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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 5, 2025
9:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder65%122120
8Grizzlies35%116103
Updated: Mar 6, 2025 02:12 AM
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 25.9
33.7
26.7
3
21%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
1-7
14%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
35.5
31.8
20
52%
5
9
2
1
1
4
0
5
5-5
100%
6-11
6-12
55%
56%
1-6
17%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
28.1
25.0
10
56%
15
2
3
1
1
0
2
13
0-0
-
5-9
4-7
56%
61%
0-0
-
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.3
19.5
29.9
4
67%
4
1
1
2
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 26.6
34.7
33.3
41
70%
2
8
2
2
0
4
0
2
10-10
100%
11-20
9-15
55%
56%
3-5
60%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 26.2
30.4
24.7
16
81%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
59%
3-4
75%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
19.3
11.4
13
133%
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
53%
4-4
100%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 25.7
15.6
13.7
8
57%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
55%
2-6
33%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.3
12.9
13.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
56%
0-1
0%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 21.8
8.9
7.9
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
58%
1-2
50%
Adam Flagler
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.3
1.5
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 31.0
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 22.8
Dillon Jones
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.3
Nikola Topić
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.6
Ajay Mitchell
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.7
Branden Carlson
C · 7'0" 220 · 25.7
Alex Ducas
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Wells
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.5
25.8
29.6
3
22%
5
1
1
1
0
2
2
3
3-4
75%
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-5
0%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.5
25.0
20.2
12
48%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
51%
1-7
14%
Zach Edey
C · 7'4" 305 · 22.8
19.8
23.7
6
38%
9
0
1
1
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
3-8
4-6
38%
60%
0-0
-
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
32.9
34.2
15
46%
6
1
1
1
1
1
0
6
4-5
80%
4-11
5-9
36%
53%
1-3
33%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.6
31.7
31.2
24
49%
3
6
1
1
0
5
0
3
6-6
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
51%
2-9
22%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 28.5
26.7
18.9
13
78%
11
2
1
1
0
1
3
8
3-3
100%
5-7
4-6
71%
62%
0-0
-
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 24.3
21.1
15
79%
5
3
3
0
3
1
4
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.2
19.8
18.1
6
43%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.7
17.5
26.6
2
25%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 26.0
15.2
2.4
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
1-2
50%
Lamar Stevens
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.7
1.5
9.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Cam Spencer
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.9
1.5
4.7
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 27.5
1.5
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
61%
0-0
-
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 24.1
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.0
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 25.5
Zyon Pullin
G · 6'4" 206 · 24.0
Yuki Kawamura
G · 5'8" 159 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.