Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 1, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Wizards	38%	110	113	113.0	100	98.8
	27	Hornets	62%	114	100	100.0	100	101.3

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+13

-15

CHA

+14

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.15 57.7%

CHA

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 21	34.9	8	40%	4	8	2	1	3	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-7	29%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	33.6	17	45%	7	3	1	1	1	1	3	4	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	3-11	27%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	31.8	11	46%	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	4	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	3-8	38%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	25.7	10	45%	3	2	2	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Khris Middleton #32 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	24.1	17	71%	5	6	2	0	4	1	1	4	6-6	100%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	25.0	13	81%	5	4	0	1	3	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	22.3	15	94%	9	3	1	0	1	2	1	8	5-5	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	21.7	10	71%	8	2	2	3	0	0	3	5	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	20.3	12	67%	2	1	2	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Jalen McDaniels #26 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 27	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Hyper-extension
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	48	33	13	7	15	10	12	36	16-17	94%	23-38	61%	17-50	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 21	34.9	8	40%	4	8	2	1	3	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-7	29%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	33.6	17	45%	7	3	1	1	1	1	3	4	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	3-11	27%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	31.8	11	46%	5	4	1	1	0	1	1	4	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	3-8	38%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	25.7	10	45%	3	2	2	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-7	29%
Khris Middleton #32 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	24.1	17	71%	5	6	2	0	4	1	1	4	6-6	100%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	25.0	13	81%	5	4	0	1	3	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	22.3	15	94%	9	3	1	0	1	2	1	8	5-5	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	21.7	10	71%	8	2	2	3	0	0	3	5	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	20.3	12	67%	2	1	2	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Jalen McDaniels #26 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 27	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #5 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Hyper-extension
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	48	33	13	7	15	10	12	36	16-17	94%	23-38	61%	17-50	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

27 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	38.0	12	38%	4	4	0	0	3	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-9	22%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	35.5	18	56%	7	7	0	1	2	1	4	3	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	3-6	50%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	34.3	24	80%	12	3	1	2	3	3	2	10	2-2	100%	11-14	79%	0-0	-
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	32.4	20	53%	7	3	0	0	6	4	1	6	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	5-13	38%
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	32.1	13	59%	4	5	3	1	0	2	2	2	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	3-6	50%

Damion Baugh #7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	19.8	5	42%	5	2	3	1	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	12.9	4	40%	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 28	11.2	2	33%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Malachi Flynn #22 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 27	8.4	2	100%	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Repair
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Illness
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Tightness
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	52%	44	28	9	5	17	14	11	33	4-6	67%	27-51	53%	14-42	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	CHA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.15 57.7%

CHA

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

52%

CHA

56%

Midrange

WAS

77%

CHA

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

25.5

34%

51%

CHA

21.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

WAS

94%

CHA

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Coulibaly	17	45%	8.5 / 19
K. Middleton	17	71%	8.5 / 12
R. Holmes	15	94%	7.5 / 8
C. Kispert	13	81%	6.5 / 8
M. Smart	12	67%	6.0 / 9
B. Carrington	11	46%	5.5 / 12
A. Sarr	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Champagnie	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. George	8	40%	4.0 / 10

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Williams	24	80%	12.0 / 15
L. Ball	20	53%	10.0 / 19
M. Bridges	18	56%	9.0 / 16
J. Green	13	59%	6.5 / 11
N. Smith	12	38%	6.0 / 16
D. Baugh	5	42%	2.5 / 6
M. Diabaté	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Jeffries	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Flynn	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Salaün	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 29 106.7	WAS 113.0 +13.0 CHA 100.0
Pace	4 101.8 23 98.2	WAS 98.8 CHA 101.3 +2.5
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 8 14.9	WAS 14.6 CHA 14.2 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 30 50.3%	WAS 55.1% +3.5% CHA 51.6%
TO %	27 14.6% 28 15.1%	WAS 13.6% −1.5% CHA 15.1%
ORB %	25 22.7% 8 26.5%	WAS 26.7% +3.3% CHA 23.4%
FTrt	26 22.9 27 22.2	WAS 19.3 +12.8 CHA 6.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 16 63.5%	WAS 82.5% +14.2% CHA 68.3%
STL %	25 7.4% 24 7.5%	WAS 13.0% +4.0% CHA 9.0%
BLK %	12 9.6% 18 9.2%	WAS 13.7% +0.5% CHA 13.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 30 52.5%	WAS 57.7% +6.2% CHA 51.5%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 30 59.7%	WAS 52.0% CHA 56.4% +4.4%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 29 38.5%	WAS 76.9% +35.2% CHA 41.7%
3P %	29 33.5% 28 33.9%	WAS 34.0% +0.7% CHA 33.3%
FT %	16 77.8% 14 78.3%	WAS 94.1% +27.4% CHA 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 19 30.7%	WAS 28.4% CHA 41.9% +13.5%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 16 26.3%	WAS 14.8% CHA 12.9% −1.9%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 11 43.0%	WAS 56.8% +11.7% CHA 45.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	CHA
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	113	100
Rebounds	48	44
Assists	33	28
Steals	13	9
Blocks	7	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls	10	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (1)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	33 (3)
Field Goals	40-88	41-93
At-the-Rim FG	13-25	22-39
Midrange FG	10-13	5-12
2-Point FG	23-38	27-51
3-Point FG	17-50	14-42
Free Throws	16-17	4-6
Fast Break Pts	12	15
2nd Chance Pts	9	14
Points in Paint	40	52
Pts off Turnovers	15	10
Bench Points	50	13
Biggest Lead	16	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg