.9	SAC 117.7 +11.5 HOU 106.2
Pace	19 98.9 18 99.0	SAC 89.0 HOU 105.3 +16.3
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 12 14.8	SAC 16.2 HOU 13.7 −2.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 23 52.3%	SAC 55.7% +5.1% HOU 50.6%
TO %	6 12.6% 10 13.1%	SAC 12.7% −1.6% HOU 14.3%
ORB %	16 25.4% 1 31.7%	SAC 30.2% +1.9% HOU 28.3%
FTrt	21 23.5 16 24.2	SAC 24.1 HOU 26.7 +2.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.5% 30 54.9%	SAC 47.7% HOU 48.6% +0.9%
STL %	23 7.6% 9 8.4%	SAC 13.5% +6.3% HOU 7.2%
BLK %	23 8.8% 15 9.3%	SAC 9.8% +6.4% HOU 3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 24 53.9%	SAC 58.2% +5.6% HOU 52.6%
Rim FG%	2 67.6% 25 61.5%	SAC 61.5% HOU 65.5% +4.0%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 24 40.4%	SAC 57.6% +34.9% HOU 22.7%
3P %	19 35.7% 21 35.3%	SAC 32.1% HOU 37.1% +5.0%
FT %	4 80.6% 30 73.8%	SAC 76.2% +6.6% HOU 69.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 26.8% 10 33.3%	SAC 29.9% HOU 33.7% +3.8%
Mid Att. %	29 34.1% 23 28.3%	SAC 37.9% HOU 25.6% −12.3%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 27 38.4%	SAC 32.2% HOU 40.7% +8.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	SAC	HOU
Possessions	96	97
Possession Minutes	25.9	22.1
Points	113	103
Rebounds	46	43
Assists	21	18
Steals	13	7
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	15 (1)
Fouls	17	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (1)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (4)	30 (0)
Field Goals	44-87	37-86
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	19-29
Midrange FG	19-33	5-22
2-Point FG	35-59	24-51
3-Point FG	9-28	13-35
Free Throws	16-21	16-23
Fast Break Pts	16	9
2nd Chance Pts	11	18
Points in Paint	58	44
Pts off Turnovers	19	21
Bench Points	42	28
Biggest Lead	16	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg