Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Pelicans	18%	106	119	121.4	98	99.5
	6	Timberwolves	82%	119	115	117.3	98	96.3

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+18

-13

103

MIN

+12

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.16 57.8%

MIN

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 33	32.5	18	47%	6	3	0	0	2	3	1	5	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	3-9	33%
Zion Williamson #1 · SF · 6'6" 284 · 25	30.3	29	73%	5	8	3	0	3	5	0	5	5-9	56%	12-16	75%	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk #13 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 34	29.9	13	81%	4	0	1	1	2	4	2	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-1	100%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	26.1	13	46%	7	2	0	3	0	1	3	4	1-4	25%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	25.7	8	80%	3	6	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

Bruce Brown #00 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	31.1	15	63%	7	6	0	0	1	4	3	4	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	4-7	57%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	22.9	13	54%	6	1	1	1	1	4	0	6	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	22.4	5	50%	7	0	0	0	1	2	2	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 24	19.3	5	63%	1	2	0	1	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Mo Bamba #4 · C · 7'0" 231 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lester Quinones #22 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Labrum
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Rotator Cuff
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	58%	46	28	5	6	13	25	11	35	12-22	55%	34-60	57%	13-29	45%

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26 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 33	32.5	18	47%	6	3	0	0	2	3	1	5	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	3-9	33%
Zion Williamson #1 · SF · 6'6" 284 · 25	30.3	29	73%	5	8	3	0	3	5	0	5	5-9	56%	12-16	75%	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk #13 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 34	29.9	13	81%	4	0	1	1	2	4	2	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-1	100%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	26.1	13	46%	7	2	0	3	0	1	3	4	1-4	25%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	25.7	8	80%	3	6	0	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

Bruce Brown #00 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	31.1	15	63%	7	6	0	0	1	4	3	4	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	4-7	57%
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	22.9	13	54%	6	1	1	1	1	4	0	6	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	22.4	5	50%	7	0	0	0	1	2	2	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 24	19.3	5	63%	1	2	0	1	1	2	0	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Mo Bamba #4 · C · 7'0" 231 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lester Quinones #22 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Labrum
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Torn Rotator Cuff
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	58%	46	28	5	6	13	25	11	35	12-22	55%	34-60	57%	13-29	45%

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6 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 24	37.7	29	54%	6	4	1	1	2	0	2	4	15-17	88%	1-9	11%	4-10	40%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	31.1	10	71%	9	1	0	1	0	4	2	7	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	28.3	16	100%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-6	67%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	27.6	17	77%	3	3	0	1	6	2	0	3	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	2-4	50%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	24.1	5	63%	0	4	0	2	0	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 26	33.6	9	38%	7	4	1	1	1	1	2	5	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	2-7	29%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	23.6	11	55%	7	1	1	0	2	2	1	6	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	21.1	9	45%	4	2	2	0	2	3	2	2	7-7	100%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	11.8	9	90%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · C · 6'10" 243 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bones Hyland #77 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	60%	40	21	7	6	14	19	9	31	29-36	81%	19-38	50%	16-39	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	MIN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.16 57.8%

MIN

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

66%

MIN

43%

Midrange

NOP

44%

MIN

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

19.5

45%

67%

MIN

24.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

NOP

55%

MIN

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Williamson	29	73%	14.5 / 20
C. McCollum	18	47%	9.0 / 19
B. Brown	15	63%	7.5 / 12
K. Olynyk	13	81%	6.5 / 8
Y. Missi	13	46%	6.5 / 14
J. Hawkins	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Alvarado	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Robinson-Earl	5	50%	2.5 / 5
K. Matković	5	63%	2.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	29	54%	14.5 / 27
J. Randle	17	77%	8.5 / 11
M. Conley	16	100%	8.0 / 8
D. DiVincenzo	11	55%	5.5 / 10
R. Gobert	10	71%	5.0 / 7
N. Reid	9	38%	4.5 / 12
N. Alexander-Walker	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Clark	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. McDaniels	5	63%	2.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 109.6 8 115.7	NOP 121.4 +4.1 MIN 117.3
Pace	15 99.8 25 98.1	NOP 99.5 +3.2 MIN 96.3
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 11 14.8	NOP 14.5 −0.5 MIN 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 51.9% 10 55.4%	NOP 60.1% +4.3% MIN 55.8%
TO %	20 13.9% 19 13.9%	NOP 13.2% MIN 13.1% −0.1%
ORB %	9 26.3% 14 25.7%	NOP 26.2% +5.7% MIN 20.5%
FTrt	15 24.4 11 24.9	NOP 24.7 MIN 46.8 +22.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 63.6% 11 63.7%	NOP 59.6% MIN 60.0% +0.4%
STL %	8 8.5% 16 8.1%	NOP 5.1% MIN 7.1% +2.0%
BLK %	7 10.4% 14 9.5%	NOP 15.8% +5.8% MIN 10.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 53.8% 11 57.3%	NOP 57.8% MIN 59.9% +2.1%
Rim FG%	26 61.0% 12 64.8%	NOP 65.7% +22.2% MIN 43.5%
Mid FG%	23 40.7% 27 39.5%	NOP 44.0% MIN 60.0% +16.0%
3P %	24 34.7% 4 37.7%	NOP 44.8% +3.8% MIN 41.0%
FT %	27 75.4% 10 78.9%	NOP 54.5% MIN 80.6% +26.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.6% 12 32.2%	NOP 39.3% +9.5% MIN 29.9%
Mid Att. %	22 27.9% 6 22.3%	NOP 28.1% MIN 19.5% −8.6%
3P Att. %	26 38.6% 6 45.5%	NOP 32.6% MIN 50.6% +18.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NOP	MIN
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	119	115
Rebounds	46	40
Assists	28	21
Steals	5	7
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (2)	14 (0)
Fouls	25	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (7)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (0)	31 (1)
Field Goals	47-89	35-77
At-the-Rim FG	23-35	10-23
Midrange FG	11-25	9-15
2-Point FG	34-60	19-38
3-Point FG	13-29	16-39
Free Throws	12-22	29-36
Fast Break Pts	9	9
2nd Chance Pts	15	13
Points in Paint	54	36
Pts off Turnovers	21	18
Bench Points	38	38
Biggest Lead	6	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg