Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Timberwolves	41%	114	115	121.1	95	86.2
	5	Nuggets	59%	117	95	99.0	96	106.9

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+18

-15

DEN

+15

-10

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.17 58.7%

DEN

0.94 47.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	34.7	29	60%	4	6	1	0	3	2	0	4	4-5	80%	5-10	50%	5-12	42%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	31.6	16	62%	8	1	1	1	0	2	3	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	30.1	11	55%	10	3	0	1	0	3	3	7	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	27.9	25	83%	4	3	2	0	4	3	1	3	4-6	67%	6-7	86%	3-5	60%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	20.4	8	80%	1	5	2	0	2	0	1	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	26.3	8	57%	5	2	1	1	3	4	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	25.0	10	50%	6	6	0	2	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	15.6	3	50%	3	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	9.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	4.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	4.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26	4.8	5	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	4.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bones Hyland #77 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 24	INACTIVE
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	59%	48	31	7	5	15	16	12	36	12-16	75%	26-50	52%	17-40	43%

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6 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	34.7	29	60%	4	6	1	0	3	2	0	4	4-5	80%	5-10	50%	5-12	42%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	31.6	16	62%	8	1	1	1	0	2	3	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	30.1	11	55%	10	3	0	1	0	3	3	7	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	27.9	25	83%	4	3	2	0	4	3	1	3	4-6	67%	6-7	86%	3-5	60%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	20.4	8	80%	1	5	2	0	2	0	1	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	26.3	8	57%	5	2	1	1	3	4	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	25.0	10	50%	6	6	0	2	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	15.6	3	50%	3	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	9.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	4.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	4.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26	4.8	5	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	4.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bones Hyland #77 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 24	INACTIVE
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	59%	48	31	7	5	15	16	12	36	12-16	75%	26-50	52%	17-40	43%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	38.3	34	65%	8	4	1	0	3	3	3	5	6-8	75%	11-17	65%	2-6	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	35.4	12	38%	5	8	1	0	0	2	1	4	3-3	100%	3-10	30%	1-5	20%
Russell Westbrook #4 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 36	33.3	19	73%	4	1	3	0	4	2	1	3	2-2	100%	7-8	88%	1-4	25%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	32.9	6	27%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-2	0%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 27	32.8	10	42%	9	2	0	0	1	1	3	6	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%

Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	17.0	3	30%	2	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 22	15.9	0	0%	3	1	0	1	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	11.0	0	0%	3	0	0	2	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	5.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	5.1	8	80%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	5.1	1	17%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	5.1	0	0%	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	3.1	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Injury Management/Left Ankle Sprain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	47%	42	20	9	4	10	16	12	30	16-22	73%	29-59	49%	7-30	23%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.17 58.7%

DEN

0.94 47.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

68%

DEN

57%

Midrange

MIN

32%

DEN

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

25.5

43%

64%

DEN

10.5

23%

35%

Free Throws

MIN

75%

DEN

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	29	60%	14.5 / 24
J. Randle	25	83%	12.5 / 15
J. McDaniels	16	62%	8.0 / 13
R. Gobert	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. DiVincenzo	10	50%	5.0 / 10
M. Conley	8	80%	4.0 / 5
N. Reid	8	57%	4.0 / 7
L. Garza	5	50%	2.5 / 5
N. Alexander-Walker	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Clark	0	-	0.0 / 2
R. Dillingham	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Minott	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	34	65%	17.0 / 26
R. Westbrook	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Murray	12	38%	6.0 / 16
M. Porter	10	42%	5.0 / 12
H. Tyson	8	80%	4.0 / 5
C. Braun	6	27%	3.0 / 11
J. Pickett	3	30%	1.5 / 5
P. Hall	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Alexander	1	17%	0.5 / 3
P. Watson	0	-	0.0 / 4
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 1
S. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 115.7 4 118.9	MIN 121.1 +22.1 DEN 99.0
Pace	25 98.1 8 100.6	MIN 86.2 DEN 106.9 +20.8
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 22 14.2	MIN 16.7 DEN 13.5 −3.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 2 57.3%	MIN 57.2% +12.8% DEN 44.4%
TO %	19 13.9% 15 13.3%	MIN 13.4% DEN 9.2% −4.2%
ORB %	14 25.7% 7 26.7%	MIN 28.6% +3.6% DEN 25.0%
FTrt	11 24.9 5 25.9	MIN 17.8 DEN 24.7 +6.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 63.7% 4 68.3%	MIN 72.1% +16.5% DEN 55.6%
STL %	16 8.1% 19 7.9%	MIN 7.4% DEN 9.4% +2.0%
BLK %	14 9.5% 21 9.0%	MIN 8.5% +0.5% DEN 8.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.3% 2 58.8%	MIN 58.7% +11.7% DEN 47.0%
Rim FG%	12 64.8% 7 66.2%	MIN 67.9% +10.8% DEN 57.1%
Mid FG%	27 39.5% 8 45.5%	MIN 31.8% DEN 37.5% +5.7%
3P %	4 37.7% 5 37.6%	MIN 42.5% +19.2% DEN 23.3%
FT %	10 78.9% 23 77.0%	MIN 75.0% +2.3% DEN 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.2% 1 38.3%	MIN 31.1% DEN 39.3% +8.2%
Mid Att. %	6 22.3% 13 26.1%	MIN 24.4% −2.5% DEN 27.0%
3P Att. %	6 45.5% 30 35.6%	MIN 44.4% +10.7% DEN 33.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	MIN	DEN
Possessions	95	96
Possession Minutes	26.5	21.5
Points	115	95
Rebounds	48	42
Assists	31	20
Steals	7	9
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls	16	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (6)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (4)	30 (0)
Field Goals	43-90	36-89
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	20-35
Midrange FG	7-22	9-24
2-Point FG	26-50	29-59
3-Point FG	17-40	7-30
Free Throws	12-16	16-22
Fast Break Pts	17	18
2nd Chance Pts	29	11
Points in Paint	52	52
Pts off Turnovers	19	15
Bench Points	26	14
Biggest Lead	26	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg