Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, January 29, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Nets | ||||
23 | Hornets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pistons | ||||
11 | Pacers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Raptors | ||||
30 | Wizards |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Bulls | ||||
2 | Celtics |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | ||||
20 | Heat |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nuggets | ||||
6 | Knicks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Kings | ||||
24 | 76ers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Mavericks | ||||
26 | Pelicans |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Clippers | ||||
18 | Spurs |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Timberwolves | ||||
15 | Suns |
Tuesday, January 28, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | ||||
21 | Hawks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Lakers | ||||
26 | 76ers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Jazz | ||||
14 | Warriors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Bucks | ||||
28 | Trail Blazers |
Sunday, January 26, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 83% | 118 | 118 | |
28 | Trail Blazers | 17% | 104 | 108 |
Updated: Jan 26, 2025 10:42 PM
game detailSaturday, January 25, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 51% | 116 | 136 | |
16 | Spurs | 49% | 115 | 98 |
Updated: Jan 25, 2025 04:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nuggets | 48% | 113 | 104 | |
9 | Timberwolves | 52% | 114 | 133 |
Updated: Jan 25, 2025 07:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Celtics | 64% | 116 | 122 | |
17 | Mavericks | 36% | 111 | 107 |
Updated: Jan 25, 2025 10:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Pelicans | 43% | 112 | 92 | |
25 | Hornets | 57% | 115 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 25, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pistons | 46% | 104 | 113 | |
19 | Magic | 54% | 105 | 121 |
Updated: Jan 25, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Raptors | 39% | 115 | 117 | |
18 | Hawks | 61% | 119 | 94 |
Updated: Jan 26, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | 45% | 112 | 135 | |
4 | Cavaliers | 55% | 114 | 131 |
Updated: Jan 26, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Jazz | 22% | 115 | 103 | |
3 | Grizzlies | 78% | 126 | 125 |
Updated: Jan 26, 2025 12:52 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Lakers | 43% | 110 | 118 | |
12 | Warriors | 57% | 113 | 108 |
Updated: Jan 26, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 21% | 110 | 109 | |
15 | Suns | 79% | 122 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 26, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Bucks | 42% | 109 | 117 | |
10 | Clippers | 58% | 112 | 127 |
Updated: Jan 26, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailFriday, January 24, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 110 | 102 | |
28 | Hornets | 66% | 116 | 97 |
Updated: Jan 24, 2025 09:53 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Cavaliers | 73% | 118 | 129 | |
26 | 76ers | 27% | 109 | 132 |
Updated: Jan 24, 2025 09:53 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Pelicans | 20% | 113 | 126 | |
3 | Grizzlies | 80% | 125 | 139 |
Updated: Jan 25, 2025 12:47 AM
game detailThursday, January 23, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Spurs | 37% | 113 | 140 | |
10 | Pacers | 63% | 118 | 110 |
Updated: Jan 23, 2025 06:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Trail Blazers | 30% | 105 | 101 | |
16 | Magic | 70% | 112 | 79 |
Updated: Jan 23, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Raptors | 38% | 115 | 122 | |
13 | Hawks | 62% | 119 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 24, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Mavericks | 24% | 105 | 121 | |
1 | Thunder | 76% | 116 | 115 |
Updated: Jan 24, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Kings | 40% | 116 | 123 | |
9 | Nuggets | 60% | 120 | 132 |
Updated: Jan 24, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Bulls | 41% | 115 | 106 | |
15 | Warriors | 59% | 119 | 131 |
Updated: Jan 24, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Celtics | 63% | 114 | 96 | |
17 | Lakers | 37% | 109 | 117 |
Updated: Jan 24, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 20% | 107 | 93 | |
11 | Clippers | 80% | 119 | 110 |
Updated: Jan 24, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailWednesday, January 22, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pistons | 43% | 113 | 114 | |
14 | Hawks | 57% | 116 | 104 |
Updated: Jan 23, 2025 12:17 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Timberwolves | 51% | 111 | 115 | |
12 | Mavericks | 49% | 110 | 114 |
Updated: Jan 23, 2025 12:17 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Cavaliers | 46% | 112 | 108 | |
5 | Rockets | 54% | 114 | 109 |
Updated: Jan 23, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hornets | 20% | 110 | 120 | |
2 | Grizzlies | 80% | 122 | 132 |
Updated: Jan 23, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Jazz | 18% | 105 | 114 | |
3 | Thunder | 82% | 119 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 23, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Warriors | 36% | 113 | 117 | |
9 | Kings | 64% | 118 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 23, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 83% | 116 | 117 | |
27 | Clippers | 17% | 103 | 113 |
Updated: Jan 23, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailTuesday, January 21, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 109 | 116 | |
12 | Heat | 74% | 119 | 107 |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 12:22 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Magic | 54% | 107 | 93 | |
23 | Raptors | 46% | 105 | 109 |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 12:22 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | 76ers | 24% | 109 | 109 | |
7 | Nuggets | 76% | 120 | 144 |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 23% | 109 | 88 | |
16 | Lakers | 77% | 119 | 111 |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailMonday, January 20, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Mavericks | 62% | 115 | 105 | |
24 | Hornets | 38% | 110 | 110 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 04:52 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pistons | 30% | 106 | 107 | |
5 | Rockets | 70% | 113 | 96 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 06:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Timberwolves | 40% | 112 | 106 | |
4 | Grizzlies | 60% | 116 | 108 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 07:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Hawks | 35% | 115 | 110 | |
8 | Knicks | 65% | 120 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 07:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Suns | 32% | 116 | 92 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 68% | 122 | 118 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 08:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 65% | 118 | 125 | |
14 | Warriors | 35% | 112 | 85 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 09:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Jazz | 29% | 109 | 119 | |
23 | Pelicans | 71% | 117 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 21, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Bulls | 36% | 112 | 112 | |
18 | Clippers | 64% | 117 | 99 |
Updated: Jan 21, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailSunday, January 19, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Nuggets | 61% | 111 | 113 | |
22 | Magic | 39% | 107 | 100 |
Updated: Jan 19, 2025 10:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Lakers | 36% | 107 | 102 | |
11 | Clippers | 64% | 112 | 116 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Bulls | 64% | 121 | 102 | |
28 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 115 | 113 |
Updated: Jan 20, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 15% | 110 | 100 | |
6 | Kings | 85% | 126 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 19, 2025 09:53 AM
game detailSaturday, January 18, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Suns | 53% | 114 | 125 | |
18 | Pistons | 47% | 113 | 121 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 08:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Hawks | 22% | 112 | 119 | |
1 | Celtics | 78% | 123 | 115 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | 76ers | 27% | 108 | 102 | |
11 | Pacers | 73% | 117 | 115 |
Updated: Jan 18, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Wizards | 19% | 109 | 114 | |
15 | Warriors | 81% | 122 | 122 |
Updated: Jan 19, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Cavaliers | 52% | 112 | 124 | |
6 | Timberwolves | 48% | 111 | 117 |
Updated: Jan 19, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Rockets | 76% | 118 | 125 | |
27 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 108 | 103 |
Updated: Jan 19, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailFriday, January 17, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Magic | 19% | 101 | 94 | |
1 | Celtics | 81% | 114 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Timberwolves | 48% | 110 | 116 | |
9 | Knicks | 52% | 111 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Nuggets | 54% | 114 | 133 | |
17 | Heat | 46% | 113 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Raptors | 30% | 110 | 112 | |
8 | Bucks | 70% | 118 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Jazz | 27% | 110 | 123 | |
18 | Pelicans | 73% | 120 | 136 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Grizzlies | 55% | 118 | 140 | |
15 | Spurs | 45% | 116 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Thunder | 52% | 111 | 98 | |
16 | Mavericks | 48% | 110 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Hornets | 44% | 117 | 125 | |
21 | Bulls | 56% | 119 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | 35% | 105 | 101 | |
25 | Lakers | 65% | 111 | 102 |
Thursday, January 16, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | 55% | 114 | 111 | |
19 | Pistons | 45% | 113 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Suns | 78% | 123 | 130 | |
29 | Wizards | 22% | 112 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 39% | 110 | 114 | |
2 | Thunder | 61% | 114 | 134 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Clippers | 61% | 113 | 118 | |
27 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 109 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Rockets | 39% | 110 | 127 | |
6 | Kings | 61% | 114 | 132 |