Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 27, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Kings	77%	117	110	117.0	94	93.8
	29	Nets	23%	106	96	103.2	93	93.2

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+15

-17

BKN

+19

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.20 59.8%

BKN

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

8 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	41.4	21	81%	22	10	0	0	6	5	6	16	4-8	50%	7-9	78%	1-1	100%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	37.0	17	71%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	3-3	100%	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	36.8	30	75%	1	7	0	0	0	4	0	1	4-4	100%	7-12	58%	4-7	57%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	34.2	16	53%	6	9	1	1	4	5	0	6	0-0	-	8-9	89%	0-6	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	24.5	9	64%	3	1	2	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%

Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	30.3	11	61%	1	2	3	2	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	15.0	4	50%	5	0	1	1	1	1	2	3	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	9.6	2	25%	2	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	6.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	4.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	60%	44	31	7	4	17	24	11	33	11-17	65%	36-54	67%	9-28	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

8 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	41.4	21	81%	22	10	0	0	6	5	6	16	4-8	50%	7-9	78%	1-1	100%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	37.0	17	71%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	3-3	100%	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	36.8	30	75%	1	7	0	0	0	4	0	1	4-4	100%	7-12	58%	4-7	57%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	34.2	16	53%	6	9	1	1	4	5	0	6	0-0	-	8-9	89%	0-6	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	24.5	9	64%	3	1	2	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%

Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	30.3	11	61%	1	2	3	2	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	15.0	4	50%	5	0	1	1	1	1	2	3	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	9.6	2	25%	2	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	6.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	4.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	60%	44	31	7	4	17	24	11	33	11-17	65%	36-54	67%	9-28	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Brooklyn Nets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Wilson #22 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	39.8	15	39%	2	4	1	0	2	3	0	2	7-7	100%	4-10	40%	0-6	0%
D'Angelo Russell #1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 29	29.3	19	63%	4	3	0	1	3	3	1	3	9-10	90%	2-6	33%	2-5	40%
Nic Claxton #33 · C · 6'11" 215 · 26	25.0	6	50%	7	3	1	1	2	6	2	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Keon Johnson #45 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	22.7	10	45%	2	3	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%
Noah Clowney #21 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 21	12.5	6	43%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-7	29%

Tosan Evbuomwan #12 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	29.3	15	63%	8	2	2	0	5	1	3	5	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	1-1	100%
Tyrese Martin #13 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	24.3	8	57%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Day'Ron Sharpe #20 · C · 6'10" 265 · 23	23.0	12	67%	10	1	3	1	0	1	7	3	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	22.4	5	31%	2	0	2	0	1	1	1	1	2-3	67%	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Reece Beekman #4 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 23	11.7	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dariq Whitehead #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trendon Watford #9 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Injury Recovery
Maxwell Lewis #27 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Fracture
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Cameron Johnson #2 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ben Simmons #10 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Soreness
De'Anthony Melton #14 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	49%	39	19	9	3	14	20	16	23	26-30	87%	20-46	43%	10-36	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	BKN
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	BKN

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.20 59.8%

BKN

0.98 49.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

76%

BKN

55%

Midrange

SAC

50%

BKN

20%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

13.5

32%

48%

BKN

15.0

28%

42%

Free Throws

SAC

65%

BKN

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	30	75%	15.0 / 20
D. Sabonis	21	81%	10.5 / 13
D. DeRozan	17	71%	8.5 / 12
M. Monk	16	53%	8.0 / 15
K. Ellis	11	61%	5.5 / 9
K. Murray	9	64%	4.5 / 7
T. Lyles	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Carter	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. McDermott	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Russell	19	63%	9.5 / 15
J. Wilson	15	39%	7.5 / 19
T. Evbuomwan	15	63%	7.5 / 12
D. Sharpe	12	67%	6.0 / 9
K. Johnson	10	45%	5.0 / 11
T. Martin	8	57%	4.0 / 7
N. Claxton	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Clowney	6	43%	3.0 / 7
Z. Williams	5	31%	2.5 / 8
R. Beekman	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 115.9 28 108.2	SAC 117.0 +13.8 BKN 103.2
Pace	19 98.9 28 96.7	SAC 93.8 +0.5 BKN 93.2
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 6 15.1	SAC 15.4 −0.1 BKN 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 27 51.6%	SAC 60.4% +17.7% BKN 42.7%
TO %	6 12.6% 24 14.3%	SAC 16.7% BKN 14.4% −2.3%
ORB %	16 25.4% 18 24.5%	SAC 32.4% BKN 32.7% +0.3%
FTrt	21 23.5 20 24.0	SAC 20.7 BKN 36.6 +15.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.5% 9 66.8%	SAC 68.9% +5.6% BKN 63.3%
STL %	23 7.6% 17 8.0%	SAC 7.4% BKN 9.7% +2.3%
BLK %	23 8.8% 22 8.9%	SAC 8.7% +3.1% BKN 5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 27 53.5%	SAC 59.8% +10.8% BKN 49.0%
Rim FG%	2 67.6% 29 59.9%	SAC 76.5% +21.7% BKN 54.8%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 26 39.5%	SAC 50.0% +30.0% BKN 20.0%
3P %	19 35.7% 25 34.4%	SAC 32.1% +4.3% BKN 27.8%
FT %	4 80.6% 11 78.7%	SAC 64.7% BKN 86.7% +22.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 26.8% 13 32.0%	SAC 41.5% +3.7% BKN 37.8%
Mid Att. %	29 34.1% 5 22.2%	SAC 24.4% BKN 18.3% −6.1%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 3 45.8%	SAC 34.1% BKN 43.9% +9.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	SAC	BKN
Possessions	94	93
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	110	96
Rebounds	44	39
Assists	31	19
Steals	7	9
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	14 (2)
Fouls	24	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	23 (1)
Field Goals	45-82	30-82
At-the-Rim FG	26-34	17-31
Midrange FG	10-20	3-15
2-Point FG	36-54	20-46
3-Point FG	9-28	10-36
Free Throws	11-17	26-30
Fast Break Pts	19	9
2nd Chance Pts	8	16
Points in Paint	62	38
Pts off Turnovers	23	16
Bench Points	17	40
Biggest Lead	17	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg