Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, January 24, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Blazers	34%	110	102	106.3	96	103.9
	28	Hornets	66%	116	97	101.0	96	89.2

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+20

-16

100

CHA

+19

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.01 50.5%

CHA

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	36.7	27	68%	5	2	2	0	1	1	1	4	7-9	78%	4-6	67%	4-10	40%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	34.4	11	55%	6	1	2	0	0	4	3	3	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	33.8	22	55%	4	1	1	0	2	1	3	1	4-4	100%	3-10	30%	4-8	50%
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 24	33.7	18	69%	5	4	4	0	5	2	0	5	11-14	79%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	17.6	4	50%	13	4	1	4	2	1	4	9	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	31.5	13	46%	9	0	0	0	2	6	1	8	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	1-6	17%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	22.8	2	25%	1	4	1	0	2	2	1	0	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Dalano Banton #5 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	15.8	2	20%	1	1	0	1	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	13.7	3	21%	3	0	1	1	1	2	2	1	1-4	25%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Chest; Contusion
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Soreness
Taze Moore #76 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	51%	47	17	12	6	16	21	15	32	27-39	69%	21-41	51%	11-38	29%

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27 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 26	36.7	27	68%	5	2	2	0	1	1	1	4	7-9	78%	4-6	67%	4-10	40%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	34.4	11	55%	6	1	2	0	0	4	3	3	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	33.8	22	55%	4	1	1	0	2	1	3	1	4-4	100%	3-10	30%	4-8	50%
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 24	33.7	18	69%	5	4	4	0	5	2	0	5	11-14	79%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	17.6	4	50%	13	4	1	4	2	1	4	9	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	31.5	13	46%	9	0	0	0	2	6	1	8	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	1-6	17%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	22.8	2	25%	1	4	1	0	2	2	1	0	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Dalano Banton #5 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	15.8	2	20%	1	1	0	1	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	13.7	3	21%	3	0	1	1	1	2	2	1	1-4	25%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Chest; Contusion
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Soreness
Taze Moore #76 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	51%	47	17	12	6	16	21	15	32	27-39	69%	21-41	51%	11-38	29%

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28 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	34.3	17	45%	5	5	0	2	3	3	0	5	3-3	100%	4-8	50%	2-10	20%
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	34.0	14	70%	5	2	1	0	0	2	1	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Vasilije Micić #22 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 31	33.3	12	43%	0	3	0	0	6	4	0	0	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	1-6	17%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	31.1	15	54%	9	3	1	3	0	5	2	7	3-4	75%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Cody Martin #11 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 29	4.8	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%

Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 26	30.8	16	57%	10	3	3	0	2	5	5	5	9-12	75%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 23	20.6	6	50%	6	2	2	1	2	1	2	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 22	18.9	7	44%	5	1	2	0	1	3	2	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 27	16.6	6	60%	4	0	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	15.6	4	40%	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Acl; Repair
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 19	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Irritation
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Miles Bridges #0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Spasms
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	49%	46	20	9	6	16	28	16	30	24-28	86%	23-54	43%	9-31	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	POR	CHA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.01 50.5%

CHA

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

50%

CHA

52%

Midrange

POR

54%

CHA

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

16.5

29%

43%

CHA

13.5

29%

44%

Free Throws

POR

69%

CHA

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Simons	27	68%	13.5 / 20
J. Grant	22	55%	11.0 / 20
D. Avdija	18	69%	9.0 / 13
S. Sharpe	13	46%	6.5 / 14
T. Camara	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. Clingan	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Walker	3	21%	1.5 / 7
S. Henderson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Banton	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Smith	17	45%	8.5 / 19
J. Okogie	16	57%	8.0 / 14
M. Williams	15	54%	7.5 / 14
J. Green	14	70%	7.0 / 10
V. Micić	12	43%	6.0 / 14
K. Simpson	7	44%	3.5 / 8
M. Diabaté	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Jeffries	6	60%	3.0 / 5
I. Wong	4	40%	2.0 / 5
C. Martin	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 110.9 29 106.7	POR 106.3 +5.2 CHA 101.0
Pace	16 99.5 23 98.2	POR 103.9 +14.7 CHA 89.2
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.3 8 14.9	POR 13.9 −2.3 CHA 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 52.1% 30 50.3%	POR 47.5% +4.6% CHA 42.9%
TO %	29 15.1% 28 15.1%	POR 15.0% CHA 14.1% −0.9%
ORB %	2 29.2% 8 26.5%	POR 33.3% CHA 33.3%
FTrt	13 24.6 27 22.2	POR 49.4 +16.5 CHA 32.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.7% 16 63.5%	POR 53.1% CHA 62.5% +9.4%
STL %	13 8.2% 24 7.5%	POR 12.5% +3.1% CHA 9.4%
BLK %	9 10.0% 18 9.2%	POR 11.1% CHA 14.6% +3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 54.1% 30 52.5%	POR 50.5% +1.5% CHA 49.0%
Rim FG%	27 60.7% 30 59.7%	POR 50.0% CHA 51.5% +1.5%
Mid FG%	28 39.1% 29 38.5%	POR 53.8% +25.2% CHA 28.6%
3P %	26 34.2% 28 33.9%	POR 28.9% CHA 29.0% +0.1%
FT %	26 76.2% 14 78.3%	POR 69.2% CHA 85.7% +16.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 36.6% 19 30.7%	POR 35.4% CHA 38.8% +3.4%
Mid Att. %	3 21.6% 16 26.3%	POR 16.5% −8.3% CHA 24.7%
3P Att. %	17 41.8% 11 43.0%	POR 48.1% +11.6% CHA 36.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	CHA
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	22.2	25.8
Points	102	97
Rebounds	47	46
Assists	17	20
Steals	12	9
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls	21	28
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (5)	16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (5)	30 (4)
Field Goals	32-79	32-85
At-the-Rim FG	14-28	17-33
Midrange FG	7-13	6-21
2-Point FG	21-41	23-54
3-Point FG	11-38	9-31
Free Throws	27-39	24-28
Fast Break Pts	21	8
2nd Chance Pts	19	15
Points in Paint	34	40
Pts off Turnovers	19	20
Bench Points	20	39
Biggest Lead	9	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg