Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 27, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Hawks	28%	107	92	89.3	103	105.0
	9	Timberwolves	72%	116	100	98.0	102	100.1

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+16

-21

MIN

+15

-16

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.94 46.9%

MIN

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	34.8	13	50%	3	7	2	0	3	3	1	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-9	33%
Vít Krejčí #27 · SG · 6'8" 195 · 25	34.4	4	33%	5	6	1	0	4	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	26.8	7	32%	7	1	1	0	4	4	0	7	2-4	50%	1-6	17%	1-3	33%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	20.3	11	39%	7	3	2	0	2	0	3	4	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	2-6	33%
David Roddy #8 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 24	18.0	2	33%	5	0	0	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	31.6	35	76%	2	1	0	0	3	2	0	2	7-8	88%	8-13	62%	4-8	50%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	25.5	6	75%	1	1	1	1	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	21.2	10	63%	15	3	1	1	2	2	6	9	0-2	0%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	18.8	4	22%	4	1	2	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-6	0%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	8.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Dyson Daniels #5 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 22	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	DND - Coaches Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Surgery; Injury Management
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tightness
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury
Cody Zeller #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	47%	51	24	10	3	21	20	14	37	12-18	67%	22-43	51%	12-43	28%

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25 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	34.8	13	50%	3	7	2	0	3	3	1	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-9	33%
Vít Krejčí #27 · SG · 6'8" 195 · 25	34.4	4	33%	5	6	1	0	4	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	26.8	7	32%	7	1	1	0	4	4	0	7	2-4	50%	1-6	17%	1-3	33%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	20.3	11	39%	7	3	2	0	2	0	3	4	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	2-6	33%
David Roddy #8 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 24	18.0	2	33%	5	0	0	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	31.6	35	76%	2	1	0	0	3	2	0	2	7-8	88%	8-13	62%	4-8	50%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	25.5	6	75%	1	1	1	1	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	21.2	10	63%	15	3	1	1	2	2	6	9	0-2	0%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	18.8	4	22%	4	1	2	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-6	0%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	8.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Dyson Daniels #5 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 22	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	DND - Coaches Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Surgery; Injury Management
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Tightness
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury
Cody Zeller #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	47%	51	24	10	3	21	20	14	37	12-18	67%	22-43	51%	12-43	28%

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9 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 33	38.3	18	75%	10	1	0	2	1	2	5	5	4-7	57%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	35.4	23	46%	5	4	2	1	3	2	2	3	9-13	69%	4-9	44%	2-11	18%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	33.4	10	63%	8	2	4	1	2	4	0	8	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	32.3	20	56%	8	2	1	0	5	3	3	5	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	3-8	38%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	31.4	4	20%	4	4	4	0	1	0	1	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-5	0%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	28.7	15	83%	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	22.0	5	36%	9	2	0	0	2	5	2	7	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Rob Dillingham #4 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 20	10.7	5	42%	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	2	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	7.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jesse Edwards #14 · C · 7'0" 236 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Sprain
Terrence Shannon Jr. #00 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Mid-foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	50%	51	18	13	4	16	18	14	37	20-29	69%	22-46	48%	12-40	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.94 46.9%

MIN

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

59%

MIN

58%

Midrange

ATL

38%

MIN

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

18.0

28%

42%

MIN

18.0

30%

45%

Free Throws

ATL

67%

MIN

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Hunter	35	76%	17.5 / 23
K. Wallace	13	50%	6.5 / 13
Z. Risacher	11	39%	5.5 / 14
C. Capela	10	63%	5.0 / 8
O. Okongwu	7	32%	3.5 / 11
G. Mathews	6	75%	3.0 / 4
V. Krejčí	4	33%	2.0 / 6
M. Gueye	4	22%	2.0 / 9
D. Roddy	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Barlow	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	23	46%	11.5 / 25
J. Randle	20	56%	10.0 / 18
R. Gobert	18	75%	9.0 / 12
N. Reid	15	83%	7.5 / 9
J. McDaniels	10	63%	5.0 / 8
N. Alexander-Walker	5	36%	2.5 / 7
R. Dillingham	5	42%	2.5 / 6
M. Conley	4	20%	2.0 / 10
J. Minott	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 113.7 8 115.7	ATL 89.3 MIN 98.0 +8.7
Pace	3 103.4 25 98.1	ATL 105.0 +4.8 MIN 100.1
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.3 11 14.8	ATL 13.7 −0.7 MIN 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.6% 10 55.4%	ATL 46.5% MIN 46.5%
TO %	23 14.1% 19 13.9%	ATL 19.0% MIN 15.4% −3.6%
ORB %	10 26.3% 14 25.7%	ATL 27.5% MIN 27.5%
FTrt	8 25.2 11 24.9	ATL 20.9 MIN 33.7 +12.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 68.3% 11 63.7%	ATL 70.6% +17.7% MIN 52.9%
STL %	4 9.4% 16 8.1%	ATL 9.7% MIN 12.7% +3.0%
BLK %	11 9.7% 14 9.5%	ATL 6.5% MIN 9.3% +2.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 11 57.3%	ATL 46.9% MIN 49.5% +2.6%
Rim FG%	20 62.9% 12 64.8%	ATL 59.3% +1.6% MIN 57.7%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 27 39.5%	ATL 37.5% +2.5% MIN 35.0%
3P %	18 35.8% 4 37.7%	ATL 27.9% MIN 30.0% +2.1%
FT %	18 77.5% 10 78.9%	ATL 66.7% MIN 69.0% +2.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 34.1% 12 32.2%	ATL 31.4% +1.2% MIN 30.2%
Mid Att. %	10 24.8% 6 22.3%	ATL 18.6% −4.7% MIN 23.3%
3P Att. %	19 41.0% 6 45.5%	ATL 50.0% +3.5% MIN 46.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIN
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	92	100
Rebounds	51	51
Assists	24	18
Steals	10	13
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	21 (1)	16 (2)
Fouls	20	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (4)	37 (3)
Field Goals	34-86	34-86
At-the-Rim FG	16-27	15-26
Midrange FG	6-16	7-20
2-Point FG	22-43	22-46
3-Point FG	12-43	12-40
Free Throws	12-18	20-29
Fast Break Pts	19	6
2nd Chance Pts	21	16
Points in Paint	38	38
Pts off Turnovers	15	21
Bench Points	55	25
Biggest Lead	0	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg