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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 5, 2025
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Kings28%113110
6Nuggets72%122116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 35.6
42.5
31.6
35
52%
6
5
0
1
0
3
4
2
3-4
75%
10-26
6-11
38%
51%
4-6
67%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
29.1
27.6
6
43%
3
0
0
1
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
56%
0-2
0%
Jonas Valančiūnas
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.8
31.6
21.7
19
60%
13
6
2
0
0
2
4
9
3-4
75%
8-14
5-8
57%
57%
0-0
-
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.0
41.4
30.9
20
56%
4
6
1
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
4-9
4-8
44%
54%
3-7
43%
Keon Ellis
G · 6'6" 175 · 25.2
38.7
25.7
11
56%
7
3
2
1
2
1
1
6
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
59%
1-4
25%
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.3
23.5
20.6
15
75%
5
1
2
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
3-6
50%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 29.3
18.5
16.3
4
33%
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
56%
0-2
0%
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.8
9.6
11.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 33.2
5.0
4.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 29.0
0.0
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Isaac Jones
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.6
7.3
0
1-2
57%
Devin Carter
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.0
6.2
0
1-1
49%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 34.7
2.7
0
0-0
55%
Mason Jones
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.6
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.1
Isaiah Crawford
F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 28.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
38.2
37.2
15
69%
2
7
1
1
1
2
2
0
2-2
100%
2-4
6-10
50%
61%
3-6
50%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 26.7
36.2
35.6
13
47%
12
0
0
1
1
0
2
10
2-2
100%
4-6
5-8
67%
60%
1-7
14%
Nikola Jokić
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.0
38.1
35.8
22
53%
15
6
1
2
0
7
5
10
4-6
67%
9-16
7-12
56%
63%
0-2
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.3
35.4
27.1
25
61%
5
3
2
1
2
4
1
4
1-1
100%
6-13
3-6
46%
51%
4-7
57%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 28.0
38.3
36.1
24
72%
4
8
0
1
1
0
0
4
14-15
93%
2-4
6-11
50%
53%
2-6
33%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.2
18.9
13.8
10
63%
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
61%
1-3
33%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 25.4
17.9
7.1
5
50%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
55%
1-3
33%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 22.5
16.9
23.0
2
20%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
56%
0-1
0%
Vlatko Čančar
F · 6'9" 215 · 27.9
10.3
0
1-1
57%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.6
9.4
0
1-2
67%
Dario Šarić
F · 6'10" 223 · 30.9
3.4
0
0-1
53%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.7
3.1
0
0-0
54%
Spencer Jones
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
1.9
0
0-0
54%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 22.9
PJ Hall
C · 6'10" 245 · 23.0
DaRon Holmes II
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
Trey Alexander
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.8
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.