Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pistons56%109116
17Heat44%107113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ausar Thompson
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.1
28.6
19.4
14
70%
6
1
2
1
1
3
3
3
0-0
-
7-10
3-6
70%
59%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.7
35.2
28.9
13
66%
5
2
1
1
4
1
0
5
1-2
50%
6-8
4-7
75%
54%
0-1
0%
Jalen Duren
C · 6'11" 250 · 21.3
27.9
24.8
15
70%
11
1
0
1
0
0
5
6
3-4
75%
6-9
5-7
67%
66%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 33.0
19.9
24.6
10
54%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Cade Cunningham
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
35.6
30.4
25
50%
12
11
1
1
2
5
4
8
0-0
-
8-21
7-13
38%
51%
3-4
75%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 28.3
28.7
25.0
16
67%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
5-10
50%
Isaiah Stewart
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.8
20.1
17.6
6
75%
6
2
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
58%
0-0
-
Dennis Schröder
G · 6'1" 172 · 31.5
18.8
20.8
8
38%
1
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
6-6
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
48%
0-2
0%
Simone Fontecchio
F · 6'8" 209 · 29.3
12.8
16.2
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Ronald Holland II
F · 6'8" 206 · 19.7
12.4
15.1
7
79%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
58%
0-1
0%
Paul Reed
F · 6'9" 210 · 25.8
6.5
0
1-2
58%
Marcus Sasser
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.5
5.4
0
0-1
52%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
4.3
0
0-0
53%
Jaden Ivey
G · 6'4" 195 · 23.1
Ron Harper Jr.
F · 6'6" 245 · 24.9
Bobi Klintman
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.0
Tolu Smith
F · 6'11" · 24.6
Daniss Jenkins
G · 6'3" 165 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 24.1
27.9
23.5
7
32%
4
2
2
1
0
4
4
0
1-2
50%
3-10
3-6
30%
54%
0-0
-
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.7
37.0
32.5
30
58%
9
8
1
1
1
2
3
6
4-4
100%
10-19
6-11
53%
55%
2-5
40%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.9
32.5
21.8
14
70%
12
0
1
1
3
3
3
9
0-0
-
7-8
3-5
88%
61%
0-2
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
30.4
23.8
14
64%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
58%
3-7
43%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.2
36.7
30.4
29
64%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
6-6
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
53%
3-9
33%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 26.5
31.9
27.5
12
82%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
5-5
2-4
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
25.7
18.3
3
38%
3
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
56%
1-3
33%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.7
14.1
6.8
4
45%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
0-0
0-1
-
41%
1-4
25%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
3.6
14.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 31.5
14.3
1
2-3
51%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.0
13.3
0
1-3
51%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.5
3.6
0
0-1
50%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 30.1
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.3
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.2
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.