Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Kings	28%	113	110	112.2	98	92.0
	6	Nuggets	72%	122	116	116.0	100	106.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	42.5	35	51%	6	5	0	0	3	1	4	2	3-4	75%	10-26	38%	4-6	67%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	41.4	20	56%	4	6	1	0	2	0	0	4	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	3-7	43%
Keon Ellis #23 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 25	38.7	11	55%	7	3	2	2	1	5	1	6	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	31.6	19	63%	13	6	2	0	2	2	4	9	3-4	75%	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	29.1	6	43%	3	0	0	2	1	5	2	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%

Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	23.5	15	75%	5	1	2	0	1	5	2	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	18.5	4	33%	5	1	1	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	9.6	0	0%	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	5.0	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Skal Labissière #25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 29
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Sprain
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	45	22	8	6	12	20	14	31	11-14	79%	33-69	48%	11-27	41%

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18 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	42.5	35	51%	6	5	0	0	3	1	4	2	3-4	75%	10-26	38%	4-6	67%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	41.4	20	56%	4	6	1	0	2	0	0	4	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	3-7	43%
Keon Ellis #23 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 25	38.7	11	55%	7	3	2	2	1	5	1	6	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	31.6	19	63%	13	6	2	0	2	2	4	9	3-4	75%	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 25	29.1	6	43%	3	0	0	2	1	5	2	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%

Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	23.5	15	75%	5	1	2	0	1	5	2	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-6	50%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	18.5	4	33%	5	1	1	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 27	9.6	0	0%	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	5.0	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Skal Labissière #25 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 29
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Sprain
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	45	22	8	6	12	20	14	31	11-14	79%	33-69	48%	11-27	41%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	38.3	24	80%	4	8	0	1	0	3	0	4	14-15	93%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	38.2	15	68%	2	7	1	1	2	0	2	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	38.1	22	52%	15	6	1	0	7	3	5	10	4-6	67%	9-16	56%	0-2	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 27	36.2	13	46%	12	0	0	1	0	1	2	10	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-7	14%
Russell Westbrook #4 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 36	35.4	25	63%	5	3	2	2	4	2	1	4	1-1	100%	6-13	46%	4-7	57%

Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	18.9	10	63%	3	0	1	3	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	17.9	5	50%	2	3	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	16.9	2	20%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	56%	46	28	5	8	13	14	11	35	24-30	80%	28-52	54%	12-35	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.08 53.9%

DEN

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

17

33

52%

DEN

22

35

63%

Midrange

SAC

16

36

44%

DEN

6

17

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

11

16.5

27

41%

61%

DEN

12

18.0

35

34%

51%

Free Throws

SAC

11

14

79%

DEN

24

30

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	35	51%	17.5 / 34
Z. LaVine	20	56%	10.0 / 18
J. Valančiūnas	19	63%	9.5 / 15
J. LaRavia	15	75%	7.5 / 10
K. Ellis	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Murray	6	43%	3.0 / 7
T. Lyles	4	33%	2.0 / 6
M. Fultz	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Westbrook	25	63%	12.5 / 20
J. Murray	24	80%	12.0 / 15
N. Jokić	22	52%	11.0 / 21
C. Braun	15	68%	7.5 / 11
M. Porter	13	46%	6.5 / 14
Z. Nnaji	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Pickett	5	50%	2.5 / 5
P. Watson	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 115.9 4 118.9	SAC 112.2 DEN 116.0 +3.8
Pace	19 98.9 8 100.6	SAC 92.0 DEN 106.9 +14.9
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 22 14.2	SAC 15.6 DEN 13.5 −2.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 2 57.3%	SAC 51.6% DEN 52.9% +1.3%
TO %	6 12.6% 15 13.3%	SAC 10.5% −1.0% DEN 11.5%
ORB %	16 25.4% 7 26.7%	SAC 28.6% +2.4% DEN 26.2%
FTrt	21 23.5 5 25.9	SAC 14.6 DEN 34.5 +19.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.5% 4 68.3%	SAC 50.0% DEN 70.0% +20.0%
STL %	23 7.6% 19 7.9%	SAC 8.2% +3.2% DEN 5.0%
BLK %	23 8.8% 21 9.0%	SAC 11.5% DEN 11.6% +0.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 2 58.8%	SAC 53.9% DEN 56.3% +2.4%
Rim FG%	2 67.6% 7 66.2%	SAC 51.5% DEN 62.9% +11.4%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 8 45.5%	SAC 44.4% +9.1% DEN 35.3%
3P %	19 35.7% 5 37.6%	SAC 40.7% +6.4% DEN 34.3%
FT %	4 80.6% 23 77.0%	SAC 78.6% DEN 80.0% +1.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 26.8% 1 38.3%	SAC 34.4% DEN 40.2% +5.9%
Mid Att. %	29 34.1% 13 26.1%	SAC 37.5% DEN 19.5% −18.0%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 30 35.6%	SAC 28.1% DEN 40.2% +12.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	SAC	DEN
Possessions	98	100
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	110	116
Rebounds	45	46
Assists	22	28
Steals	8	5
Blocks	6	8
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	20	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	35 (2)
Field Goals	44-96	40-87
At-the-Rim FG	17-33	22-35
Midrange FG	16-36	6-17
2-Point FG	33-69	28-52
3-Point FG	11-27	12-35
Free Throws	11-14	24-30
Fast Break Pts	13	13
2nd Chance Pts	16	26
Points in Paint	52	56
Pts off Turnovers	19	14
Bench Points	19	17
Biggest Lead	14	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg