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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 5, 2025
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Heat23%104107
2Cavaliers77%115112
Updated: Mar 5, 2025 11:52 PM
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.6
25.2
20.5
5
30%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-1
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
1-5
20%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.5
16.3
6.2
10
51%
6
1
1
0
2
1
3
3
3-4
75%
2-4
1-1
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.6
37.5
33.0
34
77%
12
5
2
1
0
2
2
10
9-9
100%
8-13
6-12
62%
54%
3-5
60%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.0
40.3
20.0
12
37%
1
2
1
1
0
4
0
1
5-5
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
1-8
13%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 26.5
26.3
22.9
9
77%
1
7
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
29.0
28.0
14
70%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
57%
4-8
50%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
27.4
25.6
13
66%
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
56%
1-3
33%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 31.5
25.9
13.4
7
39%
11
7
0
1
0
1
4
7
1-2
50%
3-8
1-3
38%
49%
0-0
-
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
12.1
11.7
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
3.7
0
0-1
44%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
1.5
0
0-0
52%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.2
1.2
0
0-0
51%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 24.0
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.7
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.2
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.9
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 30.0
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
26.0
25.5
11
69%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
58%
3-7
43%
Evan Mobley
C · 7'0" 215 · 23.7
35.5
28.7
16
61%
13
3
0
1
1
3
4
9
2-7
29%
7-10
5-9
70%
61%
0-0
-
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'11" 234 · 26.9
25.4
26.5
4
33%
8
1
0
1
2
1
0
8
0-0
-
2-6
5-7
33%
67%
0-0
-
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 28.5
35.7
28.8
26
65%
7
5
2
1
0
5
1
6
6-7
86%
4-6
5-10
67%
54%
4-11
36%
Darius Garland
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
31.9
30.3
15
58%
3
10
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
5-9
67%
52%
3-9
33%
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.7
24.4
24.0
12
47%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
55%
2-5
40%
De'Andre Hunter
F · 6'7" 225 · 27.3
24.1
24.8
16
58%
5
2
0
1
1
0
2
3
4-4
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
52%
0-4
0%
Sam Merrill
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.8
15.9
17.2
3
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
55%
1-2
50%
Dean Wade
F · 6'10" 228 · 28.3
11.0
19.6
2
50%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
62%
0-0
-
Isaac Okoro
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.1
10.1
18.6
7
70%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
57%
1-2
50%
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.6
10.6
0
1-1
59%
Craig Porter Jr.
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.0
4.8
0
1-1
55%
Jaylon Tyson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.3
3.6
0
0-1
55%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 34.0
3.3
0
0-1
54%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
F · 6'10" 210 · 24.2
Luke Travers
F · 6'7" 207 · 23.5
Emoni Bates
F · 6'9" 170 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.