Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 29, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Nuggets	45%	118	112	113.1	99	97.9
	4	Knicks	55%	120	122	123.2	99	100.1

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+13

-14

NYK

-5

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.14 57.1%

NYK

1.18 59.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Russell Westbrook #4 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 36	37.2	14	50%	14	4	0	1	4	4	5	9	4-6	67%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	37.1	33	61%	5	6	1	1	3	5	0	5	4-5	80%	10-18	56%	3-7	43%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	33.4	17	53%	6	6	2	1	2	3	0	6	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	3-7	43%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	30.5	15	94%	6	1	0	0	2	0	2	4	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	1-1	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	25.9	9	50%	3	2	0	1	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	28.9	13	65%	5	1	0	0	1	2	2	3	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	19.5	4	67%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	19.1	5	42%	4	0	0	1	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	8.4	2	50%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	47	21	3	5	14	19	11	36	20-23	87%	31-56	55%	10-28	36%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Russell Westbrook #4 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 36	37.2	14	50%	14	4	0	1	4	4	5	9	4-6	67%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	37.1	33	61%	5	6	1	1	3	5	0	5	4-5	80%	10-18	56%	3-7	43%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	33.4	17	53%	6	6	2	1	2	3	0	6	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	3-7	43%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	30.5	15	94%	6	1	0	0	2	0	2	4	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	1-1	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	25.9	9	50%	3	2	0	1	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	28.9	13	65%	5	1	0	0	1	2	2	3	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	19.5	4	67%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	19.1	5	42%	4	0	0	1	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	8.4	2	50%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	47	21	3	5	14	19	11	36	20-23	87%	31-56	55%	10-28	36%

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4 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
OG Anunoby #8 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 28	39.4	23	72%	4	1	0	0	1	4	1	3	0-2	0%	4-8	50%	5-7	71%
Mikal Bridges #25 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 28	37.1	13	41%	3	2	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-9	22%	3-7	43%
Jalen Brunson #11 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 28	36.3	30	79%	4	15	2	1	2	1	0	4	7-7	100%	7-10	70%	3-6	50%
Josh Hart #3 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 30	34.0	15	58%	5	5	3	0	0	1	0	5	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	0-2	0%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 29	29.9	14	54%	10	5	0	1	0	4	3	7	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	0-4	0%

Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 25	25.6	8	50%	3	0	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Miles McBride #2 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	21.5	12	67%	2	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Cameron Payne #1 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	11.7	7	58%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Landry Shamet #44 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	4.5	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jericho Sims #20 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Kolek #13 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ariel Hukporti #55 · C · 7'0" 246 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matt Ryan #37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin McCullar Jr. #9 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Pacôme Dadiet #4 · SG · 6'9" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Toe; Great Toe Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	59%	35	33	7	2	5	16	6	29	12-18	67%	34-59	58%	14-34	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	NYK
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	NYK

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.14 57.1%

NYK

1.18 59.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

68%

NYK

68%

Midrange

DEN

43%

NYK

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

15.0

36%

54%

NYK

21.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

DEN

87%

NYK

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	33	61%	16.5 / 27
N. Jokić	17	53%	8.5 / 16
A. Gordon	15	94%	7.5 / 8
R. Westbrook	14	50%	7.0 / 14
C. Braun	13	65%	6.5 / 10
M. Porter	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Strawther	5	42%	2.5 / 6
P. Watson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Jordan	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brunson	30	79%	15.0 / 19
O. Anunoby	23	72%	11.5 / 16
J. Hart	15	58%	7.5 / 13
K. Towns	14	54%	7.0 / 13
M. Bridges	13	41%	6.5 / 16
M. McBride	12	67%	6.0 / 9
P. Achiuwa	8	50%	4.0 / 8
C. Payne	7	58%	3.5 / 6
L. Shamet	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 118.9 5 117.3	DEN 113.1 NYK 123.2 +10.1
Pace	8 100.6 26 97.7	DEN 97.9 NYK 100.1 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 3 15.2	DEN 14.7 NYK 14.4 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 9 55.6%	DEN 54.8% NYK 59.1% +4.3%
TO %	15 13.3% 4 12.3%	DEN 12.9% NYK 5.6% −7.3%
ORB %	7 26.7% 12 26.0%	DEN 27.5% +13.2% NYK 14.3%
FTrt	5 25.9 23 23.2	DEN 27.4 +8.0 NYK 19.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 68.3% 17 63.4%	DEN 51.2% NYK 68.8% +17.6%
STL %	19 7.9% 11 8.3%	DEN 3.0% NYK 7.1% +4.1%
BLK %	21 9.0% 29 7.6%	DEN 8.5% +4.9% NYK 3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.8% 12 57.2%	DEN 57.1% NYK 59.2% +2.1%
Rim FG%	7 66.2% 18 63.7%	DEN 67.9% NYK 68.3% +0.4%
Mid FG%	8 45.5% 5 45.9%	DEN 42.9% +9.6% NYK 33.3%
3P %	5 37.6% 8 36.9%	DEN 35.7% NYK 41.2% +5.5%
FT %	23 77.0% 5 80.0%	DEN 87.0% +20.3% NYK 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.3% 4 34.5%	DEN 33.3% NYK 44.1% +10.8%
Mid Att. %	13 26.1% 18 27.3%	DEN 33.3% NYK 19.4% −14.0%
3P Att. %	30 35.6% 28 38.2%	DEN 33.3% NYK 36.6% +3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	DEN	NYK
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	112	122
Rebounds	47	35
Assists	21	33
Steals	3	7
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	5 (1)
Fouls	19	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	29 (2)
Field Goals	41-84	48-93
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	28-41
Midrange FG	12-28	6-18
2-Point FG	31-56	34-59
3-Point FG	10-28	14-34
Free Throws	20-23	12-18
Fast Break Pts	18	25
2nd Chance Pts	14	9
Points in Paint	52	60
Pts off Turnovers	3	23
Bench Points	24	27
Biggest Lead	8	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg