Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 27, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	18%	108	108	109.1	99	99.8
	14	Mavericks	82%	122	130	132.7	98	97.2

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+22

-11

110

DAL

+14

-11

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.98 49.1%

DAL

1.29 64.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	29.1	15	50%	6	6	0	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-9	33%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	29.1	16	50%	4	5	2	2	1	2	1	3	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	2-6	33%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	25.0	3	25%	2	1	0	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	21.1	7	32%	6	1	1	1	1	3	3	3	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	0-3	0%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	11.3	4	33%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	29.6	15	63%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	5-5	100%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	24.9	7	50%	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	18.6	9	64%	5	2	0	0	2	2	1	4	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	12.0	6	50%	6	4	1	0	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	10.0	9	75%	5	0	0	0	1	0	2	3	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	8.8	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	8.1	10	63%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	6.1	2	50%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	6.1	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Plantar Fascia Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	49%	45	23	5	3	11	15	14	31	13-17	76%	31-64	48%	11-37	30%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	29.1	15	50%	6	6	0	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-9	33%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	29.1	16	50%	4	5	2	2	1	2	1	3	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	2-6	33%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	25.0	3	25%	2	1	0	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	21.1	7	32%	6	1	1	1	1	3	3	3	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	0-3	0%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	11.3	4	33%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	29.6	15	63%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	5-5	100%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	24.9	7	50%	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	18.6	9	64%	5	2	0	0	2	2	1	4	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	12.0	6	50%	6	4	1	0	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	10.0	9	75%	5	0	0	0	1	0	2	3	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	8.8	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	8.1	10	63%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	6.1	2	50%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	6.1	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL Surgery
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Plantar Fascia Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	49%	45	23	5	3	11	15	14	31	13-17	76%	31-64	48%	11-37	30%

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14 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 33	28.0	13	59%	5	5	0	0	1	3	0	5	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 32	26.4	8	100%	3	9	2	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	24.8	19	68%	9	3	2	1	1	4	2	7	0-1	0%	8-11	73%	1-3	33%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 26	24.0	18	69%	8	3	0	5	1	2	6	2	2-2	100%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 35	24.0	23	77%	3	4	0	1	3	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	7-12	58%

Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 25	24.8	9	56%	4	6	0	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-6	50%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	24.6	20	71%	5	1	0	0	0	1	3	2	4-6	67%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Kessler Edwards #20 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	23.3	5	83%	7	2	1	0	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	13.4	12	75%	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 35	11.6	2	17%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	7.6	0	0%	1	6	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kylor Kelley #50 · NA · 7'0" 215 · 27	7.6	1	50%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Stress Fracture
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgery
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	64%	51	39	5	7	11	20	13	38	12-17	71%	29-47	62%	20-45	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	DAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.98 49.1%

DAL

1.29 64.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

55%

DAL

77%

Midrange

WAS

38%

DAL

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

16.5

30%

45%

DAL

30.0

44%

67%

Free Throws

WAS

76%

DAL

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Coulibaly	16	50%	8.0 / 16
J. Poole	15	50%	7.5 / 15
C. Kispert	15	63%	7.5 / 12
T. Vukcevic	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Valančiūnas	9	64%	4.5 / 7
R. Holmes	9	75%	4.5 / 6
K. Kuzma	7	32%	3.5 / 11
B. Carrington	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Champagnie	6	50%	3.0 / 6
A. Sarr	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. George	3	25%	1.5 / 6
P. Baldwin	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Davis	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Gill	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Thompson	23	77%	11.5 / 15
O. Prosper	20	71%	10.0 / 14
P. Washington	19	68%	9.5 / 14
D. Gafford	18	69%	9.0 / 13
K. Irving	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Hardy	12	75%	6.0 / 8
Q. Grimes	9	56%	4.5 / 8
S. Dinwiddie	8	100%	4.0 / 4
K. Edwards	5	83%	2.5 / 3
M. Morris	2	17%	1.0 / 6
K. Kelley	1	50%	0.5 / 1
B. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 18 113.6	WAS 109.1 DAL 132.7 +23.6
Pace	4 101.8 11 100.3	WAS 99.8 +2.6 DAL 97.2
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 16 14.4	WAS 14.4 −0.4 DAL 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 14 54.9%	WAS 47.0% DAL 64.1% +17.1%
TO %	27 14.6% 12 13.2%	WAS 9.2% −1.6% DAL 10.8%
ORB %	25 22.7% 23 23.4%	WAS 26.9% DAL 29.5% +2.6%
FTrt	26 22.9 4 26.3	WAS 16.8 DAL 18.5 +1.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 27 60.1%	WAS 54.8% DAL 79.6% +24.8%
STL %	25 7.4% 22 7.7%	WAS 5.1% DAL 5.1%
BLK %	12 9.6% 10 9.7%	WAS 6.4% DAL 10.9% +4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 14 56.9%	WAS 49.1% DAL 64.4% +15.3%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 8 66.0%	WAS 55.3% DAL 77.3% +22.0%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 15 43.7%	WAS 38.5% DAL 48.0% +9.5%
3P %	29 33.5% 15 36.4%	WAS 29.7% DAL 44.4% +14.7%
FT %	16 77.8% 24 77.0%	WAS 76.5% +5.9% DAL 70.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 16 31.4%	WAS 37.6% +13.7% DAL 23.9%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 27 29.6%	WAS 25.7% −1.4% DAL 27.2%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 24 38.9%	WAS 36.6% DAL 48.9% +12.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	DAL
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	108	130
Rebounds	45	51
Assists	23	39
Steals	5	5
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls	15	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (8)	13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (0)	38 (2)
Field Goals	42-101	49-92
At-the-Rim FG	21-38	17-22
Midrange FG	10-26	12-25
2-Point FG	31-64	29-47
3-Point FG	11-37	20-45
Free Throws	13-17	12-17
Fast Break Pts	9	24
2nd Chance Pts	25	16
Points in Paint	56	52
Pts off Turnovers	17	9
Bench Points	63	49
Biggest Lead	0	38

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg