Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Grizzlies	65%	119	99	98.0	101	117.7
	21	Blazers	35%	114	115	113.9	101	88.5

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+13

-10

104

POR

+24

-17

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.95 47.6%

POR

1.06 53.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	35.7	20	53%	7	4	2	0	2	4	2	5	4-5	80%	5-9	56%	2-7	29%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	28.5	14	37%	5	2	3	0	5	5	0	5	2-2	100%	3-13	23%	2-5	40%
Luke Kennard #10 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 29	25.4	6	43%	3	3	2	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	20.9	2	14%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	10.9	6	60%	3	2	0	0	2	5	2	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	31.1	18	47%	6	4	2	0	0	3	1	5	4-5	80%	7-14	50%	0-3	0%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	26.7	16	73%	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	20.3	3	50%	3	2	1	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	17.9	4	50%	2	3	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	13.0	8	67%	3	2	1	2	1	1	1	2	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	5.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	2.0	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Lamar Stevens #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Soreness
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellar; Tendon Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	48%	40	23	11	4	10	20	10	30	17-21	81%	29-62	47%	8-30	27%

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9 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	35.7	20	53%	7	4	2	0	2	4	2	5	4-5	80%	5-9	56%	2-7	29%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	28.5	14	37%	5	2	3	0	5	5	0	5	2-2	100%	3-13	23%	2-5	40%
Luke Kennard #10 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 29	25.4	6	43%	3	3	2	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	20.9	2	14%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	10.9	6	60%	3	2	0	0	2	5	2	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	31.1	18	47%	6	4	2	0	0	3	1	5	4-5	80%	7-14	50%	0-3	0%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	26.7	16	73%	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	20.3	3	50%	3	2	1	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	17.9	4	50%	2	3	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	13.0	8	67%	3	2	1	2	1	1	1	2	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	5.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	2.0	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Lamar Stevens #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Soreness
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellar; Tendon Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	48%	40	23	11	4	10	20	10	30	17-21	81%	29-62	47%	8-30	27%

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21 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	38.8	31	70%	16	8	0	2	4	3	3	13	8-9	89%	4-10	40%	5-8	63%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	36.0	22	42%	5	3	1	0	2	1	3	2	4-4	100%	6-15	40%	2-9	22%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	31.9	15	63%	2	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	30.3	17	61%	7	5	1	0	2	1	0	7	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-8	38%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	26.1	7	70%	11	0	0	3	1	5	4	7	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-1	100%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	19.9	5	25%	3	5	0	0	3	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-7	14%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	19.6	13	72%	9	0	0	1	1	4	6	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	18.2	2	33%	4	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	11.2	3	38%	6	1	1	0	0	0	2	4	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	2.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	2.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendinitis
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	INACTIVE
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	53%	65	25	3	6	17	17	22	43	17-21	81%	22-50	44%	18-46	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	POR
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.95 47.6%

POR

1.06 53.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

52%

POR

60%

Midrange

MEM

42%

POR

20%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

12.0

27%

40%

POR

27.0

39%

59%

Free Throws

MEM

81%

POR

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Bane	20	53%	10.0 / 19
S. Pippen	18	47%	9.0 / 19
S. Aldama	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Jackson	14	37%	7.0 / 19
J. Huff	8	67%	4.0 / 6
L. Kennard	6	43%	3.0 / 7
Z. Edey	6	60%	3.0 / 5
V. Williams	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Konchar	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Wells	2	14%	1.0 / 7
M. Bagley	2	100%	1.0 / 1
B. Clarke	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	31	70%	15.5 / 22
A. Simons	22	42%	11.0 / 26
S. Sharpe	17	61%	8.5 / 14
T. Camara	15	63%	7.5 / 12
D. Reath	13	72%	6.5 / 9
D. Clingan	7	70%	3.5 / 5
S. Henderson	5	25%	2.5 / 10
M. Thybulle	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Murray	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. McGowens	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.2 23 110.9	MEM 98.0 POR 113.9 +15.8
Pace	1 103.7 16 99.5	MEM 117.7 +29.2 POR 88.5
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 19 14.3	MEM 12.2 −4.0 POR 16.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.4% 25 52.1%	MEM 44.6% POR 51.0% +6.4%
TO %	25 14.4% 29 15.1%	MEM 9.0% −4.9% POR 13.9%
ORB %	3 28.7% 2 29.2%	MEM 18.9% POR 42.3% +23.4%
FTrt	10 24.9 13 24.6	MEM 22.8 +0.9 POR 21.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.5% 28 58.7%	MEM 62.2% POR 62.5% +0.3%
STL %	7 8.5% 13 8.2%	MEM 10.9% +7.9% POR 3.0%
BLK %	3 10.8% 9 10.0%	MEM 8.0% POR 9.7% +1.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.4% 23 54.1%	MEM 47.6% POR 53.2% +5.6%
Rim FG%	11 65.3% 27 60.7%	MEM 51.6% POR 60.0% +8.4%
Mid FG%	9 45.4% 28 39.1%	MEM 41.9% +21.9% POR 20.0%
3P %	12 36.7% 26 34.2%	MEM 26.7% POR 39.1% +12.4%
FT %	12 78.6% 26 76.2%	MEM 81.0% POR 81.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.5% 2 36.6%	MEM 33.7% +2.4% POR 31.3%
Mid Att. %	26 29.0% 3 21.6%	MEM 33.7% POR 20.8% −12.9%
3P Att. %	20 40.6% 17 41.8%	MEM 32.6% POR 47.9% +15.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	POR
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	20.6	27.4
Points	99	115
Rebounds	40	65
Assists	23	25
Steals	11	3
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls	20	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	22 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (3)	43 (1)
Field Goals	37-92	40-96
At-the-Rim FG	16-31	18-30
Midrange FG	13-31	4-20
2-Point FG	29-62	22-50
3-Point FG	8-30	18-46
Free Throws	17-21	17-21
Fast Break Pts	14	22
2nd Chance Pts	14	12
Points in Paint	48	44
Pts off Turnovers	15	13
Bench Points	51	23
Biggest Lead	0	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg