Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	76ers	13%	101	100	100.0	100	104.2
	4	Thunder	87%	117	133	134.3	99	95.1

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

+17

-12

105

OKC

+15

-12

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

0.95 47.6%

OKC

1.30 65.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 25	32.2	28	61%	2	5	3	0	5	3	2	0	5-6	83%	7-14	50%	3-7	43%
Justin Edwards #19 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 21	30.4	19	63%	2	2	2	1	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	3-8	38%
Jared Butler #12 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 25	23.7	7	27%	2	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-8	13%
Oshae Brissett #22 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 27	20.1	0	0%	6	1	1	0	0	4	1	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 29	19.6	11	61%	4	2	1	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-8	38%

Chuma Okeke #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 27	37.0	14	117%	15	2	0	1	0	0	7	8	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-5	80%
Jalen Hood-Schifino #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	28.3	6	30%	1	5	0	1	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
Ricky Council IV #14 · SF · 6'6" 207 · 24	24.4	4	15%	4	3	0	0	2	1	0	4	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	0-8	0%
Alex Reese #65 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 26	24.2	11	61%	5	0	0	0	1	2	0	5	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	3-7	43%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Lonnie Walker IV #16 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Concussion
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Sprain / Finger Sprain
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgery
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Injury Management
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Injury Recovery
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Sprain
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	48%	41	24	8	3	12	15	12	29	12-16	75%	17-38	45%	18-57	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 25	32.2	28	61%	2	5	3	0	5	3	2	0	5-6	83%	7-14	50%	3-7	43%
Justin Edwards #19 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 21	30.4	19	63%	2	2	2	1	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	3-8	38%
Jared Butler #12 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 25	23.7	7	27%	2	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-8	13%
Oshae Brissett #22 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 27	20.1	0	0%	6	1	1	0	0	4	1	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 29	19.6	11	61%	4	2	1	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-8	38%

Chuma Okeke #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 27	37.0	14	117%	15	2	0	1	0	0	7	8	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-5	80%
Jalen Hood-Schifino #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	28.3	6	30%	1	5	0	1	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
Ricky Council IV #14 · SF · 6'6" 207 · 24	24.4	4	15%	4	3	0	0	2	1	0	4	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	0-8	0%
Alex Reese #65 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 26	24.2	11	61%	5	0	0	0	1	2	0	5	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	3-7	43%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Lonnie Walker IV #16 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Concussion
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Sprain / Finger Sprain
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgery
Jared McCain #20 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 39	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Injury Management
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Injury Recovery
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Sprain
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	48%	41	24	8	3	12	15	12	29	12-16	75%	17-38	45%	18-57	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	37.8	19	79%	17	11	2	0	3	3	4	13	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	3-5	60%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	36.2	11	61%	5	5	2	0	2	2	0	5	3-4	75%	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	29.3	21	75%	3	5	0	0	3	0	0	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	5-9	56%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	28.8	26	68%	4	6	0	0	1	2	0	4	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	4-10	40%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 23	23.4	19	68%	7	1	0	1	0	1	1	6	5-6	83%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%

Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	24.3	13	72%	5	1	1	1	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	23.1	16	89%	6	2	2	2	1	2	4	2	1-3	33%	3-3	100%	3-7	43%
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	22.8	5	28%	4	4	2	1	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-6	17%
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	14.4	3	75%	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Soreness
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	65%	55	36	10	5	12	12	11	44	15-20	75%	23-38	61%	24-52	46%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

0.95 47.6%

OKC

1.30 65.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

65%

OKC

72%

Midrange

PHI

29%

OKC

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

27.0

32%

47%

OKC

36.0

46%

69%

Free Throws

PHI

75%

OKC

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Q. Grimes	28	61%	14.0 / 23
J. Edwards	19	63%	9.5 / 15
C. Okeke	14	117%	7.0 / 6
G. Yabusele	11	61%	5.5 / 9
A. Reese	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Butler	7	27%	3.5 / 13
J. Hood-Schifino	6	30%	3.0 / 10
R. Council	4	15%	2.0 / 13
O. Brissett	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Wiggins	26	68%	13.0 / 19
I. Joe	21	75%	10.5 / 14
J. Williams	19	79%	9.5 / 12
C. Holmgren	19	68%	9.5 / 14
B. Carlson	16	89%	8.0 / 9
K. Williams	13	72%	6.5 / 9
D. Jones	11	61%	5.5 / 9
A. Flagler	5	28%	2.5 / 9
A. Ducas	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 110.9 3 119.2	PHI 100.0 OKC 134.3 +34.3
Pace	22 98.2 5 100.9	PHI 104.2 +9.1 OKC 95.1
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 25 13.9	PHI 13.8 −1.3 OKC 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 52.7% 7 56.0%	PHI 46.3% OKC 65.6% +19.3%
TO %	9 13.0% 1 10.9%	PHI 10.5% −1.9% OKC 12.4%
ORB %	22 23.4% 21 24.2%	PHI 21.4% OKC 27.5% +6.1%
FTrt	6 25.7 28 22.0	PHI 16.8 OKC 22.2 +5.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 58.4% 26 60.2%	PHI 68.6% OKC 76.6% +8.0%
STL %	5 9.3% 1 10.2%	PHI 8.0% OKC 10.1% +2.1%
BLK %	19 9.1% 2 11.9%	PHI 7.9% OKC 13.2% +5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 54.8% 4 57.9%	PHI 47.6% OKC 65.2% +17.6%
Rim FG%	23 61.8% 10 65.7%	PHI 64.7% OKC 72.0% +7.3%
Mid FG%	19 42.0% 7 45.7%	PHI 28.6% OKC 38.5% +9.9%
3P %	27 34.1% 6 37.4%	PHI 31.6% OKC 46.2% +14.6%
FT %	15 78.0% 1 81.9%	PHI 75.0% OKC 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 34.0% 26 29.5%	PHI 17.9% OKC 27.8% +9.9%
Mid Att. %	8 23.5% 25 28.6%	PHI 22.1% OKC 14.4% −7.7%
3P Att. %	14 42.5% 16 41.9%	PHI 60.0% +2.2% OKC 57.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHI	OKC
Possessions	100	99
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	100	133
Rebounds	41	55
Assists	24	36
Steals	8	10
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	12 (2)
Fouls	15	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (3)	44 (1)
Field Goals	35-95	47-90
At-the-Rim FG	11-17	18-25
Midrange FG	6-21	5-13
2-Point FG	17-38	23-38
3-Point FG	18-57	24-52
Free Throws	12-16	15-20
Fast Break Pts	21	13
2nd Chance Pts	17	24
Points in Paint	28	44
Pts off Turnovers	18	18
Bench Points	35	37
Biggest Lead	0	41

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg